Allsvenskan match prediction: Little separates Hammarby and AIK in quality

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Competition: Sweden Allsvenskan
Competition: Sun 17.October
Match begins: 13:00 (UTC)
Venue: Tele2 Arena (40000 seats)

Hammarby will aim to use their home advantage to help in closing the gap to today’s opposition. The host team are currently 10 points behind AIK.

Insights:
  • Hammarby have the most dropped points from leading position (13) in Allsvenskan
  • AIK have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

This has all the signs of an engrossing game with lots of spark and energy as both contenders are well recovered since they last saw competitive action. Let's get started!

9-6-3 (wins/draws/losses). These are the numbers for AIK when playing away games on artifical turf, which is not the surface they have on their own home stadium (which has grass). Their goal statistics from those 18 matches are 33-20 (scored/conceded).

L D W W L

Hammarby form and stats

Hammarby have performed here at Tele2 Arena this season with 7 wins from 11 Allsvenskan matches. Some points have been lost, as they have drawn 3 games and lost 1. Hammarby are on a three game winning streak in their home games.

Hammarby lost their last game at Norrköping (placed 4th) after a 1-3 scoreline. Midfielder Vladimir Rodić was the best player on the team with a rating of 7.65 (out of ten) in that game. Rodić hit two key passes and dribled past the opponent 2 of 4 times.

A 1-1 draw away before that, with Häcken the opponent.

This is expected to be a close game, with Hammarby perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Hammarby as a small favourite), we find four games. Hammarby has won two of these, drawn two and lost zero.

There will be little rest for Hammarby after this match as they are travelling to Hudiksvall for a Svenska Cupen game in only three days.

The Hammarby manager M. Milojevic has got the team scoring with 22 from 11 home games in the league. Hammarby have conceded 11 in these home matches. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 1 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 home matches.

W L D W D

AIK form and stats

As the visiting team in Allsvenskan matches, AIK have produced an overall stat of 3-3-4 so far.

AIK are travelling after their nice 1-0 home win in the Allsvenskan against Djurgården (placed 1st). A heroic performance from AIK in their game against Djurgården last time out. Things got complicated when Nicolás Stefanelli was sent off in the 45th minute with the match level. Despite the red card the team were able to pull off a 1-0 victory! Midfielder Zachary Elbouzedi was the best performer of that match, with a rating of 7.61. Elbouzedi hit four key passes and dribled past the opponent 2 of 3 times.

A 1-2 defeat away at Degerfors before that.

As mentioned above, this is an open game with no clear favourite. We have found five similar matches played by AIK in our archives, and the results are: two wins for AIK, zero draws and three defeats.

AIK find the net regularly in their away games. 11 goals from 10 away fixtures in the league. As opposed to that, AIK have seen the ball go into their own net 12 times on the road.

Head 2 Head

It's not the first time these sides get together this season, as the fixture list show this recent fixture: AIK - Hammarby 2-0. Hammarby-AIK H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: Hammarby three wins, AIK six wins, one draw. four of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

HammarbyG. Ludwigson
G. Ludwigson
8 goals
AIKN. Bahoui
N. Bahoui
7 goals
HammarbyA. Amoo
A. Amoo
6 goals

Hammarby missing players

AIK missing players

Hammarby AIK
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
22 11 4 Played P 3 10 22
9 7 2 Won W 1 3 13
7 3 1 Drew D 1 3 5
6 1 1 Lost L 1 4 4
36 22 6 Scored S 3 11 32
30 11 6 Conceded C 3 12 18
95% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 90% 95%
91% 91% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 67% 80% 77%
55% 55% 75% Over 2.5 O 2.5 33% 40% 36%
36% 27% 25% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 10% 14%
18% 18% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 10% 5%
68% 64% 75% BTTS BTTS 67% 60% 50%
23% 27% 0% Clean Sheets C S 33% 20% 41%
14% 9% 25% Failed to Score F T 0% 30% 14%
 
5.7 5.8 6 Corners for (avg) C F 7.7 6.7 6.5
5.3 5.4 7 Corners against (avg) C A 7 5.1 4.3
2.3 1.8 2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3.3 1.9 1.8
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 1
 
13.1 14.5 15 Shots (avg) S ( 14.7 14.6 14.5
4.5 5.1 5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.7 4.5 4.7
37% 39% 30% Goal Efficiency G E 27% 24% 31%
Key stats in Allsvenskan this season:
  • AIK have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Hammarby have the most dropped points from leading position (13) in Allsvenskan
  • Hammarby have the most points from losing position (10) in Allsvenskan
  • Hammarby haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Djurgården 22 13 5 4 37 18 11 8 2 1 24 10 11 5 3 3 13 8 19 44
2 AIK 22 13 5 4 32 18 12 10 2 0 21 6 10 3 3 4 11 12 14 44
3 Malmö FF 22 12 5 5 45 25 12 7 3 2 28 14 10 5 2 3 17 11 20 41
4 Norrköping 22 12 3 7 37 23 11 7 2 2 21 10 11 5 1 5 16 13 14 39
5 Elfsborg 22 12 3 7 35 25 12 7 2 3 21 13 10 5 1 4 14 12 10 39
6 Kalmar 22 10 7 5 27 22 12 5 4 3 15 12 10 5 3 2 12 10 5 37
7 Hammarby 22 9 7 6 36 30 11 7 3 1 22 11 11 2 4 5 14 19 6 34
8 Häcken 22 7 7 8 33 32 10 4 3 3 19 13 12 3 4 5 14 19 1 28
9 Varberg 22 7 7 8 25 27 11 4 4 3 11 12 11 3 3 5 14 15 -2 28
10 Sirius 22 7 6 9 24 36 10 5 1 4 11 11 12 2 5 5 13 25 -12 27
11 Mjällby 22 5 9 8 18 19 10 3 4 3 7 5 12 2 5 5 11 14 -1 24
12 Halmstad 22 4 11 7 15 19 11 2 8 1 8 7 11 2 3 6 7 12 -4 23
13 IFK Göteborg 22 5 7 10 24 32 11 3 3 5 14 15 11 2 4 5 10 17 -8 22
14 Degerfors 22 6 4 12 23 39 10 5 1 4 15 13 12 1 3 8 8 26 -16 22
15 Örebro 22 4 4 14 16 44 11 2 4 5 9 16 11 2 0 9 7 28 -28 16
16 Östersunds FK 22 3 4 15 20 38 11 3 1 7 17 16 11 0 3 8 3 22 -18 13

Hammarby:
AIK:
Allsvenskan:
Sweden:

Read more about Allsvenskan

Allsvenskan (meaning All Swedish in English) is the top level division in Swedish football. Seasons run from late March or early April to November, with 16 teams playing a total of 240 fixtures. The best placed team in the league table after this is called the Swedish champion.