Division 1: North prediction: Home win expected when Sollentuna takes on Boden

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Competition: Sweden Division 1: North
Date: Sun 11.August
Match begins: 12:00 (UTC)
Venue: Sollentunavallen (4500 seats)

An important duel in the bottom section of the league table, with both teams experiencing more worry than joy. This match is a classic “six-pointer” with the home team placed 12th and the visitors in 16th place.

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

One slightly interesting match fact is that this game is played on grass and that the visiting Boden have a different surface at their stadium (artificial turf). The impact of this is hard to measure exactly, but the visitors stats on grass is 10-5-9 (win-draw-loss) from 24 matches. Boden have a very long trip to this away game, as there's more than 900 kilometers in distance to cover. This could prove a challenge, at least for the supporters.

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Sollentuna form and stats

With 1 win, 3 draws and 2 defeats from their home games, Sollentuna are certainly not brimming with confidence. Sollentuna has three losses from their three previous games and the tension is increasing in the dressing room for both the manager C. Mattiasson and the players. We have seen two home losses in a row now for Sollentuna, who are hoping that the phrase “third time lucky” applies to them.

The Sollentuna crowd went home unhappy last time out, seeing their beloved players lose 2-3 to Boden here at Sollentunavallen in a Division 1: North match. Preceding that match was a defeat to Akropolis (0-2).

The Sollentuna fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 9 goals in 6 matches. On the other hand, Sollentuna have conceded 6 goals.

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Boden form and stats

There's been little loot from Boden's travels as they have only collected 3 points from 6 away games. Boden, who have the fewest scored goals (4) in Division 1: North, only have 1 win to counter their 5 defeats and 0 draws.

It's the second away game in a row for Boden, but there's smiles all around after the 3-2 victory versus Sollentuna in the Division 1: North last time out. Before that, Boden travelled to Team Thoren and returned home with a draw after the game finished 0-0.

With the home team given a winning probability of about 80% by the bookmakers, any point(s) for the visitors would be a surprise. Checking earlier matches with similar odds with Boden as the away team, we found four results. Statistics from these were 1 away win, 0 draws and 3 defeats. The outsiders lost 3 of these games by at least two goals.

Boden are seemingly not capable of scoring regularly on their travels and have only managed 1 goal from 6 away games. The Boden defense is as useful as an ashtray on a motorcycle, having conceded 19 goals in their away games.

Head 2 Head

The dueling parties have met before this season: Sollentuna - Boden 2-3. Head-2-head stats last two meetings: 0 - 1 - 1 (Sollentuna wins - draws - Boden wins). As for goals, 1 match ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), 1 had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

A. Seger
4 goals
D. Seger
4 goals
J. Ibarra
4 goals

Sollentuna missing players

Boden missing players

Sollentuna Boden
Total Home Home vs low Statistic Away vs low Away Total
18 10 3 Played 2 9 18
4 3 0 Won 0 2 3
6 3 2 Drew 1 1 4
8 4 1 Lost 1 6 11
22 15 2 Scored 0 6 14
25 13 3 Conceded 2 25 41
89% 90% 100% Over 0.5 50% 89% 94%
72% 70% 67% Over 1.5 50% 78% 78%
44% 40% 0% Over 2.5 0% 56% 44%
33% 40% 0% Over 3.5 0% 44% 33%
17% 30% 0% Over 4.5 0% 33% 22%
61% 50% 67% BTTS 0% 22% 33%
28% 30% 0% Clean Sheets 50% 22% 11%
22% 30% 33% Failed To Score 100% 67% 61%
 
5.3 5.7 7.7 Corners For (avg) 5 4.7 3.1
3.7 3.6 1 Corners Against (avg) 11 5.8 3.9
1.7 1.6 2.7 Yellow Cards (avg) 0 1.5 1
2 0 0 Red Cards 0 0 0
Key stats this season:
  • Boden have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Boden have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Boden have won significantly more corners away than at home.
  • Sollentuna have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Boden have scored away.

Sollentuna
20-06-19 D1N Sollentuna 3 - 2 Umeå
29-06-19 D1N Sollentuna 1 - 0 Vasalund
04-07-19 D1N Umeå 2 - 1 Sollentuna
04-08-19 D1N Sollentuna 0 - 2 Akropolis
11-08-19 D1N Sollentuna 2 - 3 Boden
17-08-19 D1N Sylvia 14:00 Sollentuna
21-08-19 SC Sollentuna 16:30 Degerfors
24-08-19 D1N Sollentuna 14:00 Karlslund
01-09-19 D1N Nyköping 14:00 Sollentuna
07-09-19 D1N Forward 12:00 Sollentuna
Boden
23-06-19 D1N Boden 5 - 2 Rynninge
30-06-19 D1N Sylvia 4 - 2 Boden
07-07-19 D1N Boden 0 - 4 Linköping City
04-08-19 D1N Team Thoren 0 - 0 Boden
11-08-19 D1N Sollentuna 2 - 3 Boden
16-08-19 D1N Boden 17:00 Umeå
24-08-19 D1N Carlstad United 14:00 Boden
01-09-19 D1N Boden 12:00 Akropolis
07-09-19 D1N Vasalund 12:00 Boden
15-09-19 D1N Forward 13:00 Boden

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A D P
1 Umeå 13 10 0 3 24 13 7 6 0 1 15 7 6 4 0 2 9 6 11 30
2 Akropolis 12 8 4 0 34 10 6 4 2 0 19 3 6 4 2 0 15 7 24 28
3 Linköping City 13 6 4 3 26 16 6 4 1 1 16 6 7 2 3 2 10 10 10 22
4 Carlstad United 12 6 4 2 20 12 5 3 2 0 10 5 7 3 2 2 10 7 8 22
5 Karlstad 13 5 5 3 18 12 6 2 2 2 8 7 7 3 3 1 10 5 6 20
6 Sandviken 12 5 4 3 22 16 6 3 1 2 13 8 6 2 3 1 9 8 6 19
7 Karlslund 12 3 8 1 15 12 7 2 5 0 7 4 5 1 3 1 8 8 3 17
8 Vasalund 12 3 7 2 19 17 6 2 4 0 10 6 6 1 3 2 9 11 2 16
9 Sylvia 13 5 1 7 26 30 7 3 1 3 16 14 6 2 0 4 10 16 -4 16
10 Gefle 12 4 3 5 12 14 6 3 1 2 8 6 6 1 2 3 4 8 -2 15
11 Team Thoren 12 4 1 7 14 20 6 2 1 3 9 9 6 2 0 4 5 11 -6 13
12 Sollentuna 12 2 6 4 14 14 6 1 3 2 9 6 6 1 3 2 5 8 0 12
13 Rynninge 12 3 2 7 18 27 6 2 1 3 9 10 6 1 1 4 9 17 -9 11
14 Forward 13 3 2 8 16 26 6 2 0 4 7 10 7 1 2 4 9 16 -10 11
15 Nyköping 12 2 4 6 11 25 6 2 2 2 10 13 6 0 2 4 1 12 -14 10
16 Boden 13 1 3 9 4 29 7 0 3 4 3 10 6 1 0 5 1 19 -25 6