Tercera - Group 4 match prediction: Little separates Tolosa and Uritarra in quality

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Competition: Spain Tercera - Group 4
Competition: Sat 19.March
Match begins: 15:30 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio de Berazubi (3000 seats)

Very important face-off in the lower part of the Tercera - Group 4, with both Tolosa and Uritarra feeling more distress than delight. This match is a real "six-pointer" with the hosting team placed 18th and the away team in 19th spot.

Insights:
  • Tolosa have the most conceded goals in the first half (24) in Tercera - Group 4
  • Uritarra have the fewest scored goals (27) in Tercera - Group 4

We should expect both teams to be fresh and ready for this match, as there is some time since both teams last played. Let's have a look at how the teams are doing!

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Tolosa form and stats

Tolosa's results here at Estadio de Berazubi in the Tercera - Group 4 have been very modest with 4 victories, 0 draws and 11 defeats. Tolosa has three losses from their three previous games and the tension is increasing in the dressing room for both the manager Aranbide and the players.

No payout for Tolosa in their previous match, an away game at San Ignacio that ended in defeat 1-3.

Before that game, the home loss against Barakaldo with the scoreline 2-3.

This is expected to be a close game, with Tolosa perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Tolosa as a small favourite), we find five games. Tolosa has won two of these, drawn two and lost one.

Tolosa are struggling defensively, conceding on average more than two goals per home game (31 from 15 played).

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Uritarra form and stats

There's been little loot from Uritarra's travels as they have only collected 11 points from 16 away games in the Tercera - Group 4. Uritarra only have 3 wins to counter their 11 defeats and 2 draws.

Uritarra failed to get anything from their last game, a home match vs Leioa (placed 6th) that ended with defeat 0-1.

Before that, Uritarra travelled to Durango and returned home with a draw after the game finished 1-1.

The visitors have scored 11 goals from 16 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 1 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. As opposed to that, Uritarra have seen the ball go into their own net 21 times on the road.

Head 2 Head

Uritarra - Tolosa 1-0 was the result in these squads' last head to head game, earlier this season.

Top Goalscorers

TolosaI. Garmendia Aranburu
I. Garmendia Aranburu
8 goals
TolosaH. Marcos Davila
H. Marcos Davila
6 goals
UritarraU. Villada Lozano
U. Villada Lozano
5 goals

Tolosa missing players

Uritarra missing players

Tolosa Uritarra
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
31 15 3 Played P 5 16 31
7 4 0 Won W 0 3 6
5 0 0 Drew D 0 2 7
19 11 3 Lost L 5 11 18
33 15 2 Scored S 0 11 27
66 31 8 Conceded C 6 21 45
94% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
87% 93% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 20% 56% 68%
71% 73% 67% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 31% 39%
35% 20% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 12% 19%
26% 20% 33% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 6%
52% 47% 67% BTTS BTTS 0% 44% 61%
16% 13% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 6% 6%
39% 40% 33% Failed to Score F T 100% 50% 32%
 
4 2 2 Corners for (avg) C F 1.5 3.1 3.8
4.5 4 1 Corners against (avg) C A 2 7.3 6.4
2.2 1.7 1 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 4 3.3 2.9
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
4.7 4.3 4 Shots (avg) S ( 6 8.9 9.8
2.8 2.7 2 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.5 3.1 3.5
29% 25% 0% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 26% 27%
 
8.8 9.3 15 Shots against (avg) S A 9 13.9 13.4
4 4.3 5 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 1.5 4.9 4.5
Key stats in Tercera - Group 4 this season:
  • Tolosa have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored at home.
  • Tolosa have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Tolosa have the most conceded goals (31) at home in Tercera - Group 4
  • Tolosa have the most conceded goals in the first half (24) in Tercera - Group 4
  • Tolosa have the the worst goal difference (-16) at home in Tercera - Group 4
  • Tolosa have won significantly less corners at home than away.
  • Tolosa haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Uritarra have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won away.
  • Uritarra have the fewest clean sheets (2) in Tercera - Group 4
  • Uritarra have the fewest scored goals (27) in Tercera - Group 4
  • Uritarra have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Uritarra haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Portugalete 31 18 9 4 55 26 16 12 2 2 33 11 15 6 7 2 22 15 29 63
2 Deportivo Alaves II 31 17 10 4 58 24 16 10 4 2 35 13 15 7 6 2 23 11 34 61
3 Beasain 31 15 10 6 49 28 16 8 3 5 27 18 15 7 7 1 22 10 21 55
4 Barakaldo 31 15 8 8 52 38 16 8 4 4 29 19 15 7 4 4 23 19 14 53
5 Basconia 31 15 8 8 34 24 15 6 5 4 17 12 16 9 3 4 17 12 10 53
6 Leioa 32 14 8 10 47 29 16 7 4 5 23 12 16 7 4 5 24 17 18 50
7 Durango 32 12 13 7 39 27 16 6 6 4 22 15 16 6 7 3 17 12 12 49
8 San Ignacio 31 14 6 11 44 39 15 8 3 4 25 17 16 6 3 7 19 22 5 48
9 CD Vitoria 31 12 9 10 45 40 16 5 5 6 20 21 15 7 4 4 25 19 5 45
10 Anaitasuna FT 31 12 8 11 39 39 15 8 7 0 22 6 16 4 1 11 17 33 0 44
11 Deusto 31 9 13 9 33 30 16 5 8 3 22 14 15 4 5 6 11 16 3 40
12 Pasaia KE 32 10 10 12 31 38 15 2 5 8 12 21 17 8 5 4 19 17 -7 40
13 Lagun Onak 32 9 12 11 34 38 16 7 6 3 22 16 16 2 6 8 12 22 -4 39
14 Urduliz 31 10 7 14 29 43 15 3 5 7 10 16 16 7 2 7 18 27 -14 37
15 Aurrera de Ondarroa 31 9 7 15 28 43 16 6 2 8 19 22 15 3 5 7 9 21 -15 34
16 Santutxu 31 6 13 12 33 47 16 3 7 6 15 20 15 3 6 6 18 27 -14 31
17 Amurrio 31 6 12 13 28 35 16 4 5 7 19 16 15 2 7 6 9 18 -7 30
18 Tolosa 31 7 5 19 33 66 15 4 0 11 15 31 16 3 5 8 18 35 -33 26
19 Uritarra 31 6 7 18 27 45 15 3 5 7 16 24 16 3 2 11 11 21 -18 25
20 Beti Gazte 31 5 7 19 28 67 15 2 5 8 14 24 16 3 2 11 14 43 -39 22

Read more about Tercera - Group 4

Tercera División is the fourth level of football in Spain. It is divided into 18 regional groups. Most of these groups feature 20 teams who play each other home and away for a total of 380 fixtures. At the end of the season the top four teams in each group league table go into a promotion playoff.