Premiership prediction and preview: Livingston modest favorites to beat Kilmarnock

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Competition: Scotland Premiership
Competition: Sat 17.October
Match begins: 14:00 (UTC)
Venue: Tony Macaroni Arena (8716 seats)

Getting closer to the top teams is at stake when these two mid-table clubs battle it out. Both will be aiming to improve their league table standing, Livingston in 6th and Kilmarnock in 5th place.

The visiting Kilmarnock played their last game only four days ago, a League Cup match.

15 - 11 - 17 with 45-54. What does this mean? Well, these are the statistics for Kilmarnock when playing on grass like they will do today. Wins - draws- losses and goals scored-conceded. Kilmarnock play their home games on artifical turf so that's why we provide these numbers.

W W W W L

Livingston form and stats

Overall Premiership stats at home this season for Livingston are 2-1-2 (wins-draw-losses).

Livingston's previous game was a League Cup match also played at home, ending 2-1 versus Alloa Athletic. The home side are looking to build on that result. A strong away win before that one, visiting Edinburgh City and winning 5-1.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Livingston have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found six games) they have won four times, drawn zero and lost two.

The Livingston fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 5 in 5 matches. Livingston's goalkeeper has had to pick the ball out of their own net 6 times. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

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Kilmarnock form and stats

Playing away, Kilmarnock have won 1 game, drawn 1 and suffered 3 defeats in the Premiership this season.

The manager A. Dyer was unhappy after their last game, a League Cup match played at their home ground Rugby Park. Kilmarnock suffered a 0-3 loss to Dunfermline Athletic. Ahead of that match was the victory versus St. Mirren at their stadium, the result 1-0.

We have checked recent matches where Kilmarnock have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those seven games were two victories, two draws and three defeats.

The attacking power of Kilmarnock when travelling is not overwhelming with 4 goals scored from 5 league matches away. 7 goals have been conceded by Kilmarnock in these games.

Head 2 Head

Livingston-Kilmarnock H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: Livingston two wins, Kilmarnock seven wins, one draw. six of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

KilmarnockN. Kabamba
N. Kabamba
4 goals
LivingstonA. Forrest
A. Forrest
3 goals
KilmarnockC. Burke
C. Burke
3 goals

Livingston missing players

Kilmarnock missing players

Livingston Kilmarnock
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
10 5 1 Played P 1 5 9
3 2 1 Won W 0 1 3
2 1 0 Drew D 1 1 2
5 2 0 Lost L 0 3 4
12 5 1 Scored S 2 4 12
15 6 0 Conceded C 2 7 11
90% 80% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
70% 60% 0% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 60% 78%
60% 40% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 40% 56%
30% 20% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 100% 20% 22%
20% 20% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 0%
60% 40% 0% BTTS BTTS 100% 40% 56%
30% 60% 100% Clean Sheets C S 0% 20% 22%
20% 20% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 40% 22%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
1.2 1.2 1 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2 1 1.3
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 2
 
95 45 9 Total Shots T S 6 32 76
32 12 4 Shots on Target S O 4 9 29
38% 42% 25% Goal Efficiency G E 50% 44% 41%
Key stats in Premiership this season:
  • Kilmarnock haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Livingston has the fewest matches under the total-line (3) in Premiership
  • Livingston has the most matches over the total-line (7) in Premiership

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Rangers 10 8 2 0 24 3 5 5 0 0 14 0 5 3 2 0 10 3 21 26
2 Celtic 9 8 1 0 25 5 4 4 0 0 14 3 5 4 1 0 11 2 20 25
3 Hibernian 10 6 2 2 16 10 5 2 2 1 7 6 5 4 0 1 9 4 6 20
4 Aberdeen 8 6 0 2 10 6 5 3 0 2 5 6 3 3 0 0 5 0 4 18
5 Kilmarnock 9 3 2 4 12 11 4 2 1 1 8 4 5 1 1 3 4 7 1 11
6 Livingston 10 3 2 5 12 15 5 2 1 2 5 6 5 1 1 3 7 9 -3 11
7 Dundee United 10 3 2 5 8 16 5 1 1 3 4 6 5 2 1 2 4 10 -8 11
8 Ross County 10 3 2 5 7 16 5 1 1 3 4 12 5 2 1 2 3 4 -9 11
9 Motherwell 9 2 2 5 7 13 5 1 1 3 4 9 4 1 1 2 3 4 -6 8
10 Hamilton Academical 9 2 1 6 8 16 4 0 1 3 1 5 5 2 0 3 7 11 -8 7
11 St. Mirren 10 2 1 7 6 15 5 1 1 3 3 7 5 1 0 4 3 8 -9 7
12 St. Johnstone 10 2 1 7 4 13 5 1 0 4 1 5 5 1 1 3 3 8 -9 7

Read more about Premiership

The Scottish Premiership is the top division of football in Scotland, the Scottish Professional Football League. Twelve teams play 38 fixtures to top the league table in a season running from August to May. The teams first meet each other three times. Then the league splits in two for five more games.