Premiership match prediction: Little separates Motherwell and St. Mirren in quality

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Competition: Scotland Premiership
Competition: Wed 27.October
Match begins: 18:45 (UTC)
Venue: Fir Park (13677 seats)

Motherwell are ready for a new challenge after their 1-2 versus Dundee United previously. St. Mirren are coming to town!

Insights:
  • Motherwell have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won at home.
  • St. Mirren have the most matches over the total-line (7) in Premiership

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Motherwell and St. Mirren.

L L L W D

Motherwell form and stats

The story so far in the Premiership for Motherwell at their home stadium (Fir Park) is 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats. With three straight defeats the pressure is piling up on Motherwell to get some points in this home game.

In their previous game, the manager G. Alexander led his Motherwell to a defeat in the Premiership match away at Dundee United. The manager is hoping to put things right immediately here at Fir Park. The forward Tony Watt was declared "man of the match" for Motherwell with a rating of 7.4/10. Watt scored one goal.

Before that game, the home loss against Celtic with the scoreline 0-2.

This is expected to be a close game, with Motherwell perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Motherwell as a small favourite), we find eight games. Motherwell has won three of these, drawn one and lost four.

There's a new fixture coming up fairly quickly for Motherwell, as the Premiership home game vs Rangers is only four days away.

Motherwell has scored 7 league goals at home this season, in 5 matches. 6 goals have been conceded.

L W W W D

St. Mirren form and stats

2-2-1 is the win-draw-loss statistic for St. Mirren in their Premiership matches away. It could be a hat trick of victories away for Mirren, as they have won on their previous two travels.

This game can not go any worse than the last one, a Premiership home defeat versus Rangers with 1-2 on the scoreboard. Attacker Connor Ronan got a player rating of 7.82 in the game. "Man of the match" Ronan scored one goal, hit one key pass and dribled past the opponent 4 of 4 times.

Ahead of that match was the victory versus Ross County at their stadium, the result 3-2.

As mentioned above, this is an open game with no clear favourite. We have found five similar matches played by St. Mirren in our archives, and the results are: two wins for St. Mirren, two draws and one defeat.

A quick return to home after this game, as Mirren are hosting Dundee in the Premiership only three days away.

Mirren has displayed an ability to score goals in away matches in the league this season, 8 goals from 5 games. For Mirren, more than two goals on average per game end up in their own net.

Head 2 Head

Head-2-head stats last ten meetings: three - five - two (Motherwell wins - draws - St. Mirren wins). As for goals, three matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), seven had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

MotherwellT. Watt
T. Watt
5 goals
St. MirrenE. Brophy
E. Brophy
3 goals
St. MirrenC. Ronan
C. Ronan
3 goals

Motherwell missing players

St. Mirren missing players

Motherwell St. Mirren
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
10 5 2 Played P 1 5 10
4 3 1 Won W 0 2 3
2 0 0 Drew D 1 2 4
4 2 1 Lost L 0 1 3
12 7 4 Scored S 2 8 13
13 6 3 Conceded C 2 12 18
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 80%
90% 80% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 80% 70%
40% 40% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 80% 70%
10% 20% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 100% 80% 50%
10% 20% 50% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 40% 30%
60% 40% 50% BTTS BTTS 100% 60% 60%
20% 40% 50% Clean Sheets C S 0% 20% 30%
20% 20% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 20% 30%
 
4.6 2 1.5 Corners for (avg) C F 6 4.2 4.5
6.1 5 5 Corners against (avg) C A 8 8.8 6.1
2.9 3.2 5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1 1.2 1.4
1 1 0 Red cards R C 0 1 3
 
9.1 7.2 7.5 Shots (avg) S ( 12 10.4 11.1
3.5 3 3.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 4 3.6 3.4
34% 47% 57% Goal Efficiency G E 50% 44% 38%
Key stats in Premiership this season:
  • Motherwell have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won at home.
  • Motherwell have won significantly less corners at home than away.
  • Motherwell haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • St. Mirren have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won away.
  • St. Mirren have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • St. Mirren have the fewest matches under the total-line (3) in Premiership
  • St. Mirren have the most matches over the total-line (7) in Premiership
  • St. Mirren haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Rangers 10 7 2 1 17 8 5 3 2 0 8 3 5 4 0 1 9 5 9 23
2 Hearts 10 5 5 0 16 7 6 3 3 0 9 3 4 2 2 0 7 4 9 20
3 Dundee United 10 6 2 2 10 6 5 4 0 1 5 3 5 2 2 1 5 3 4 20
4 Celtic 10 6 1 3 23 6 5 4 1 0 18 1 5 2 0 3 5 5 17 19
5 Hibernian 10 4 3 3 14 12 5 3 1 1 8 5 5 1 2 2 6 7 2 15
6 Motherwell 10 4 2 4 12 13 5 3 0 2 7 6 5 1 2 2 5 7 -1 14
7 St. Mirren 10 3 4 3 13 18 5 1 2 2 5 6 5 2 2 1 8 12 -5 13
8 Aberdeen 10 3 2 5 11 13 5 2 1 2 5 4 5 1 1 3 6 9 -2 11
9 Livingston 10 3 1 6 9 15 4 1 0 3 3 5 6 2 1 3 6 10 -6 10
10 St. Johnstone 10 2 3 5 6 11 5 1 1 3 5 8 5 1 2 2 1 3 -5 9
11 Dundee 10 1 4 5 8 18 5 1 3 1 6 6 5 0 1 4 2 12 -10 7
12 Ross County 10 0 3 7 10 22 5 0 2 3 8 12 5 0 1 4 2 10 -12 3

Read more about Premiership

The Scottish Premiership is the top division of football in Scotland, the Scottish Professional Football League. Twelve teams play 38 fixtures to top the league table in a season running from August to May. The teams first meet each other three times. Then the league splits in two for five more games.