Football preview: Young Africans favourites when Mtibwa Sugar visit

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Competition: Tanzania Ligi kuu Bara
Competition: Wed 29.June
Match begins: 13:00 (UTC)
Venue: Sheikh Amri Abeid Memorial Stadium (20000 seats)

Ligi kuu Bara: High-profile vs second-rate, at least based on the league table. Young Africans - Mtibwa Sugar. Home victory or a surprise?

Insights:
  • Young Africans have the most scored goals (48) in Ligi kuu Bara
  • Young Africans have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Mtibwa Sugar have scored away.

Africans have already won the league and the fans have gone wild! Even so, with the trophy already secured there could be issues regarding the team's motivation in this one. Mtibwa Sugar are struggling to avoid relegation. It should be mentioned that Mtibwa Sugar play their home matches on grass, so they have to adjust for this one as it's played on artifical turf. Does it matter? Recent statistics for Mtibwa Sugar on artifical turf are 0 victories, 0 draws and 6 defeats from six games. In these matches they have a goal statistics scored/conceded: 1-13. You can compare this with overall results below.

It's no vacation for neither Africans nor Mtibwa Sugar as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

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Young Africans form and stats

Young Africans have been outstanding at home so far in the Ligi kuu Bara with 11 wins, 3 draws and only 0 losses. Nine out of nine points from the last three home games for Young Africans, and the home supporters are ready to scream their lungs out to keep the winning streak alive.

An away draw last time out for Young Africans, facing Mbeya City in a game that ended 1-1.

Previous to that game, a home match hosting Polisi Tanzania in a game that was won 2-0.

The home team are expected to win this game about three out of four times, according to the bookmaker odds. When checking the database for Africans home games with this odds we find 16 games with a similar winning chance. Resulting in 15 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats. Looking at the victories, 10 matches were won by at least two goals.

Sports gamblers, take note: A review of the 19 latest league games highlights that 15 of them had goals from both sides.

As for guarding their own goal, Young Africans have only let in 3 goals at home. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 0 of these goals has been conceded in their last three home matches.

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Mtibwa Sugar form and stats

Mtibwa Sugar have only collected 13 points from their away games in the Ligi kuu Bara, after 3-4-7 (14 played). The pressure to perform on the road is increasing on the Mtibwa manager, as the last three away games were defeats.

Mtibwa Sugar have much to to correct after their out-of-character defeat (2-4) to Namungo in their previous match, played at their own home ground. A huge disappointment for Mtibwa in their last match (vs Namungo). Leading 2-0 the victory seemed almost certain, but a fascinating collapse turned everything around and in the end all was lost in a 2-4 defeat.

A 0-2 defeat away at Simba before that.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting Mtibwa Sugar as they have only managed to score 12 times from 14 away games in the league. As opposed to that, Mtibwa Sugar have seen the ball go into their own net 20 times on the road.

Head 2 Head

The newest past history involving both these sides is the Mtibwa Sugar - Young Africans 0-2 played not long ago this season. Statistics for the preceeding ten meetings between these two teams are: five wins for Africans, three draws and two wins for Mtibwa Sugar. Over 2,5 goals: one time; under 2,5 goals: nine games.

Young Africans missing players

Mtibwa Sugar missing players

Young Africans Mtibwa Sugar
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
29 14 5 Played P 4 14 29
21 11 4 Won W 0 3 7
8 3 1 Drew D 1 4 10
0 0 0 Lost L 3 7 12
48 28 13 Scored S 2 12 25
8 3 2 Conceded C 7 20 33
83% 79% 80% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 93% 83%
69% 71% 80% Over 1.5 O 1.5 75% 71% 62%
31% 50% 80% Over 2.5 O 2.5 25% 36% 28%
10% 21% 60% Over 3.5 O 3.5 25% 21% 17%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 7% 7%
28% 21% 40% BTTS BTTS 50% 57% 45%
72% 79% 60% Clean Sheets C S 0% 14% 31%
17% 21% 20% Failed to Score F T 50% 36% 41%
 
5.4 5.9 7.2 Corners for (avg) C F 3 4.2 4.7
2.8 3.1 2.6 Corners against (avg) C A 6.3 5.7 4.9
1.1 0.9 1 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.3 1.8 1.8
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
8.4 9.8 12.2 Shots (avg) S ( 7 5.5 7
3 3.5 4.6 Shots on Target (avg) S O 1.3 1.5 2
56% 58% 57% Goal Efficiency G E 50% 60% 48%
 
4.6 4.5 3.2 Shots against (avg) S A 12.3 9.4 7.9
1.2 1 1.6 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 4.7 3.1 2.8
Key stats in Ligi kuu Bara this season:
  • Mtibwa Sugar have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Young Africans have not yet lost a game.
  • Young Africans have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Young Africans have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • Young Africans have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Mtibwa Sugar have scored away.
  • Young Africans have the fewest conceded goals (3) at home in Ligi kuu Bara
  • Young Africans have the fewest conceded goals (8) in Ligi kuu Bara
  • Young Africans have the fewest conceded goals in the first half (5) in Ligi kuu Bara
  • Young Africans have the fewest conceded goals in the second half (3) in Ligi kuu Bara
  • Young Africans have the most clean sheets (21) in Ligi kuu Bara
  • Young Africans have the most points from losing position (13) in Ligi kuu Bara
  • Young Africans have the most scored goals (28) at home in Ligi kuu Bara
  • Young Africans have the most scored goals (48) in Ligi kuu Bara
  • Young Africans have the most scored goals in the first half (29) in Ligi kuu Bara
  • Young Africans have the the best goal difference (+25) at home in Ligi kuu Bara
  • Young Africans have the the best goal difference (+40) in Ligi kuu Bara

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Young Africans 29 21 8 0 48 8 14 11 3 0 28 3 15 10 5 0 20 5 40 71
2 Simba 29 17 9 3 41 14 15 13 2 0 27 4 14 4 7 3 14 10 27 60
3 Azam 29 13 7 9 37 27 14 8 4 2 18 8 15 5 3 7 19 19 10 46
4 Geita Gold 29 12 9 8 31 25 15 8 6 1 22 10 14 4 3 7 9 15 6 45
5 Namungo 29 10 10 9 41 33 15 5 6 4 25 18 14 5 4 5 16 15 8 40
6 Kagera Sugar 29 9 11 9 20 25 14 4 6 4 8 9 15 5 5 5 12 16 -5 38
7 Coastal Union 29 10 7 12 21 30 14 5 3 6 13 17 15 5 4 6 8 13 -9 37
8 Polisi Tanzania 29 8 12 9 21 23 15 5 7 3 11 6 14 3 5 6 10 17 -2 36
9 Mbeya City 29 8 12 9 24 28 14 7 4 3 16 10 15 1 8 6 8 18 -4 36
10 KMC 29 8 11 10 34 34 15 7 4 4 25 17 14 1 7 6 9 17 0 35
11 Dodoma Jiji 29 8 8 13 24 37 14 5 4 5 13 14 15 3 4 8 11 23 -13 32
12 Mtibwa Sugar 29 7 10 12 25 33 15 4 6 5 13 13 14 3 4 7 12 20 -8 31
13 Ruvu Shooting 29 7 10 12 27 39 14 3 7 4 12 14 15 4 3 8 15 25 -12 31
14 Tanzania Prisons 29 7 8 14 21 33 15 6 3 6 14 19 14 1 5 8 7 14 -12 29
15 Biashara United 29 5 13 11 22 31 15 4 7 4 14 14 14 1 6 7 8 17 -9 28
16 Mbeya Kwanza 29 5 9 15 22 39 14 3 5 6 11 13 15 2 4 9 11 26 -17 24