Premiership preview: Can Aberdeen edge out victory against Motherwell?

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Competition: Scotland Premiership
Competition: Sat 23.January
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: Pittodrie Stadium (20866 seats)

A home win is expected from this fixture if the league table is anything to judge by. The Aberdeen fans are optimistic that the difference between 4th and Motherwell's 11th place in the table will show on the pitch.

Insights:
  • Aberdeen have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Motherwell is in the worst form (0-4-2)

This should be an interesting game with lots of spark and energy as both teams are well rested since they last saw competitive action. Game on!

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Aberdeen form and stats

Aberdeen have collected 23 points from their Premiership home games so far after 7-2-3.

Aberdeen lost their last game at Ross County (placed 10th) after a 1-4 scoreline. Preceding that match was the home game against Rangers that was lost 1-2.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Aberdeen have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found ten games) they have won six times, drawn two and lost two.

The manager D. McInnes will start preparations for the next game as soon this is finished, as the hosts are going to St. Johnstone in only four days.

The Aberdeen fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 19 goals in 12 league matches. 14 goals have been conceded.

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Motherwell form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Motherwell so far with only 10 points returning home. The records show 2-4-4 (win-draw-lose). The sun doesn’t shine and the birds do not sing for Motherwell, who have now gone eleven games without a victory. The Livingston game was their last win and it’s been a dry spell since.

There were no winners in Motherwell's previous match, a Premiership home game that ended 1-1 vs Rangers (placed 1st). Preceding that game, the 1-1 draw paying a visit to St. Mirren.

We have checked recent matches where Motherwell have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those eleven games were four victories, three draws and four defeats.

The visitors will be packing their bags again in only four days as another away game awaits: The Premiership trip to Ross County.

The visitors have scored 9 goals from 10 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. 13 goals have been conceded by Motherwell in these games.

Head 2 Head

The dueling parties have met before this season: Motherwell - Aberdeen 0-0. Head-2-head stats last ten meetings: four - one - five (Aberdeen wins - draws - Motherwell wins). As for goals, five matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), five had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

AberdeenL. Ferguson
L. Ferguson
8 goals
AberdeenR. Hedges
R. Hedges
4 goals
AberdeenS. Cosgrove
S. Cosgrove
3 goals

Aberdeen missing players

Motherwell missing players

Aberdeen Motherwell
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
22 12 3 Played P 3 10 22
11 7 3 Won W 0 2 4
6 2 0 Drew D 1 4 7
5 3 0 Lost L 2 4 11
29 19 8 Scored S 1 9 19
24 14 3 Conceded C 6 13 33
86% 92% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 67% 90% 91%
68% 75% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 67% 80% 68%
45% 58% 67% Over 2.5 O 2.5 67% 40% 41%
18% 17% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 33% 10% 23%
14% 17% 33% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 9%
41% 50% 67% BTTS BTTS 33% 40% 36%
45% 33% 33% Clean Sheets C S 33% 30% 27%
27% 25% 0% Failed to Score F T 67% 40% 45%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
1.1 1.1 1 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.7 1.1 1.5
3 2 0 Red cards R C 0 1 2
 
10 9.9 10.7 Shots (avg) S ( 8.7 12.1 11.4
3.4 3.1 4.7 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2 2.8 2.9
39% 51% 57% Goal Efficiency G E 17% 32% 30%
Key stats in Premiership this season:
  • Aberdeen have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Aberdeen have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Motherwell have scored away.
  • Motherwell has the fewest points from losing position (0) in Premiership
  • Motherwell has the fewest scored goals in the second half (5) in Premiership
  • Motherwell has the most dropped points from leading position (13) in Premiership
  • Motherwell is in the worst form (0-4-2)

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Rangers 24 21 3 0 60 7 11 11 0 0 33 1 13 10 3 0 27 6 53 66
2 Celtic 21 13 6 2 46 16 11 7 3 1 23 7 10 6 3 1 23 9 30 45
3 Hibernian 24 11 7 6 33 24 12 4 5 3 15 16 12 7 2 3 18 8 9 40
4 Aberdeen 22 11 6 5 29 24 12 7 2 3 19 14 10 4 4 2 10 10 5 39
5 Livingston 22 9 4 9 28 27 10 4 1 5 11 13 12 5 3 4 17 14 1 31
6 Dundee United 24 6 10 8 19 29 12 4 4 4 14 13 12 2 6 4 5 16 -10 28
7 Kilmarnock 23 7 3 13 24 28 11 4 2 5 15 12 12 3 1 8 9 16 -4 24
8 St. Mirren 21 6 5 10 16 24 10 2 4 4 8 13 11 4 1 6 8 11 -8 23
9 St. Johnstone 24 5 8 11 22 33 12 3 3 6 5 11 12 2 5 5 17 22 -11 23
10 Ross County 24 5 5 14 18 43 12 2 4 6 10 23 12 3 1 8 8 20 -25 20
11 Motherwell 22 4 7 11 19 33 12 2 3 7 10 20 10 2 4 4 9 13 -14 19
12 Hamilton Academical 23 5 4 14 21 47 12 2 3 7 9 20 11 3 1 7 12 27 -26 19

Aberdeen:

Read more about Premiership

The Scottish Premiership is the top division of football in Scotland, the Scottish Professional Football League. Twelve teams play 38 fixtures to top the league table in a season running from August to May. The teams first meet each other three times. Then the league splits in two for five more games.