KMC manager looking for three points in Mbeya Kwanza showdown

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Competition: Tanzania Ligi kuu Bara
Competition: Wed 22.June
Match begins: 13:00 (UTC)
Venue: Nizwa Complex Stadium

KMC have 32 points performing as the home team. Mbeya Kwanza have gained 24 points from their away games. Could we look at anything else than a home win?

Insights:
  • KMC have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Mbeya Kwanza have the fewest scored goals in the first half (5) in Ligi kuu Bara

Only a few days to rest for the hosting team, as they were involved in a Ligi kuu Bara fixture only three days ago. At least it's nice to return home after that away game at Simba.

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KMC form and stats

When playing at home in the Ligi kuu Bara, KMC have managed 6 wins, 4 draws and suffered 4 defeats from 14 games.

KMC faced defeat in their previous match, away at Simba (1-3). The first defeat after going undefeated in four league matches.

In the match before that, KMC hosted Tanzania Prisons and drew the game 1-1.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how KMC have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 15 games) they have won 10 times, drawn 3 and lost 2.

KMC are traveling soon after this match as the Ligi kuu Bara match at Biashara United awaits in two days.

KMC have proved capable of finding the net in their games here at Nizwa Complex Stadium with 21 goals in 14 league matches. On the other hand, KMC have conceded 16 goals.

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Mbeya Kwanza form and stats

There's been little loot from Mbeya Kwanza's travels as they have only collected 10 points from 14 away games in the Ligi kuu Bara. Mbeya Kwanza only have 2 wins to counter their 8 defeats and 4 draws. The pressure to perform on the road is increasing on the Kwanza manager, as the last three away games were defeats.

Mbeya Kwanza lost away at Azam (0-2) in their previous game and are perhaps starting to feel homesick.

Before that, Kwanza secured a home win against Kagera Sugar with the score 2-0.

We have checked recent matches where Mbeya Kwanza have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 5 games were 1 victory, 2 draws and 2 defeats.

A quick return to home after this game, as Mbeya Kwanza are hosting Ruvu Shooting in the Ligi kuu Bara only two days away.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting Mbeya Kwanza as they have only managed to score 10 times from 14 away games in the league. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 0 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. As for defending, Kwanza rarely keep clean sheets as they have conceded 22 goals from these away matches.

Head 2 Head

The former head to head encounter ended Mbeya Kwanza - KMC 1-1, earlier this season.

KMC missing players

Mbeya Kwanza missing players

Total First Half Second Half
KMC Mbeya Kwanza
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
27 14 5 Played P 4 14 27
7 6 2 Won W 1 2 5
11 4 3 Drew D 2 4 9
9 4 0 Lost L 1 8 13
30 21 8 Scored S 6 10 20
32 16 5 Conceded C 5 22 33
85% 93% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 93%
81% 86% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 79% 67%
33% 43% 20% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 36% 26%
19% 21% 20% Over 3.5 O 3.5 25% 14% 11%
11% 21% 20% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 0%
48% 50% 80% BTTS BTTS 75% 43% 37%
33% 36% 20% Clean Sheets C S 25% 14% 26%
33% 21% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 43% 44%
 
4.2 4.3 4.8 Corners for (avg) C F 3 2.8 3.8
4.4 4.2 4.2 Corners against (avg) C A 6 5 4.1
1.8 1.6 2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2 1.8 1.5
1 0 0 Red cards R C 0 1 3
 
7.4 7.1 9.6 Shots (avg) S ( 5.8 5.2 4.6
2.6 2.7 3.6 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.8 2.1 1.8
43% 55% 44% Goal Efficiency G E 55% 36% 42%
 
7.6 6.6 7.2 Shots against (avg) S A 9 8.7 6.7
2.8 2.4 2.2 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 4 3.3 2.5
Key stats in Ligi kuu Bara this season:
  • KMC have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • KMC have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Mbeya Kwanza have scored away.
  • Mbeya Kwanza have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Mbeya Kwanza have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Mbeya Kwanza have the fewest scored goals in the first half (5) in Ligi kuu Bara
  • Mbeya Kwanza have the most conceded goals in the first half (20) in Ligi kuu Bara
  • Mbeya Kwanza have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Mbeya Kwanza haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Young Africans 27 20 7 0 45 7 13 10 3 0 26 3 14 10 4 0 19 4 38 67
2 Simba 27 16 9 2 39 13 14 12 2 0 25 4 13 4 7 2 14 9 26 57
3 Geita Gold 28 11 9 8 30 25 15 8 6 1 22 10 13 3 3 7 8 15 5 42
4 Azam 27 11 7 9 34 27 13 7 4 2 17 8 14 4 3 7 17 19 7 40
5 Namungo 28 9 10 9 37 31 15 5 6 4 25 18 13 4 4 5 12 13 6 37
6 Coastal Union 28 10 7 11 21 29 13 5 3 5 13 16 15 5 4 6 8 13 -8 37
7 Polisi Tanzania 27 8 12 7 21 20 14 5 7 2 11 5 13 3 5 5 10 15 1 36
8 Mbeya City 28 8 11 9 23 27 13 7 3 3 15 9 15 1 8 6 8 18 -4 35
9 Kagera Sugar 28 8 11 9 19 25 14 4 6 4 8 9 14 4 5 5 11 16 -6 35
10 KMC 27 7 11 9 30 32 14 6 4 4 21 16 13 1 7 5 9 16 -2 32
11 Dodoma Jiji 28 8 8 12 24 35 13 5 4 4 13 12 15 3 4 8 11 23 -11 32
12 Mtibwa Sugar 27 7 10 10 23 27 14 4 6 4 11 9 13 3 4 6 12 18 -4 31
13 Ruvu Shooting 28 6 10 12 25 38 14 3 7 4 12 14 14 3 3 8 13 24 -13 28
14 Tanzania Prisons 27 6 8 13 20 32 14 5 3 6 13 19 13 1 5 7 7 13 -12 26
15 Biashara United 28 4 13 11 21 31 14 3 7 4 13 14 14 1 6 7 8 17 -10 25
16 Mbeya Kwanza 27 5 9 13 20 33 13 3 5 5 10 11 14 2 4 8 10 22 -13 24

Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Young Africans 27 20 7 0 45 7 13 10 3 0 26 3 14 10 4 0 19 4 38 67
2 Simba 27 16 9 2 39 13 14 12 2 0 25 4 13 4 7 2 14 9 26 57
3 Geita Gold 28 11 9 8 30 25 15 8 6 1 22 10 13 3 3 7 8 15 5 42
4 Azam 27 11 7 9 34 27 13 7 4 2 17 8 14 4 3 7 17 19 7 40
5 Namungo 28 9 10 9 37 31 15 5 6 4 25 18 13 4 4 5 12 13 6 37
6 Coastal Union 28 10 7 11 21 29 13 5 3 5 13 16 15 5 4 6 8 13 -8 37
7 Polisi Tanzania 27 8 12 7 21 20 14 5 7 2 11 5 13 3 5 5 10 15 1 36
8 Mbeya City 28 8 11 9 23 27 13 7 3 3 15 9 15 1 8 6 8 18 -4 35
9 Kagera Sugar 28 8 11 9 19 25 14 4 6 4 8 9 14 4 5 5 11 16 -6 35
10 KMC 27 7 11 9 30 32 14 6 4 4 21 16 13 1 7 5 9 16 -2 32
11 Dodoma Jiji 28 8 8 12 24 35 13 5 4 4 13 12 15 3 4 8 11 23 -11 32
12 Mtibwa Sugar 27 7 10 10 23 27 14 4 6 4 11 9 13 3 4 6 12 18 -4 31
13 Ruvu Shooting 28 6 10 12 25 38 14 3 7 4 12 14 14 3 3 8 13 24 -13 28
14 Tanzania Prisons 27 6 8 13 20 32 14 5 3 6 13 19 13 1 5 7 7 13 -12 26
15 Biashara United 28 4 13 11 21 31 14 3 7 4 13 14 14 1 6 7 8 17 -10 25
16 Mbeya Kwanza 27 5 9 13 20 33 13 3 5 5 10 11 14 2 4 8 10 22 -13 24

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