Betting tips: Brage vs Värnamo - predictions and stats

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Competition: Sweden Superettan
Competition: Sat 20.November
Match begins: 12:00 (UTC)
Venue: Kvarnsvedens IP (6500 seats)

Pre-match info: 26 points separate the participants so far this season, Värnamo the superior team. Can Brage upset the odds?

Insights:
  • Värnamo is in the best form (5-1-0) in Superettan

Brage and Värnamo should both be in good shape for this meeting, as there's been enough days for both of them to train and rest since their last matches.

Relegation threatens Brage who should definitely be looking for some points here. Happy, happy days for Värnamo who are already winners of the Superettan. This could affect their motivation.

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Brage form and stats

5 victories, 4 draws and 5 defeats. That’s what Brage have to build on here at Kvarnsvedens IP in the Superettan.

Brage's last game was hosting Akropolis (placed 12th) and winning 2-0.

Prior to that was the away defeat visiting Helsingborg (0-3).

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Brage have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found ten matches with the results: Won three, drawn one and lost six.

Brage has scored 18 league goals at home this season, in 14 matches. Brage's goalkeeper has had to pick the ball out of their own net 18 times. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 2 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 home matches.

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Värnamo form and stats

Playing away, Värnamo have won 7 games, drawn 3 and suffered 4 defeats in the Superettan this season. The fact that Värnamo have won four matches in a row should scare the hosts and makes this contest more interesting.

Värnamo go into this game after a win, the home game against Helsingborg that ended 3-1.

Ahead of that match was the victory versus AFC Eskilstuna at their stadium, the result 2-0.

As mentioned above, this is an open game with no clear favourite. We have found 13 similar matches played by Värnamo in our archives, and the results are: seven wins for Värnamo, zero draws and six defeats.

Scoring goals is the main ingredient in creating success in football, and not only at home. So far Värnamo have scored 19 goals in 14 league games away. As opposed to that, Värnamo have seen the ball go into their own net 15 times on the road.

Head 2 Head

Värnamo - Brage 1-0 was the scoreline in these contenders' last H2H match, played this season. As for the last nine games between these two teams, there's one Brage victory, three draws and five Värnamo wins. Over/under statistics; five of these games ended with three goals or more, four matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

BrageL. Pllana
L. Pllana
12 goals
VärnamoO. Johansson
O. Johansson
7 goals
VärnamoO. Uddenäs
O. Uddenäs
5 goals

Brage missing players

Värnamo missing players

Brage Värnamo
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
28 14 4 Played P 5 14 28
8 5 0 Won W 3 7 18
9 4 3 Drew D 2 3 5
11 5 1 Lost L 0 4 5
35 18 3 Scored S 8 19 42
40 18 4 Conceded C 3 15 24
89% 86% 50% Over 0.5 O 0.5 80% 86% 93%
68% 57% 50% Over 1.5 O 1.5 80% 86% 75%
54% 50% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 60% 43% 36%
32% 36% 25% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 14% 18%
18% 21% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 14% 14%
54% 43% 50% BTTS BTTS 60% 36% 39%
29% 43% 50% Clean Sheets C S 40% 36% 43%
29% 29% 50% Failed to Score F T 20% 43% 25%
 
4.8 5 5.2 Corners for (avg) C F 6.6 6.6 6.4
4.9 4.7 4.5 Corners against (avg) C A 4.4 4.2 4.6
2.1 2.4 3.2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.8 1.5 1.5
2 1 0 Red cards R C 0 0 1
 
10.1 11 8.2 Shots (avg) S ( 11.2 12.1 11
4.6 4.7 2.8 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.6 4.6 4.5
27% 27% 27% Goal Efficiency G E 44% 29% 34%
 
11.1 10.4 10 Shots against (avg) S A 8.2 9.5 8.9
4.4 4.2 3.5 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 3.4 4.4 3.5
Key stats in Superettan this season:
  • Värnamo have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Värnamo have the fewest conceded goals in the second half (12) in Superettan
  • Värnamo have the fewest dropped points from leading position (2) in Superettan
  • Värnamo have the most points (24) away in Superettan
  • Värnamo have the most scored goals in the first half (20) in Superettan
  • Värnamo is in the best form (5-1-0) in Superettan

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Värnamo 28 18 5 5 42 24 14 11 2 1 23 9 14 7 3 4 19 15 18 59
2 GIF Sundsvall 28 15 7 6 44 26 14 9 3 2 26 12 14 6 4 4 18 14 18 52
3 Helsingborg 28 13 7 8 44 26 14 7 2 5 22 12 14 6 5 3 22 14 18 46
4 Norrby 28 11 9 8 38 32 14 5 5 4 19 17 14 6 4 4 19 15 6 42
5 Öster 28 11 9 8 30 24 14 7 5 2 16 10 14 4 4 6 14 14 6 42
6 Trelleborg 28 11 9 8 40 35 14 8 3 3 23 13 14 3 6 5 17 22 5 42
7 Landskrona 28 12 5 11 38 35 14 10 2 2 22 12 14 2 3 9 16 23 3 41
8 Örgryte 28 8 13 7 36 37 14 4 8 2 19 16 14 4 5 5 17 21 -1 37
9 Jonkopings Sodra 28 9 8 11 30 34 14 6 5 3 19 13 14 3 3 8 11 21 -4 35
10 AFC Eskilstuna 28 9 7 12 38 40 14 7 4 3 24 13 14 2 3 9 14 27 -2 34
11 Västerås SK 28 8 10 10 33 37 14 4 6 4 19 20 14 4 4 6 14 17 -4 34
12 Akropolis 28 9 7 12 27 42 14 6 3 5 14 17 14 3 4 7 13 25 -15 34
13 Brage 28 8 9 11 35 40 14 5 4 5 18 18 14 3 5 6 17 22 -5 33
14 GAIS 28 9 3 16 29 39 14 4 2 8 16 23 14 5 1 8 13 16 -10 30
15 Vasalund 28 7 5 16 33 47 14 4 3 7 17 20 14 3 2 9 16 27 -14 26
16 Falkenberg 28 6 7 15 33 52 14 4 3 7 19 29 14 2 4 8 14 23 -19 25

Read more about Superettan

Superettan (meaning “the super one” in English) is the second highest league in the Swedish football league pyramid. It runs from April to October and has 16 teams. After a total of 240 fixtures the top two teams in the league table are promoted, while another can promote through a playoff.