La Liga preview: Can Atlético Madrid edge out victory against Sevilla?

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Competition: Spain La Liga
Competition: Sat 07.March
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Wanda Metropolitano (67829 seats)

Atlético Madrid and Sevilla are both riding high in the La Liga with their 5th and 3rd positions respectively. Expect a great game!

This should be an interesting game with lots of spark and energy as both teams are well rested since they last saw competitive action. Game on!

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Atlético Madrid form and stats

28 points is a decent return from 13 La Liga games here at Estadio Wanda Metropolitano for Atlético Madrid. The data says 8 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss. Hopes of three in a row are alive for Atlético Madrid after consecutive victories at their own ground.

Atlético Madrid travelled for their previous game, a trip to Espanyol that ended 1-1. Previous to that game, a home match hosting Villarreal in a game that was won 3-1.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Atlético Madrid have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found three games) they have won two times, drawn one and lost zero.

There's a new game coming up fairly quickly for Atlético Madrid as they are travelling to their away game against Liverpool in the Champions League. That match is four days after this one.

Atlético Madrid are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 18 goals in 13 games. Atlético Madrid are not conceding a lot of goals here at Estadio Wanda Metropolitano in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 7 from 13 matches.

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Sevilla form and stats

The visitors are W7-D2-L4 on the road this term. That's in the La Liga.

Youssef En-Nesyri (2) and Lucas Ocampos scored in Sevilla's previous match, the home game against Osasuna that ended 3-2. Preceding that match was the 0-0 draw at home vs CFR Cluj.

The end of the last match, against Osasuna, was very satisfying as Youssef En-Nesyri scored the winning goal deep into overtime.

We have checked recent matches where Sevilla have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those two games were zero victories, two draws and zero defeats.

Sevilla have a decent goal production going in their away games, although not fantastic. In 13 league away games 18 goals have been scored. As opposed to that, Sevilla have seen the ball go into their own net 14 times on the road.

Head 2 Head

This is the result when the teams met earlier this season; Sevilla - Atlético Madrid 1-1. Atlético Madrid-Sevilla H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: Atlético Madrid three wins, Sevilla three wins, four draws. four of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

SevillaL. Ocampos
L. Ocampos
9 goals
Atlético MadridÁ. Morata Martín
Á. Morata Martín
7 goals
Atlético MadridÁ. Correa
Á. Correa
5 goals

Atlético Madrid missing players

Sevilla missing players

Atlético Madrid Sevilla
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
26 13 3 Played P 3 13 26
11 8 1 Won W 1 7 13
11 4 1 Drew D 0 2 7
4 1 1 Lost L 2 4 6
29 18 1 Scored S 4 18 37
19 7 1 Conceded C 6 14 27
81% 77% 67% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
62% 54% 0% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 77% 77%
23% 31% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 46% 38%
15% 23% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 33% 15% 19%
4% 8% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 8% 12%
42% 38% 0% BTTS BTTS 33% 46% 54%
42% 54% 67% Clean Sheets C S 33% 46% 38%
35% 31% 67% Failed to Score F T 33% 8% 8%
 
5.2 5.8 5.7 Corners for (avg) C F 5.7 4.5 6.1
5 4.1 5.3 Corners against (avg) C A 4.7 4.5 3.3
2.5 1.9 2.7 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.7 3 2.8
2 1 1 Red cards R C 0 1 1
 
319 183 32 Total Shots T S 28 140 341
102 63 9 Shots on Target S O 12 55 117
28% 29% 11% Goal Efficiency G E 33% 33% 32%
Key stats in La Liga this season:
  • Atlético Madrid has the fewest conceded goals in the second half (10)
  • Atlético Madrid have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Atlético Madrid have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Sevilla have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Sevilla have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Sevilla haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Real Madrid 26 16 8 2 48 17 13 9 4 0 27 9 13 7 4 2 21 8 31 56
2 Barcelona 26 17 4 5 62 31 13 12 1 0 44 12 13 5 3 5 18 19 31 55
3 Sevilla 26 13 7 6 37 27 13 6 5 2 19 13 13 7 2 4 18 14 10 46
4 Getafe 26 13 6 7 37 25 13 7 3 3 21 13 13 6 3 4 16 12 12 45
5 Atlético Madrid 26 11 11 4 29 19 13 8 4 1 18 7 13 3 7 3 11 12 10 44
6 Real Sociedad 25 13 4 8 43 31 13 8 2 3 27 12 12 5 2 5 16 19 12 43
7 Valencia 26 11 8 7 37 38 14 8 6 0 23 12 12 3 2 7 14 26 -1 41
8 Villarreal 26 11 5 10 43 36 12 6 4 2 25 15 14 5 1 8 18 21 7 38
9 Granada 26 11 4 11 32 31 13 8 2 3 16 8 13 3 2 8 16 23 1 37
10 Athletic Club 26 8 10 8 25 22 13 7 3 3 15 7 13 1 7 5 10 15 3 34
11 Levante 26 10 2 14 31 39 12 7 2 3 18 11 14 3 0 11 13 28 -8 32
12 Osasuna 26 7 10 9 33 38 13 4 5 4 19 20 13 3 5 5 14 18 -5 31
13 Deportivo Alaves 26 8 7 11 28 36 13 6 4 3 17 10 13 2 3 8 11 26 -8 31
14 Real Betis 26 7 9 10 36 42 13 6 3 4 25 20 13 1 6 6 11 22 -6 30
15 Real Valladolid 26 6 11 9 22 29 12 3 7 2 13 9 14 3 4 7 9 20 -7 29
16 SD Eibar 25 7 6 12 25 37 12 6 1 5 17 16 13 1 5 7 8 21 -12 27
17 Celta de Vigo 26 5 10 11 22 34 13 4 5 4 10 12 13 1 5 7 12 22 -12 25
18 Mallorca 26 6 4 16 26 43 14 6 2 6 16 14 12 0 2 10 10 29 -17 22
19 Leganes 26 4 8 14 19 38 14 4 3 7 13 19 12 0 5 7 6 19 -19 20
20 Espanyol 26 4 8 14 23 45 13 1 5 7 12 24 13 3 3 7 11 21 -22 20

Atlético Madrid:
Sevilla:

Read more about La Liga

La Liga is the top professional level of the Spanish football league system. Is is often referred to as the Primera División and is considered one of the absolute top leagues of Europe and the world. 20 teams play 380 fixtures from August to May to create a final league table.