Football betting preview: Nong Bua Pitchaya favourites when Samut Sakhon visits

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Competition: Thailand Thai League Two
Date: Wed 31.July
Match begins: 11:00 (UTC)
Venue: Nong Bua Lam Phu Provincial Sport Stadium (4333 seats)

A home win is expected from this fixture if the league table is anything to judge by. The home fans are optimistic that the difference between 5th and 13th place in the table will show on the pitch.

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

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Nong Bua Pitchaya form and stats

Nong Bua Pitchaya have collected 14 points from their home games so far after 4-2-2.

The home supporters saw a 2-2 draw versus Samut Sakhon in the Thai League Two last time out and are looking for a win here. In the preceding match a 3-2 victory visiting Chiangmai United.

The hosts are favourites to win this game, with an estimated chance of about 55-60% of that outcome. Earlier Nong Bua Pitchaya matches with similar probabilities have ended with 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats (from one game).

Nong Bua Pitchaya are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home, having created 11 goals in 8 matches. From these home matches, Nong Bua Pitchaya have conceded only 7 goals.

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Samut Sakhon form and stats

The story so far for the visiting team on their travels is 3 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats. One point away has become something of a habit for Samut Sakhon who have played out draws in their last three away games.

It's another away game for the visitors, as they travelled to Nong Bua Pitchaya in their previous outing. The Thai League Two match ended in a draw 2-2. A loss against Customs United was the result prior to that, in a home game.

Looking at the earlier recent performances of Samut Sakhon when being an outsider away as they are today, we find one match with the visitors losing 0 times, drawing 1 and winning 0 games.

Samut Sakhon are scoring more than one goal per away game on average, having accumulated 13 away goals from 9 games. The Samut Sakhon manager has some worries about the defense as 18 goals have been conceded in these travels.

Head 2 Head

This is the result when the teams met earlier this season; Nong Bua Pitchaya - Samut Sakhon 2-2. Numbers for the last four meetings between these two teams are: 2 wins for Nong Bua Pitchaya, 1 draw and 1 win for Samut Sakhon. Over 2,5 goals: 3 times; under 2,5 goals: 1 game.

Nong Bua Pitchaya missing players

Samut Sakhon missing players

Nong Bua Pitchaya Samut Sakhon
Total Home Home vs low Statistic Away vs top Away Total
23 12 3 Played 3 13 23
9 4 1 Won 0 4 6
5 4 2 Drew 1 5 8
9 4 0 Lost 2 4 9
27 14 5 Scored 4 19 29
26 13 1 Conceded 10 22 39
96% 92% 67% Over 0.5 100% 100% 96%
70% 75% 67% Over 1.5 100% 85% 83%
39% 33% 33% Over 2.5 67% 54% 52%
22% 25% 33% Over 3.5 67% 38% 35%
4% 0% 0% Over 4.5 67% 23% 22%
48% 42% 33% BTTS 100% 77% 74%
17% 33% 67% Clean Sheets 0% 23% 22%
39% 33% 33% Failed To Score 0% 0% 9%
 
4.4 4.9 6.3 Corners For (avg) 5.5 4.3 5.6
3.9 3.1 2 Corners Against (avg) 7 5.2 5.3
2 1.9 2.3 Yellow Cards (avg) 2.5 2.5 2
2 2 0 Red Cards 0 1 2
Key stats this season:
  • Samut Sakhon have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Samut Sakhon have scored in all their away matches so far.
  • Samut Sakhon have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Samut Sakhon haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

Nong Bua Pitchaya
06-07-19 TLT Nong Bua Pitchaya 0 - 0 Air Force Central
14-07-19 TLT Rayong 1 - 0 Nong Bua Pitchaya
21-07-19 TLT Nong Bua Pitchaya 1 - 3 Bangkok Glass
27-07-19 TLT Chiangmai United 2 - 3 Nong Bua Pitchaya
31-07-19 TLT Nong Bua Pitchaya 2 - 2 Samut Sakhon
03-08-19 TLT Army United 12:00 Nong Bua Pitchaya
11-08-19 TLT Nong Bua Pitchaya 11:00 Thai Honda
17-08-19 TLT Lampang 10:45 Nong Bua Pitchaya
21-08-19 TLT Nong Bua Pitchaya 12:00 Udon Thani
24-08-19 TLT Customs United 10:00 Nong Bua Pitchaya
Samut Sakhon
06-07-19 TLT Lampang 1 - 1 Samut Sakhon
12-07-19 TLT Samut Sakhon 1 - 3 BEC Tero Sasana
20-07-19 TLT Thai Honda 1 - 1 Samut Sakhon
27-07-19 TLT Samut Sakhon 1 - 4 Customs United
31-07-19 TLT Nong Bua Pitchaya 2 - 2 Samut Sakhon
04-08-19 TLT Samut Sakhon 11:00 Chiangmai United
10-08-19 TLT Samut Sakhon 11:00 Bangkok Glass
17-08-19 TLT Samut Sakhon 12:00 Air Force Central
21-08-19 TLT Kasetsart 12:00 Samut Sakhon
25-08-19 TLT Samut Sakhon 11:00 Khonkaen

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A D P
1 Bangkok Glass 16 13 2 1 40 14 9 9 0 0 25 5 7 4 2 1 15 9 26 41
2 Army United 16 9 4 3 28 17 7 5 1 1 16 7 9 4 3 2 12 10 11 31
3 Lampang 16 8 5 3 22 12 7 3 2 2 7 4 9 5 3 1 15 8 10 29
4 Sisaket 16 9 6 1 26 9 8 5 3 0 15 4 8 4 3 1 11 5 17 27
5 Nong Bua Pitchaya 16 8 3 5 21 16 8 4 2 2 11 7 8 4 1 3 10 9 5 27
6 Udon Thani 16 7 4 5 20 16 8 6 1 1 13 8 8 1 3 4 7 8 4 25
7 BEC Tero Sasana 16 7 4 5 25 18 7 4 2 1 11 8 9 3 2 4 14 10 7 25
8 Thai Honda 16 6 5 5 22 17 8 4 2 2 14 10 8 2 3 3 8 7 5 23
9 Rayong 16 6 5 5 27 28 9 5 4 0 20 11 7 1 1 5 7 17 -1 23
10 Khonkaen 16 7 2 7 16 23 9 5 2 2 11 9 7 2 0 5 5 14 -7 23
11 Kasetsart 16 4 6 6 21 19 7 3 2 2 12 8 9 1 4 4 9 11 2 18
12 Ubon UMT 16 5 3 8 15 28 8 2 2 4 7 14 8 3 1 4 8 14 -13 18
13 Samut Sakhon 16 4 5 7 20 28 7 1 3 3 7 10 9 3 2 4 13 18 -8 17
14 Chiangmai United 16 4 5 7 17 20 8 3 1 4 11 11 8 1 4 3 6 9 -3 17
15 Navy 16 4 2 10 14 22 9 2 2 5 5 9 7 2 0 5 9 13 -8 14
16 Ayutthaya United 16 3 4 9 14 28 9 0 3 6 6 20 7 3 1 3 8 8 -14 13
17 Customs United 16 3 3 10 13 31 7 0 2 5 3 13 9 3 1 5 10 18 -18 12
18 Air Force Central 16 1 4 11 13 28 9 1 2 6 8 14 7 0 2 5 5 14 -15 7