Allsvenskan prediction and preview: Degerfors modest favorites to beat Östersunds FK

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Competition: Sweden Allsvenskan
Competition: Sat 03.July
Match begins: 15:30 (UTC)
Venue: Stora Valla (7500 seats)

The home fans are expecting three points in this fixture, as the home advantage should be put to good use versus a struggling visitor. Degerfors are in the 7th position while the guesting Östersunds FK worry at 13th.

Insights:
  • Degerfors have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won.
  • Östersunds FK is in the worst form (1-1-4)

It should be mentioned that Östersunds FK play their home matches on artifical turf, so they have to adjust for this one as it's played on grass. Does it matter? Recent statistics for Östersunds FK on grass are 7 victories, 7 draws and 10 defeats from 24 games. In these matches they have a goal statistics scored/conceded: 19-36. You can compare this with overall results below.

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Degerfors form and stats

Degerfors must be fairly happy with 6 points from their first three Allsvenskan games here at Stora Valla. The opportunity of a proper winning streak is there for the hosts, with two straight wins here at Stora Valla.

The Degerfors goalkeeper Ismael Diarra Diawara is looking to record 90 more "clean sheet" minutes as his team have now played 232 minutes without conceding a goal in the Allsvenskan.

Degerfors travelled for their previous game, a trip to Halmstad that ended 0-0. The goalie Ismael Diawara was named most valuable player of the team in that game, scoring 8.6 out of ten. Diawara stopped the opponent with six saves and topped it up with a clean sheet. The Degerfors goalkeeper Ismael Diawara was crucial in the match against Halmstad last time out, making six saves.

Before that, Degerfors had a home game versus Örebro which ended with a victory 3-0.

The hosts are favourites to win this game, with an estimated chance of about 55-60% of that outcome. Earlier Degerfors matches with similar probabilities have ended with two wins, one draw and one defeat (from four games).

Degerfors have proved capable of finding the net in their games here at Stora Valla with 5 goals in 3 league matches. Defensively Degerfors have been outstanding, conceding less than half a goal on average per home game in the league (1 in 3 games). For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

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Östersunds FK form and stats

As the visiting team in Allsvenskan matches, Östersunds FK have produced an overall stat of 0-2-2 so far. The travelling fans think it's time that their travel expenses are covered with some points now, as Östersunds have lost on their last two travels.

Östersunds go into this game after a win, the home game against Sirius that ended 3-0. Midfield player Felix Hörberg was the top player of the team with a match rating of 8.52/10. Hörberg scored one goal, served one assist and hit five key passes.

A loss against AIK was the result prior to that, in a home game.

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Östersunds playing away, we found five games. Results were two away wins, one draw and two home wins.

Goals are few and far between in Östersunds FK's away league games. Only 1 goal from 4 travels. 4 goals have been conceded by Östersunds in these games.

Head 2 Head

Degerfors-Östersunds FK H2H statistics last eight meetings regardless of arena: Degerfors four wins, Östersunds FK one win, three draws. four of these eight matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

DegerforsV. Edvardsen
V. Edvardsen
5 goals
Östersunds FKB. Turgott
B. Turgott
5 goals
DegerforsJ. Bertilsson
J. Bertilsson
2 goals

Degerfors missing players

Östersunds FK missing players

Degerfors Östersunds FK
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
8 3 1 Played P 1 4 8
3 2 1 Won W 0 0 2
2 0 0 Drew D 0 2 2
3 1 0 Lost L 1 2 4
9 5 3 Scored S 0 1 11
7 1 0 Conceded C 1 4 8
88% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 75% 88%
62% 67% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 0% 50% 75%
25% 33% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 0% 50%
12% 0% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 0% 12%
12% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 12%
25% 0% 0% BTTS BTTS 0% 25% 38%
38% 67% 100% Clean Sheets C S 0% 25% 38%
50% 33% 0% Failed to Score F T 100% 75% 38%
 
3.1 3.3 4 Corners for (avg) C F 6 3 4.2
6.4 6.3 5 Corners against (avg) C A 3 9 7.6
2.1 3.7 3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2 2 2.1
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 1 1
 
8.5 8.7 17 Shots (avg) S ( 12 6 6.5
3.1 3.3 7 Shots on Target (avg) S O 5 1.5 2.6
36% 50% 43% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 17% 52%
Key stats in Allsvenskan this season:
  • Degerfors have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won.
  • Östersunds FK have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won away.
  • Östersunds FK have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Östersunds FK have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Östersunds FK have yet to win a game away.
  • Östersunds FK is in the worst form (1-1-4)

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Malmö FF 9 6 2 1 18 13 5 4 1 0 12 7 4 2 1 1 6 6 5 20
2 Djurgården 8 5 2 1 13 6 4 3 1 0 6 1 4 2 1 1 7 5 7 17
3 AIK 8 4 2 2 10 8 5 3 2 0 8 3 3 1 0 2 2 5 2 14
4 Elfsborg 9 4 1 4 12 11 5 2 1 2 6 7 4 2 0 2 6 4 1 13
5 Kalmar 8 3 4 1 8 7 4 2 2 0 3 1 4 1 2 1 5 6 1 13
6 Norrköping 8 3 2 3 10 7 4 2 2 0 6 3 4 1 0 3 4 4 3 11
7 Degerfors 8 3 2 3 9 7 3 2 0 1 5 1 5 1 2 2 4 6 2 11
8 Hammarby 8 3 2 3 14 13 4 2 2 0 8 5 4 1 0 3 6 8 1 11
9 Mjallby 8 2 4 2 6 7 4 2 2 0 3 1 4 0 2 2 3 6 -1 10
10 IFK Göteborg 8 1 6 1 8 7 4 1 2 1 7 6 4 0 4 0 1 1 1 9
11 Halmstad 8 2 3 3 7 8 4 1 3 0 3 2 4 1 0 3 4 6 -1 9
12 Sirius 8 2 3 3 9 13 3 1 1 1 2 3 5 1 2 2 7 10 -4 9
13 Östersunds FK 8 2 2 4 11 8 4 2 0 2 10 4 4 0 2 2 1 4 3 8
14 Varberg 8 2 1 5 10 17 4 1 0 3 5 10 4 1 1 2 5 7 -7 7
15 Örebro 8 2 1 5 5 16 4 1 1 2 2 5 4 1 0 3 3 11 -11 7
16 Häcken 8 1 3 4 10 12 4 1 0 3 7 8 4 0 3 1 3 4 -2 6

Read more about Allsvenskan

Allsvenskan (meaning All Swedish in English) is the top level division in Swedish football. Seasons run from late March or early April to November, with 16 teams playing a total of 240 fixtures. The best placed team in the league table after this is called the Swedish champion.