Super League: Lugano expected to outplay Winterthur

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Competition: Switzerland Super League
Competition: Sun 14.May
Match begins: 14:30 (UTC)
Venue: Stadio di Cornaredo (6390 seats)

Pre-match most people would expect a notable contrast in performance between these teams based on the league table so far, with Lugano ahead of Winterthur by 15 points.

Insights:
  • Lugano have scored in all their home matches so far.
  • Winterthur have the fewest scored goals (30) in Super League

Both teams should be fairly well rested for this game, as they have had some quiet days to prepare. Hopefully this will translate into lots of action on the pitch.

D W W W D

Lugano form and stats

7-5-4 (win-draw-lost) are the Super League numbers at home for Lugano so far this season. The Lugano fans aren't used to losing league-games here at Stadio di Cornaredo and will expect new points from this game. Lugano has played ten games in a row here without a defeat.

The home team returns to Stadio di Cornaredo after drawing with Luzern (placed 4th) on their last time out; the game ended 2-2. Lugano salvaged the draw from a difficult situation against Luzern, trailing 0-2 at one point. Not giving up resulted in Steffen equalizing. Celar, who usually features in attack, was the champion player for the side in that game, receiving a rating of 7.61 (out of 10). Celar scored one goal and hit one key pass.

Ahead of that match, Lugano won a home game hosting Grasshopper (5-1).

The betting market estimate that the home team has about 55-60% chance of winning this match. There could be betting value if you think differently, so to help you here are the stats from Lugano's earlier matches at home being 55%-60% favourite: Played 4 games, won 3 matches, drawn 0 and lost 1.

Take note: 17 of the latest 22 league games from this football club have had goals from both teams.

The Lugano fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 28 goals in 16 league matches. 20 goals have been conceded. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 2 of these goals has been conceded in their last three home matches.

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Winterthur form and stats

There's been little loot from Winterthur's travels as they have only collected 13 points from 16 away games in the Super League. Winterthur only have 3 wins to counter their 9 defeats and 4 draws.

Winterthur play their second away game in a row, but can be confident going into this one after the 1-0 victory visiting Sion (placed 10th). That win felt nice as this team had gone three league fixtures without winning. Kuster was the team player of the game with the player rating of 7.8. The agile goalkeeper Kuster topped it up with a clean sheet.

The game before that, was lost at home, a 1-4 defeat against Basel.

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Winterthur playing away, we found 6 games. Results were 0 away wins, 2 draws and 4 home wins.

Betting fact: Both teams have scored goal(s) in 11 of this club's latest 14 league matches.

The attacking power of Winterthur when travelling is not overwhelming with 15 goals scored from 16 league matches away. Winterthur struggle to build an impenetrable defensive wall in away matches with a total of 30 goals conceded from these games.

Head 2 Head

The previous head to head encounter ended Winterthur - Lugano 1-0, earlier this season. Bottani (Lugano) was shown a red card when these teams last met. Head-to-head totals (for the last ten meetings): Lugano won seven games, two matches ended with a tie and Winterthur got one win. Over 2,5 goals / under 2,5 goals: four / six.

Top Goalscorers

LuganoŽ. Celar
Ž. Celar
15 goals
LuganoM. Amoura
M. Amoura
7 goals
LuganoI. Aliseda
I. Aliseda
6 goals

Lugano missing players

Winterthur missing players

Lugano Winterthur
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
32 16 6 Played P 3 16 32
12 7 3 Won W 0 3 8
11 5 1 Drew D 1 4 8
9 4 2 Lost L 2 9 16
51 28 11 Scored S 2 15 30
43 20 7 Conceded C 7 30 59
97% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 94% 97%
88% 88% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 67% 81% 75%
53% 44% 33% Over 2.5 O 2.5 33% 50% 47%
34% 38% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 33% 38% 31%
19% 25% 33% Over 4.5 O 4.5 33% 12% 19%
72% 69% 50% BTTS BTTS 67% 62% 62%
22% 31% 50% Clean Sheets C S 0% 12% 22%
9% 0% 0% Failed to Score F T 33% 31% 19%
 
4.5 4.7 5.5 Corners for (avg) C F 3 3.3 4.1
5.1 5.5 7 Corners against (avg) C A 7.3 6.2 5.7
2.7 2.8 3.2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3.7 3.1 2.6
5 3 3 Red cards R C 0 0 2
 
12.6 12.1 11.8 Shots (avg) S ( 6.3 8 8.8
4.7 4.6 5.2 Shots on Target (avg) S O 1.7 2.6 2.9
34% 38% 35% Goal Efficiency G E 40% 37% 32%
 
12.6 11.3 11.7 Shots against (avg) S A 13.7 13.9 13.6
4.3 3.7 3.3 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 6.3 5.2 5.2
Key stats in Super League this season:
  • Lugano have scored in all their home matches so far.
  • Lugano haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Winterthur have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Winterthur have the fewest scored goals (30) in Super League
  • Winterthur have the fewest scored goals in the second half (12) in Super League
  • Winterthur have the most conceded goals in the first half (32) in Super League
  • Winterthur have the the worst goal difference (-15) away in Super League
  • Winterthur have the the worst goal difference (-29) in Super League
  • Winterthur have won significantly less corners away then at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Young Boys 32 19 10 3 77 26 16 13 3 0 51 9 16 6 7 3 26 17 51 67
2 Servette 32 11 15 6 43 45 16 7 8 1 23 15 16 4 7 5 20 30 -2 48
3 Lugano 32 12 11 9 51 43 16 7 5 4 28 20 16 5 6 5 23 23 8 47
4 Luzern 32 12 10 10 53 47 16 5 6 5 25 22 16 7 4 5 28 25 6 46
5 Basel 32 10 12 10 43 39 16 5 7 4 23 19 16 5 5 6 20 20 4 42
6 Grasshopper 32 11 7 14 50 57 16 8 2 6 31 27 16 3 5 8 19 30 -7 40
7 St. Gallen 32 9 10 13 53 48 16 6 6 4 27 20 16 3 4 9 26 28 5 37
8 Zürich 32 8 13 11 34 50 16 4 8 4 19 22 16 4 5 7 15 28 -16 37
9 Winterthur 32 8 8 16 30 59 16 5 4 7 15 29 16 3 4 9 15 30 -29 32
10 Sion 32 7 10 15 40 60 16 2 4 10 16 33 16 5 6 5 24 27 -20 31

Read more about Super League

Football is the most popular sport in Switzerland and the Swiss Super League is the top competition. It has ten teams who play each other four times for a total of 36 fixtures each. The season runs from July to May with a winter break. Number one in the final league table is the champion, number ten is relegated while number nine plays a relegation playoff.