Challenge League match prediction: Little separates Winterthur and Aarau in quality

Days
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Competition: Switzerland Challenge League
Competition: Fri 24.September
Match begins: 18:30 (UTC)
Venue: Stadion Schützenwiese (9450 seats)

Winterthur are positioned 1st, while Aarau are loitering 1 points behind in the standings. Can they trim the gap?

Insights:
  • Winterthur have won all their matches at home so far.
  • Aarau have the most scored goals in the first half (9) in Challenge League

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

L L W W W

Winterthur form and stats

Perfect Challenge League season at home so far for Winterthur 3 wins from 3 appearances.

No payout for Winterthur in their previous match, an away game at Vaduz that ended in defeat 0-2.

A Swiss Cup defeat was the result before that one, 1-3 away at Etoile Carouge.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Winterthur have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found eleven matches with the results: Won five, drawn three and lost three.

Winterthur are showing their attacking force in their league home games this season, scoring more than 2,5 goals per game on average (8 goals in 3 games). Winterthur are not conceding a lot of goals here at Stadion Schützenwiese in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 2 from 3 matches.

W W D L W

Aarau form and stats

Aarau are doing rather OK so far in their away games in the Challenge League, having played 3 games and collected 4 points (1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss).

Aarau are travelling after their nice 2-0 home win in the Challenge League against Wil (placed 8th).

Preceding that game was the away Swiss Cup victory against Paradiso with the score of 1-0.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Aarau playing away and similar expectations, we found nine relevant matches. Results were five Aarau wins, one draw and three defeats.

Aarau are not goal shy away from home in the league, finding the net 5 times in 3 away games so far. The Aarau manager S. Keller has some worries about the defense as 6 goals have been conceded in these travels.

Head 2 Head

Winterthur-Aarau H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: Winterthur three wins, Aarau two wins, five draws. eight of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

WinterthurR. Buess
R. Buess
5 goals
AarauK. Spadanuda
K. Spadanuda
5 goals
WinterthurN. Manzambi
N. Manzambi
3 goals

Winterthur missing players

Aarau missing players

Winterthur Aarau
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
7 3 1 Played P 1 3 7
4 3 1 Won W 0 1 4
2 0 0 Drew D 0 1 1
1 0 0 Lost L 1 1 2
13 8 3 Scored S 2 5 15
8 2 0 Conceded C 4 6 11
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
100% 100% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 100% 100%
57% 100% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 67% 57%
29% 33% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 100% 33% 43%
14% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 100% 33% 29%
71% 67% 0% BTTS BTTS 100% 100% 71%
14% 33% 100% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 29%
14% 0% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 0% 0%
 
4.1 4.3 2 Corners for (avg) C F 2 4.3 6.1
4.7 6.7 6 Corners against (avg) C A 6 4.7 5.7
1.9 1.3 3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 5 3.7 2.7
1 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
7 6.7 7 Shots (avg) S ( 11 12 11.1
3.3 3.3 3 Shots on Target (avg) S O 4 4.7 4.4
57% 80% 100% Goal Efficiency G E 50% 36% 48%
Key stats in Challenge League this season:
  • Aarau have scored in all their matches so far.
  • Aarau have the fewest conceded goals in the first half (1) in Challenge League
  • Aarau have the most scored goals in the first half (9) in Challenge League
  • Aarau have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Aarau haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • All of Aarau's matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • All of Winterthur's home-matches have had more than 2,5 goals.
  • Winterthur have won all their matches at home so far.
  • Winterthur haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Winterthur 7 4 2 1 13 8 3 3 0 0 8 2 4 1 2 1 5 6 5 14
2 Neuchatel Xamax 6 4 1 1 15 6 3 3 0 0 11 2 3 1 1 1 4 4 9 13
3 Vaduz 7 4 1 2 14 8 3 2 0 1 7 3 4 2 1 1 7 5 6 13
4 Aarau 7 4 1 2 15 11 4 3 0 1 10 5 3 1 1 1 5 6 4 13
5 Thun 7 3 1 3 11 10 3 2 0 1 5 2 4 1 1 2 6 8 1 10
6 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 6 3 1 2 9 9 3 2 1 0 4 2 3 1 0 2 5 7 0 10
7 FC Schaffhausen 7 2 3 2 10 11 5 2 3 0 9 7 2 0 0 2 1 4 -1 9
8 Wil 7 2 1 4 10 13 3 1 1 1 7 5 4 1 0 3 3 8 -3 7
9 Yverdon Sport 6 0 2 4 6 15 3 0 2 1 3 5 3 0 0 3 3 10 -9 2
10 Kriens 6 0 1 5 5 17 3 0 0 3 3 8 3 0 1 2 2 9 -12 1

Read more about Challenge League

The Swiss Challenge league is the second highest level of football in Switzerland. Ten teams play four fixtures against each other to decide a final league table. The winner is promoted directly while number two enters a promotion playoff. The bottom team is relegated.