Challenge League match prediction: Little separates Winterthur and Aarau in quality

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Competition: Switzerland Challenge League
Competition: Fri 11.March
Match begins: 19:15 (UTC)
Venue: Stadion Schützenwiese (9450 seats)

Buckle up for a show! Today's main characters are Winterthur and Aarau, 3 points is the target and 1 1/2 hours the length.

Insights:
  • Winterthur have the most scored goals (49) in Challenge League
  • Aarau have the fewest conceded goals (28) in Challenge League

We should expect both teams to be fresh and ready for this match, as there is some time since both teams last played. Let's have a look at how the teams are doing!

L W L W W

Winterthur form and stats

Winterthur are steadily winning Challenge League games and points here at Stadion Schützenwiese. 8 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats is the summary from 12 games. Nine out of nine points from the last three home games for Winterthur, and the home supporters are ready to scream their lungs out to keep the winning streak alive.

No payout for Winterthur in their previous match, an away game at Stade Lausanne-Ouchy that ended in defeat 1-3.

Before that game, the 2-0 home victory against Yverdon Sport.

This is expected to be a close game, with Winterthur perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Winterthur as a small favourite), we find eleven games. Winterthur has won five of these, drawn two and lost four.

The Winterthur manager Frei has got the team scoring with 28 from 12 home games in the league. Winterthur have only conceded 11 from their league home games. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 0 of these goals has been conceded in their last three home matches.

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Aarau form and stats

6-3-3 is the win-draw-loss statistic for Aarau in their Challenge League matches away. Long winning streaks away are a rare occurrence in football, which only makes Aarau's record of four away victories in a row even more impressive. They last lost points away in the Wil game.

Aarau's previous game was their home loss versus FC Schaffhausen (3-4).

Before that one, a nice away victory 2-0 at Vaduz.

As mentioned above, this is an open game with no clear favourite. We have found nine similar matches played by Aarau in our archives, and the results are: four wins for Aarau, one draw and four defeats.

As opposed to that, Aarau have seen the ball go into their own net 15 times on the road.

Head 2 Head

This was the result when the contenders met previously this campaign; Aarau - Winterthur 2-0. The ref got to use his red card when these clubs last faced each other, and the sinner was Giger (Aarau). H2H stats regardless of arena (last ten matches): Winterthur three wins, four draws and Aarau three victories. As for goals, seven matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), three games had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

AarauK. Spadanuda
K. Spadanuda
12 goals
WinterthurR. Buess
R. Buess
10 goals
AarauS. Gashi
S. Gashi
9 goals

Winterthur missing players

Aarau missing players

Winterthur Aarau
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
25 12 1 Played P 2 12 25
12 8 0 Won W 1 6 14
6 2 0 Drew D 0 3 5
7 2 1 Lost L 1 3 6
49 28 2 Scored S 3 24 46
33 11 3 Conceded C 2 15 28
88% 83% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 92% 92%
84% 75% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 92% 84%
56% 67% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 58% 44%
40% 42% 100% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 33% 28%
28% 25% 100% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 25% 20%
56% 42% 100% BTTS BTTS 50% 58% 48%
36% 58% 0% Clean Sheets C S 50% 33% 44%
20% 17% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 17% 16%
 
4.8 4.8 11 Corners for (avg) C F 8.5 5.4 6.1
4.3 4.2 6 Corners against (avg) C A 5 5.4 5.5
2.5 2.4 3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2 2.3 2.2
2 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 1
 
9.3 9.9 17 Shots (avg) S ( 15 11.5 10.8
4.2 4.6 8 Shots on Target (avg) S O 9 5.2 4.6
46% 51% 25% Goal Efficiency G E 17% 39% 40%
 
7.8 7 7 Shots against (avg) S A 10.5 10.2 10
3.7 3 5 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 4 4.5 4.2
Key stats in Challenge League this season:
  • Aarau have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Aarau have the fewest conceded goals (15) away in Challenge League
  • Aarau have the fewest conceded goals (28) in Challenge League
  • Aarau have the fewest conceded goals in the first half (7) in Challenge League
  • Aarau have the most clean sheets (11) in Challenge League
  • Aarau have the most clean sheets (4) away in Challenge League
  • Aarau have the most scored goals in the first half (25) in Challenge League
  • Aarau have the the best goal difference (+18) in Challenge League
  • Aarau have the the best goal difference (+9) away in Challenge League
  • Aarau is in the best form (5-0-1) in Challenge League
  • Winterthur have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Winterthur have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Winterthur have the fewest conceded goals in the second half (12) in Challenge League
  • Winterthur have the fewest dropped points from leading position (0) in Challenge League
  • Winterthur have the most points from losing position (12) in Challenge League
  • Winterthur have the most scored goals (49) in Challenge League
  • Winterthur have the most scored goals in the second half (31) in Challenge League
  • Winterthur have the the best goal difference (+17) at home in Challenge League

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Aarau 25 14 5 6 46 28 13 8 2 3 22 13 12 6 3 3 24 15 18 47
2 Winterthur 25 12 6 7 49 33 12 8 2 2 28 11 13 4 4 5 21 22 16 42
3 Vaduz 25 12 5 8 45 38 12 6 2 4 19 15 13 6 3 4 26 23 7 41
4 FC Schaffhausen 25 11 6 8 47 37 13 8 4 1 27 15 12 3 2 7 20 22 10 39
5 Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 25 11 6 8 34 29 13 8 3 2 22 12 12 3 3 6 12 17 5 39
6 Neuchatel Xamax 25 10 6 9 36 37 13 7 2 4 25 21 12 3 4 5 11 16 -1 36
7 Thun 25 10 4 11 40 38 12 5 2 5 22 20 13 5 2 6 18 18 2 34
8 Yverdon Sport 25 8 8 9 30 31 13 6 6 1 19 11 12 2 2 8 11 20 -1 32
9 Wil 25 9 5 11 48 53 12 6 3 3 32 23 13 3 2 8 16 30 -5 32
10 Kriens 25 1 3 21 13 64 12 1 1 10 6 25 13 0 2 11 7 39 -51 6

Read more about Challenge League

The Swiss Challenge league is the second highest level of football in Switzerland. Ten teams play four fixtures against each other to decide a final league table. The winner is promoted directly while number two enters a promotion playoff. The bottom team is relegated.