Prva Liga prediction: Rad Beograd should edge out Timok on their own turf

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Competition: Serbia Prva Liga
Competition: Sat 14.May
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: Stadion Kralj Petar Prvi (6000 seats)

This game involves two teams living in the lower section of the Prva Liga, Rad Beograd at 11th spot and Timok in 14th. A good opportunity for one of the teams to upgrade their situation.

Insights:
  • Timok have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

Rad Beograd can neither be promoted or relegated from Prva Liga. Timok are nearing the end of this stay in this division as relegation is now unavoidable.

This has all the signs of an engrossing fixture with lots of fun and energy as both contenders are well renewed since they last played a game. Bring it on!

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Rad Beograd form and stats

When playing at home in the Prva Liga, Rad Beograd have managed 6 wins, 4 draws and suffered 5 defeats from 15 games. When Rad Beograd hosts teams that live in the bottom of the table (like Kabel Novi Sad, Bačka Palanka, Zlatibor Čajetina, Budućnost Dobanovci and Rad Beograd), they have won 4 of 6 matches!

Rad Beograd are hoping to put things right at home after a defeat in their previous match, the score 0-4 away versus Grafičar. Beograd were outplayed and humiliated in their previous game, as mentioned in the paragraph above. They will need to reinstall their confidence before this one.

The spoils were shared after 90 minutes before that, a home game that ended 1-1 versus Mačva Šabac.

Rad Beograd has scored 20 league goals at home this season, in 15 matches. Rad Beograd's goalkeeper has had to pick the ball out of their own net 17 times. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 1 of these goals has been conceded in their last three home matches.

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Timok form and stats

6 wins, 1 draw and 8 losses. That’s the product of Timok playing as the away team in the Prva Liga this season. When Timok is visiting a side on the bottom half, they have won 4 of 5 matches. Timok, Kabel Novi Sad, Bačka Palanka, Zlatibor Čajetina and Budućnost Dobanovci is teams we like to compare Rad Beograd with. Three might be a magic number, but there's been little wizardry in Timok's last three away games as they have all been lost.

It might be tough going out on the road again for Timok, facing their second straight away game. Especially as the previous game, ended with a defeat 0-2 versus Zlatibor Čajetina.

Prior to that match, a home win 3-0 against Bačka Palanka.

With the host team stated as having a winning chance of roughly 80% by the bookies, any beneficial result for the visiting team would be a surprise. Examining previous games with similar odds and Timok playing away, we found 4 results. The numbers from these were 2 away wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats. The away team lost 1 of these fixtures by at least two goals.

Timok have a decent goal production going in their away games, although not fantastic. In 15 league away games 16 goals have been scored. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 0 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. Defensive performances away have varied in quality as Timok have conceded 23 goals on the road. For more goal statistics, check out the Statistics tab above.

Head 2 Head

The last head-to-head encounter ended Rad Beograd - Timok 1-2, played this season. The ref had use for red card when these teams last played each other, and the sinner was (Timok). Rad Beograd-Timok H2H statistics last two meetings regardless of arena: Beograd zero wins, Timok one win, one draw. one of these two matches had three or more goals (over 2,5). The games between these teams sometimes lean towards being from the last two duels.

Top Goalscorers

Rad BeogradL. Gojković
L. Gojković
10 goals
Rad BeogradS. Stojanović
S. Stojanović
7 goals
Rad BeogradB. Mandić
B. Mandić
4 goals

Rad Beograd missing players

Timok missing players

Rad Beograd Timok
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
35 18 6 Played P 5 18 35
12 8 4 Won W 4 6 10
9 5 1 Drew D 0 1 7
14 5 1 Lost L 1 11 18
36 25 13 Scored S 7 16 33
39 18 8 Conceded C 2 28 41
89% 94% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 94% 91%
63% 72% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 60% 72% 60%
34% 33% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 20% 39% 31%
17% 17% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 17% 14%
6% 11% 33% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 11% 9%
34% 50% 67% BTTS BTTS 0% 28% 29%
37% 33% 33% Clean Sheets C S 80% 33% 34%
40% 22% 0% Failed to Score F T 20% 44% 46%
 
4.8 5.6 6.4 Corners for (avg) C F 2.6 2.2 2.8
3.5 3.9 4 Corners against (avg) C A 3.6 4.3 3.7
2.2 2.2 2.2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.2 1.8 2.4
0 0 0 Red cards R C 2 4 4
 
10.2 11.2 14.4 Shots (avg) S ( 7.2 6.9 7.1
4.1 5.1 7.8 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.8 2.9 2.9
26% 28% 28% Goal Efficiency G E 50% 32% 34%
 
7.8 8.2 8 Shots against (avg) S A 8.2 11.1 8.8
3.1 3.4 4 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 3.4 4.6 3.6
Key stats in Prva Liga this season:
  • Timok have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Timok have won significantly less corners away then at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Inija 30 17 7 6 48 29 15 9 3 3 26 15 15 8 4 3 22 14 19 58
2 Mladost Novi Sad 30 16 9 5 35 17 15 9 3 3 22 10 15 7 6 2 13 7 18 57
3 Javor Ivanjica 30 15 11 4 46 22 15 9 3 3 27 12 15 6 8 1 19 10 24 56
4 Zeleznicar Pancevo 30 15 7 8 42 31 15 8 4 3 21 13 15 7 3 5 21 18 11 52
5 IMT Novi Beograd 30 13 10 7 49 30 15 7 5 3 28 11 15 6 5 4 21 19 19 49
6 Radnicki Sr. Mitrovica 30 13 7 10 39 29 15 7 3 5 22 16 15 6 4 5 17 13 10 46
7 Zarkovo 30 12 6 12 35 32 15 6 3 6 16 16 15 6 3 6 19 16 3 42
8 Loznica 30 11 8 11 29 26 15 8 3 4 21 11 15 3 5 7 8 15 3 41
9 Mačva Šabac 30 10 9 11 26 37 15 7 3 5 15 14 15 3 6 6 11 23 -11 39
10 Grafičar 30 10 5 15 44 43 15 8 3 4 30 17 15 2 2 11 14 26 1 35
11 Rad Beograd 30 9 8 13 28 34 15 6 4 5 20 17 15 3 4 8 8 17 -6 35
12 Budućnost Dobanovci 30 9 8 13 30 41 15 5 5 5 15 16 15 4 3 8 15 25 -11 35
13 Zlatibor Čajetina 30 8 10 12 28 35 15 6 6 3 17 10 15 2 4 9 11 25 -7 34
14 Timok 30 9 6 15 29 35 15 3 5 7 13 12 15 6 1 8 16 23 -6 33
15 Bačka Palanka 30 6 15 9 22 30 15 3 8 4 11 11 15 3 7 5 11 19 -8 33
16 Kabel Novi Sad 30 1 6 23 12 71 15 0 5 10 5 32 15 1 1 13 7 39 -59 9

Read more about Prva Liga

The Serbian First League (or Prva Liga Srbije or just PLS) is the second highest football league in Serbia. It has 16 teams playing each other home and away, making 30 fixtures in the regular season. After this the league table splits in two, the championship round and the relegation round.