Premiership prediction and preview: Hearts modest favorites to beat St. Mirren

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Competition: Scotland Premiership
Date: Sat 09.November
Match begins: 16:00 (UTC)
Venue: Tynecastle Park (20099 seats)

Hearts are welcoming St. Mirren for another important game after their 0-3 result against 2nd-placed Rangers.

Both teams should be fairly well rested for this game, as they have had some quiet days to prepare. Hopefully this will translate into lots of action on the pitch.

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Hearts form and stats

When playing at home in the Premiership, Hearts, who have the fewest points (3) at home in Premiership, have managed 0 wins, 3 draws and suffered 2 defeats from 5 games.

In their previous game, the manager A. MacPhee led his Hearts to a defeat in the League Cup match away at Rangers. The manager is hoping to put things right immediately here at Tynecastle Park. Prior to that was the away defeat visiting St. Johnstone (0-1).

The home team are moderate favourites in this game. How does Hearts handle that role? We have found ten games in our database similar to this one, based on the home odds. The win/draw/lost stats in these games are W6-D2-L2.

Hearts has scored 5 league goals at home this season, in 5 matches. On the other hand, Hearts have conceded 7 goals.

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St. Mirren form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for St. Mirren, who have the fewest scored goals (5) in Premiership, so far with only 0 points returning home. The records show 0-0-6 (win-draw-lose). The manager J. Goodwin is not happy with the away performances in the Premiership so far, as all 6 matches have been lost. Bitter travels for St. Mirren as they have lost six games in a row away from home. The last time they avoided an away-from-home loss was the Dundee United match.

It might be tough going out on the road again for St. Mirren, facing their second straight away game. Especially as the previous game, ended with a defeat 0-2 versus Celtic (placed 1st). A 0-1 defeat away at Kilmarnock before that.

We have checked recent matches where St. Mirren have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those seven games were W1-D2-L4.

St. Mirren are seemingly not capable of scoring regularly on their travels in the league. They have only managed 2 goals from 6 away games. St. Mirren have conceded 10 goals in these games.

Head 2 Head

Hearts and St. Mirren have met before this season: St. Mirren - Hearts 0-0. Last ten meetings between the teams: Hearts won 3, St. Mirren won 3 and 4 draws. 4 games with over 2,5 goals, 6 matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

HeartsU. Ikpeazu
U. Ikpeazu
2 goals
HeartsR. Meshino
R. Meshino
2 goals
HeartsC. Berra
C. Berra
1 goals

Hearts missing players

St. Mirren missing players

Hearts St. Mirren
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
11 5 0 Played P 1 6 11
1 0 0 Won W 0 0 2
5 3 0 Drew D 0 0 2
5 2 0 Lost L 1 6 7
10 5 0 Scored S 0 2 5
15 7 0 Conceded C 1 10 11
73% 80% 0% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 82%
55% 60% 0% Over 1.5 O 1.5 0% 67% 45%
45% 40% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 33% 18%
36% 40% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 0% 0%
18% 20% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 0%
55% 60% 0% BTTS BTTS 0% 33% 18%
27% 20% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 36%
45% 40% 0% Failed to Score F T 100% 67% 64%
 
4.6 4.4 0 Corners For (avg) C F 5 3.7 4.1
5.4 5.8 0 Corners Against (avg) C A 4 3.7 4.7
2.2 1.6 0 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 2 1.5 1.3
1 0 0 Red Cards R C 0 0 0
Key stats this season:
  • Hearts have scored at least twice as many goals at home as St. Mirren have scored away.
  • Hearts have yet to win a game at home.
  • St. Mirren have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • St. Mirren have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their away matches.
  • St. Mirren have lost all their away matches so far.
  • St. Mirren have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • St. Mirren haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Celtic 11 9 1 1 34 7 5 5 0 0 21 2 6 4 1 1 13 5 27 28
2 Rangers 11 9 1 1 33 7 6 5 0 1 21 5 5 4 1 0 12 2 26 28
3 Motherwell 12 7 1 4 20 17 7 4 0 3 12 12 5 3 1 1 8 5 3 22
4 Aberdeen 12 6 3 3 17 14 6 3 2 1 11 8 6 3 1 2 6 6 3 21
5 Kilmarnock 12 5 2 5 10 13 6 3 2 1 6 3 6 2 0 4 4 10 -3 17
6 Ross County 12 3 5 4 14 25 5 2 1 2 8 11 7 1 4 2 6 14 -11 14
7 Livingston 12 3 4 5 16 17 5 2 2 1 4 3 7 1 2 4 12 14 -1 13
8 Hamilton Academical 12 2 4 6 12 22 7 2 2 3 8 9 5 0 2 3 4 13 -10 10
9 St. Johnstone 11 2 4 5 11 24 6 2 1 3 6 10 5 0 3 2 5 14 -13 10
10 Hibernian 11 1 6 4 12 22 6 1 4 1 9 9 5 0 2 3 3 13 -10 9
11 Hearts 11 1 5 5 10 15 5 0 3 2 5 7 6 1 2 3 5 8 -5 8
12 St. Mirren 11 2 2 7 5 11 5 2 2 1 3 1 6 0 0 6 2 10 -6 8