Premiership match prediction: Little separates Aberdeen and Hibernian in quality

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Competition: Scotland Premiership
Competition: Sat 23.October
Match begins: 14:00 (UTC)
Venue: Pittodrie Stadium (20866 seats)

Here's every piece of data you must know, and some more, before watching the Aberdeen - Hibernian fixture!

Insights:
  • Aberdeen is in the worst form (0-1-5)
  • Hibernian have the most dropped points from leading position (7) in Premiership

This has all the signs of an entertaining game with lots of spark and energy as both contenders are well recovered since they last ran out on the pitch. Let's go!

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Aberdeen form and stats

1-1-2 (win-draw-lost) are the Premiership numbers at home for Aberdeen so far this season. It's trouble wherever Aberdeen are playing these days as they have suffered five straight defeats now, regardless of arena. They really need to get back to winning ways.

In their previous game, the manager S. Glass led his Aberdeen to a defeat in the Premiership match away at Dundee. The manager is hoping to put things right immediately here at Pittodrie Stadium. Jack Mackenzie was "man of the match" with a rating of 7.4 out of 10. The defender Mackenzie served one assist, hit two key passes and won 7 of 9 duels.

Preceding that match was the home game against Celtic that was lost 1-2.

This is expected to be a close game, with Aberdeen perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Aberdeen as a small favourite), we find two games. Aberdeen has won one of these, drawn zero and lost one.

Aberdeen are traveling soon after this match as the Premiership match at Rangers awaits in four days.

Aberdeen are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 4 goals in 4 games. On the other hand, Aberdeen have conceded 4 goals.

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Hibernian form and stats

The visitors are W1-D2-L1 on the road this term. That's in the Premiership.

This game can not go any worse than the last one, a Premiership home defeat versus Dundee United with 0-3 on the scoreboard. Kevin Nisbet, attacking player, was the top performer on the team in that game, scoring a match rating of 7.1. Nisbet hit the woodwork once and hit one key pass.

Preceding that game, the 1-2 loss visiting Rangers's place.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Hibernian playing away and similar expectations, we found seven relevant matches. Results were four Hibernian wins, one draw and two defeats.

After this away game Hibernian return home for a Premiership game against Celtic. That game is only four sleeps after this.

Hibernian has displayed an ability to score goals in away matches in the league this season, 6 goals from 4 games. Hibernian's defence is not exactly unbeatable as they have conceded 6 goals from these trips.

Head 2 Head

Previous ten meetings between these squads: Aberdeen won six, Hibernian triumphed in three and we saw one draw. four games with more than 2,5 goals, six matches with less than 2,5 goals.

Top Goalscorers

HibernianM. Boyle
M. Boyle
6 goals
AberdeenC. Ramírez
C. Ramírez
4 goals
HibernianK. Magennis
K. Magennis
2 goals

Aberdeen missing players

Hibernian missing players

Aberdeen Hibernian
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
9 4 1 Played P 1 4 9
2 1 0 Won W 0 1 4
2 1 0 Drew D 1 2 3
5 2 1 Lost L 0 1 2
10 4 0 Scored S 2 6 14
13 4 1 Conceded C 2 6 11
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 75% 89%
89% 75% 0% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 75% 78%
44% 25% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 75% 67%
11% 0% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 100% 50% 33%
11% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 25% 11%
67% 50% 0% BTTS BTTS 100% 75% 44%
11% 25% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 25% 44%
22% 25% 100% Failed to Score F T 0% 25% 22%
 
5.7 7.2 6 Corners for (avg) C F 6 3.8 5.8
4.8 5.5 3 Corners against (avg) C A 4 7.2 6.3
2 1 1 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3 2.5 1.8
1 0 0 Red cards R C 0 1 1
 
13.1 13.5 11 Shots (avg) S ( 15 11.5 12.8
5.6 4.2 4 Shots on Target (avg) S O 7 5 4.3
20% 24% 0% Goal Efficiency G E 29% 30% 36%
Key stats in Premiership this season:
  • Aberdeen have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Aberdeen haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Aberdeen is in the worst form (0-1-5)
  • Hibernian have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Hibernian have the most dropped points from leading position (7) in Premiership
  • Hibernian have won significantly less corners away then at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Rangers 9 6 2 1 15 7 5 3 2 0 8 3 4 3 0 1 7 4 8 20
2 Hearts 9 5 4 0 15 6 5 3 2 0 8 2 4 2 2 0 7 4 9 19
3 Dundee United 9 5 2 2 8 5 4 3 0 1 3 2 5 2 2 1 5 3 3 17
4 Celtic 9 5 1 3 21 6 4 3 1 0 16 1 5 2 0 3 5 5 15 16
5 Hibernian 9 4 3 2 14 11 5 3 1 1 8 5 4 1 2 1 6 6 3 15
6 Motherwell 9 4 2 3 11 11 5 3 0 2 7 6 4 1 2 1 4 5 0 14
7 St. Mirren 9 3 4 2 12 16 4 1 2 1 4 4 5 2 2 1 8 12 -4 13
8 St. Johnstone 9 2 3 4 6 9 5 1 1 3 5 8 4 1 2 1 1 1 -3 9
9 Aberdeen 9 2 2 5 10 13 4 1 1 2 4 4 5 1 1 3 6 9 -3 8
10 Livingston 9 2 1 6 6 13 4 1 0 3 3 5 5 1 1 3 3 8 -7 7
11 Dundee 9 1 3 5 7 17 5 1 3 1 6 6 4 0 0 4 1 11 -10 6
12 Ross County 9 0 3 6 8 19 4 0 2 2 6 9 5 0 1 4 2 10 -11 3

Aberdeen:

Read more about Premiership

The Scottish Premiership is the top division of football in Scotland, the Scottish Professional Football League. Twelve teams play 38 fixtures to top the league table in a season running from August to May. The teams first meet each other three times. Then the league splits in two for five more games.