La Liga 2 prediction and preview: Las Palmas modest favorites to beat Lugo

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Competition: Spain La Liga 2
Competition: Thu 01.April
Match begins: 19:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio de Gran Canaria (31250 seats)

The home fans are expecting three points in this fixture, as the home advantage should be put to good use versus a struggling visitor. Las Palmas are in the 12th position while the guesting Lugo worry at 15th.

Insights:
  • Las Palmas have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Lugo have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Palmas and Lugo.

Lugo have a very long trip to this away game, as there's more than 2200 kilometers in distance to cover. This could prove a challenge, at least for the supporters.

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Las Palmas form and stats

8-3-4 (win-draw-lost) are the La Liga 2 numbers at home for Las Palmas so far this season.

Palmas manager J. Mel Pérez and his team return home after a 1-1 draw away versus Tenerife (placed 10th) in the La Liga 2. Preceding that match was a defeat to Girona (1-2).

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Las Palmas have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 13 games) they have won seven times, drawn three and lost three.

There's a new fixture coming up fairly quickly for Las Palmas, as the La Liga 2 home game vs Mallorca is only three days away.

The Las Palmas fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 21 in 15 matches. Las Palmas have conceded 16 in these home matches.

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Lugo form and stats

Lugo have only collected 11 points from their away games in the La Liga 2, after 2-5-8 (15 played). Travelling has not been lucrative for the away team as they have returned home without a win in eleven away games in a row.

M. El Hacen was the last player to score for the away team. Lugo haven't scored a league goal in the last 263 minutes.

This game can not go any worse than the last one, a La Liga 2 home defeat versus Sabadell with 0-1 on the scoreboard. A 0-0 draw was the result before that, hosting Castellón.

We have checked recent matches where Lugo have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 19 games were four victories, eight draws and seven defeats.

After this away game Lugo return home for a La Liga 2 game against Malaga. That game is only three sleeps after this.

The visiting Lugo have scored more than one goal per away game in the league so far. The grand total is 15 goals from 15 games. Defensive performances away have varied in quality as Lugo have conceded 25 goals on the road. For more goal statistics, check out the Statistics tab above.

Head 2 Head

The last H2H meeting was Lugo - Las Palmas 1-1, played this season. H2H stats regardless of arena (last ten matches): Palmas four wins, two draws and Lugo four victories. As for goals, six matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), four games had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

LugoM. Barreiro Bustelo
M. Barreiro Bustelo
8 goals
PalmasS. Ruiz Alonso
S. Ruiz Alonso
5 goals
Las PalmasR. González Bayón
R. González Bayón
5 goals

Las Palmas missing players

Lugo missing players

Las Palmas Lugo
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
31 15 5 Played P 6 15 31
10 8 3 Won W 0 2 8
10 3 1 Drew D 4 5 12
11 4 1 Lost L 2 8 11
32 21 6 Scored S 5 15 28
41 16 3 Conceded C 9 25 33
90% 93% 80% Over 0.5 O 0.5 83% 93% 84%
74% 73% 60% Over 1.5 O 1.5 83% 73% 58%
42% 47% 40% Over 2.5 O 2.5 33% 47% 29%
19% 13% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 33% 33% 16%
6% 13% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 20% 10%
52% 53% 40% BTTS BTTS 67% 67% 45%
26% 33% 40% Clean Sheets C S 17% 13% 35%
32% 20% 40% Failed to Score F T 33% 27% 35%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
2.6 2.6 2.6 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.7 2.5 2.5
7 1 1 Red cards R C 2 2 8
 
8.2 8.5 7 Shots (avg) S ( 4.8 6.3 6.6
3.2 3.6 3 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2 2.9 2.8
33% 39% 40% Goal Efficiency G E 42% 34% 33%
Key stats in La Liga 2 this season:
  • Las Palmas have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Lugo have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Espanyol 31 18 7 6 49 21 15 11 2 2 27 8 16 7 5 4 22 13 28 61
2 Mallorca 30 18 7 5 39 16 16 9 3 4 24 10 14 9 4 1 15 6 23 61
3 Almeria 31 17 6 8 45 28 16 9 5 2 28 12 15 8 1 6 17 16 17 57
4 Leganes 31 16 6 9 35 25 16 12 1 3 21 10 15 4 5 6 14 15 10 54
5 Sporting Gijon 31 14 11 6 33 21 16 9 7 0 19 7 15 5 4 6 14 14 12 53
6 Rayo Vallecano 30 14 7 9 38 29 14 9 2 3 22 12 16 5 5 6 16 17 9 49
7 Ponferradina 31 13 8 10 34 33 15 8 4 3 20 15 16 5 4 7 14 18 1 47
8 Girona 31 12 9 10 28 29 16 7 4 5 13 11 15 5 5 5 15 18 -1 45
9 Malaga 31 11 9 11 29 35 15 4 6 5 14 16 16 7 3 6 15 19 -6 42
10 Tenerife 31 11 8 12 29 28 16 8 5 3 20 9 15 3 3 9 9 19 1 41
11 Mirandés 30 11 8 11 29 29 15 5 7 3 16 13 15 6 1 8 13 16 0 41
12 Las Palmas 31 10 10 11 32 41 15 8 3 4 21 16 16 2 7 7 11 25 -9 40
13 Fuenlabrada 30 8 15 7 32 31 15 2 10 3 12 13 15 6 5 4 20 18 1 39
14 Real Oviedo 31 8 14 9 34 33 16 5 6 5 22 19 15 3 8 4 12 14 1 38
15 Lugo 31 8 12 11 28 33 16 6 7 3 13 8 15 2 5 8 15 25 -5 36
16 Real Zaragoza 31 9 7 15 26 30 15 7 4 4 15 11 16 2 3 11 11 19 -4 34
17 UD Logrones 31 8 8 15 21 40 15 5 3 7 12 18 16 3 5 8 9 22 -19 32
18 Sabadell 31 7 10 14 26 35 15 2 7 6 12 16 16 5 3 8 14 19 -9 31
19 Alcorcon 31 8 7 16 20 32 15 6 0 9 13 19 16 2 7 7 7 13 -12 31
20 Castellón 31 8 6 17 30 40 16 7 0 9 19 16 15 1 6 8 11 24 -10 30
21 FC Cartagena 31 7 9 15 31 43 16 5 5 6 20 19 15 2 4 9 11 24 -12 30
22 Albacete 31 7 8 16 21 37 15 4 5 6 13 15 16 3 3 10 8 22 -16 29

Read more about La Liga 2

The Segunda División, also known as La Liga 2, is the second highest level of the football league pyramid in Spain. 22 teams play each other home and away for a 42 match season. Top two of the league table earns promotion and one more is promoted through playoff fixtures. The bottom four are relegated.