Thai Premier League prediction: Buriram United should edge out Chiangmai on their own turf

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Competition: Thailand Thai Premier League
Date: Sat 22.June
Match begins: 13:00 (UTC)
Venue: Chang Arena (33325 seats)

A home win is expected from this fixture if the league table is anything to judge by. The home fans are optimistic that the difference between 1st and 14th place in the table will show on the pitch.

It's no vacation for neither Buriram United nor Chiangmai as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

It's quite the trip for Chiangmai when visiting Buriram United as the cities are 800 kilometers apart.

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Buriram United form and stats

Buriram United, who have the most points (18) at home in Thai Premier League, are steadily winning games and points here at Chang Arena. 5 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats is the summary from 8 games. The team is able to perform also as the away side, as they are nurturing a very healthy winning streak of four straight victories regardless of arena. Ever since the Urawa Reds game Buriram United has been unbeatable here at Chang Arena producing five straight wins.

Buriram United's previous game was a Thai Premier League match also played at home, ending 4-0 versus Chiangmai. The home side are looking to build on that result. Previous to that game, a FA Cup home match hosting Lampang in a game that was won 4-1.

Everyone expects Buriram United to win this match. We have checked our database for matches where they have been as big a favourite and found 30 games: 26 home wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats. Buriram United have won with at least two goals margin 17 times in similar situations.

Buriram United can score goals in their home matches. After 8 matches they have found the net 16 times. From these home matches, Buriram United have conceded only 5 goals.

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Chiangmai form and stats

Chiangmai, who have the most conceded goals (31) in Thai Premier League, have only collected 3 points from their away games after 1-0-6 (7 played). It's all red in the travel logs of Chiangmai, having lost six matches in a row as the visiting team. It's a growing despair in Chiangmai as they have recorded three consecutive losses.

It might be tough going out on the road again for Chiangmai, facing their second straight away game. Especially as the previous game, ended with a defeat 0-4 versus Buriram United. A 0-2 loss hosting PTT Rayong before that.

Nobody expects Chiangmai to collect points from a game like this. The team has been David versus Goliath 43 times before, with the overall statistics of won 12, draw 11 and lost 20. When defeated, 8 matches have been lost by two or more goals.

Chiangmai are not goal shy away from home, finding the net 12 times in 7 away games so far. The Chiangmai defense is as useful as an ashtray on a motorcycle, having conceded 24 goals in their away games.

Head 2 Head

The last H2H meeting was Buriram United - Chiangmai 4-0, played this season. Numbers for the last one meeting between these two teams are: 1 win for Buriram United, 0 draws and 0 wins for Chiangmai. Over 2,5 goals: 1 time; under 2,5 goals: 0 games.

Top Goalscorers

A. Túñez
4 goals

Buriram United missing players

Chiangmai missing players

Buriram United Chiangmai
Total Home Home vs low Statistic Away vs top Away Total
15 9 2 Played 3 8 15
9 6 2 Won 0 1 3
5 3 0 Drew 0 0 3
1 0 0 Lost 3 7 9
28 20 6 Scored 3 12 18
10 5 0 Conceded 10 28 35
87% 89% 100% Over 0.5 100% 100% 93%
73% 78% 50% Over 1.5 100% 100% 80%
47% 44% 50% Over 2.5 100% 88% 60%
33% 44% 50% Over 3.5 100% 75% 47%
13% 22% 50% Over 4.5 33% 38% 20%
47% 33% 0% BTTS 67% 62% 53%
53% 67% 100% Clean Sheets 0% 0% 13%
13% 11% 0% Failed To Score 33% 38% 40%
 
6.7 6.8 7 Corners For (avg) 3.5 2.7 3.1
3.7 3.1 4 Corners Against (avg) 10 8.9 7.8
1.7 1.2 0.5 Yellow Cards (avg) 2 2.4 2
0 0 0 Red Cards 1 1 1
Key stats this season:
  • All of Chiangmai's away matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Buriram United have created more than twice as many corners as Chiangmai.
  • Buriram United have not yet lost a game at home.
  • Buriram United have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • Buriram United have won at least twice as many corners as they have conceded at home.
  • Chiangmai have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won.
  • Chiangmai have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Chiangmai have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their away matches.
  • Chiangmai have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Chiangmai haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

Buriram United
01-06-19 TPL Sukhothai 1 - 1 Buriram United
12-06-19 TPL Buriram United 5 - 0 PTT Rayong
16-06-19 TPL Port 1 - 3 Buriram United
19-06-19 FAC Buriram United 4 - 1 Lampang
22-06-19 TPL Buriram United 4 - 0 Chiangmai
30-06-19 TPL Chonburi 12:00 Buriram United
07-07-19 TPL Buriram United 12:00 Suphanburi
14-07-19 TPL Prachuap 11:00 Buriram United
21-07-19 TPL Buriram United 11:00 Bangkok United
27-07-19 TPL Pattaya United 12:00 Buriram United
Chiangmai
19-05-19 TPL Nakhon Ratchasima 4 - 2 Chiangmai
25-05-19 TPL Chiangmai 1 - 0 Prachuap
29-05-19 TPL Port 3 - 1 Chiangmai
16-06-19 TPL Chiangmai 0 - 2 PTT Rayong
22-06-19 TPL Buriram United 4 - 0 Chiangmai
29-06-19 TPL Chiangmai 12:00 Pattaya United
06-07-19 TPL Sukhothai 10:45 Chiangmai
12-07-19 TPL Chiangmai 13:00 Muang Thong United
20-07-19 TPL Ratchaburi 12:00 Chiangmai
28-07-19 TPL Chiangrai United 11:00 Chiangmai

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A D P
1 Buriram United 14 8 5 1 24 10 8 5 3 0 16 5 6 3 2 1 8 5 14 29
2 Port 14 8 4 2 29 16 8 5 2 1 19 9 6 3 2 1 10 7 13 28
3 Bangkok United 14 7 4 3 26 14 7 5 0 2 17 7 7 2 4 1 9 7 12 25
4 Pattaya United 14 7 4 3 21 13 6 4 2 0 9 4 8 3 2 3 12 9 8 25
5 Trat 14 6 5 3 29 20 7 4 2 1 16 5 7 2 3 2 13 15 9 23
6 Chiangrai United 14 6 5 3 16 14 6 2 2 2 6 7 8 4 3 1 10 7 2 23
7 Nakhon Ratchasima 14 6 3 5 21 18 8 4 3 1 16 8 6 2 0 4 5 10 3 21
8 Chonburi 14 5 3 6 24 28 7 4 1 2 18 15 7 1 2 4 6 13 -4 18
9 Prachuap 14 5 3 6 16 24 7 4 2 1 11 6 7 1 1 5 5 18 -8 18
10 Ratchaburi 14 5 1 8 21 20 7 3 1 3 13 11 7 2 0 5 8 9 1 16
11 PTT Rayong 14 4 4 6 13 20 7 2 2 3 8 10 7 2 2 3 5 10 -7 16
12 Sukhothai 14 2 9 3 13 14 7 2 4 1 10 7 7 0 5 2 3 7 -1 15
13 Chainat Hornbill 14 3 4 7 15 23 8 3 2 3 9 11 6 0 2 4 6 12 -8 13
14 Chiangmai 14 3 3 8 18 31 7 2 3 2 6 7 7 1 0 6 12 24 -13 12
15 Suphanburi 14 2 5 7 11 21 7 2 3 2 7 4 7 0 2 5 4 17 -10 11
16 Muang Thong United 14 3 2 9 11 22 5 2 0 3 5 6 9 1 2 6 6 16 -11 11