Home advantage could prove decisive in Stirling Albion - Stenhousemuir battle

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Competition: Scotland League Two
Competition: Sat 31.December
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: Forthbank Stadium (3808 seats)

The League Two league standings tell the truth about these squads up until now, with Stirling Albion ahead of Stenhousemuir by 13 points. Tipsway full preview:

Insights:
  • Stirling Albion have the most scored goals (36) in League Two
  • Stenhousemuir have the most conceded goals (33) in League Two

One slightly interesting match fact is that this game is played on grass and that the visiting Stenhousemuir have a different surface at their stadium (artifical turf). The impact of this is hard to measure exactly, but the visitors stats on grass is 9-7-9 (win-draw-loss) from 25 matches.

We should expect both teams to be fresh and ready for this match, as there is some time since both teams last played. Let's have a look at how the teams are doing!

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Stirling Albion form and stats

The home supporters can't complain about results here at Forthbank Stadium as Stirling Albion have scored 21 goals to get 17 points from 8 games. The overall stats in the League Two are 5-2-1 (wins-draws-losses).

It's back home for Stirling Albion, who return with a good feeling about themselves after beating Elgin City away with the result 2-1.

Prior to that was the away defeat visiting Stranraer (1-3).

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Stirling have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 10 games) they have won 6 times, drawn 1 and lost 3.

An interesting fact: 10 of the most recent 12 league matches from this club have seen goals scored by both sides.

Stirling Albion are showing their attacking force in their league home games this season, scoring more than 2,5 goals per game on average (21 goals in 8 games).

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Stenhousemuir form and stats

Playing away, Stenhousemuir, who have the most conceded goals (33) in League Two, have won 3 games, drawn 1 and suffered 4 defeats in the League Two this season. With two straight losses from their last two away games, Stenhousemuir are hoping that it's time for some travel points again.

Home advantage was not enough for Stenhousemuir in their previous game as they lost hosting Forfar Athletic, 1-2.

A 1-2 defeat away at Elgin City before that.

We have checked recent matches where Stenhousemuir have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 11 games were 3 victories, 2 draws and 6 defeats.

Goal-happy betting people should observe that 15 of this team's 16 most recent league games have ended with three goals or more.

Stenhousemuir are not goal shy away from home in the league, finding the net 14 times in 8 away games so far.

Head 2 Head

The most recent logged match involving both these teams is the Stenhousemuir - Stirling 1-3 played previously this season. Stirling Albion-Stenhousemuir H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: Stirling Albion six wins, Stenhousemuir two wins, two draws. five of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5). The matches between these teams have sometimes been brutal, having seen 5 sending-offs from the last ten duels.

Top Goalscorers

Stirling AlbionD. Carrick
D. Carrick
10 goals
Stirling AlbionR. Thomson
R. Thomson
5 goals
Stirling AlbionK. Fotheringham
K. Fotheringham
5 goals

Stirling Albion missing players

Stenhousemuir missing players

Stirling Albion Stenhousemuir
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
17 8 2 Played P 1 8 17
10 5 1 Won W 0 3 5
3 2 1 Drew D 0 1 5
4 1 0 Lost L 1 4 7
36 21 3 Scored S 1 14 29
20 8 2 Conceded C 2 16 33
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
94% 100% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 100% 94%
71% 75% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 100% 88%
41% 50% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 38% 53%
18% 25% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 25% 18%
71% 62% 100% BTTS BTTS 100% 88% 88%
12% 25% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 6%
18% 12% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 12% 6%
 
6.2 6.8 5 Corners for (avg) C F 5 4.6 5.3
3.1 3.1 1 Corners against (avg) C A 1 5.4 5.3
1.8 1.5 2.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1 1.6 1.9
3 1 0 Red cards R C 0 1 2
 
10.1 9.5 4 Shots (avg) S ( 9 7.9 10.3
4.7 4.5 1.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2 3.4 4.2
45% 58% 100% Goal Efficiency G E 50% 52% 41%
 
6.2 4.5 1 Shots against (avg) S A 11 10.6 10.6
2.7 1.8 1 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 7 4.8 4.4
Key stats in League Two this season:
  • All of Stenhousemuir's away-matches have had more than 2,5 goals.
  • All of Stirling Albion's home-matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Stenhousemuir have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their away matches.
  • Stenhousemuir have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Stenhousemuir have the most conceded goals (33) in League Two
  • Stenhousemuir have the most conceded goals in the second half (19) in League Two
  • Stenhousemuir haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Stirling Albion have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Stirling Albion have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Stirling Albion have the fewest conceded goals in the second half (5) in League Two
  • Stirling Albion have the most scored goals (21) at home in League Two
  • Stirling Albion have the most scored goals (36) in League Two
  • Stirling Albion have the most scored goals in the first half (20) in League Two
  • Stirling Albion have the the best goal difference (+13) at home in League Two
  • Stirling Albion have the the best goal difference (+16) in League Two
  • Stirling Albion have won at least twice as many corners as they have conceded.
  • Stirling Albion haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Dumbarton 17 11 4 2 30 16 8 6 2 0 16 4 9 5 2 2 14 12 14 37
2 Stirling Albion 17 10 3 4 36 20 8 5 2 1 21 8 9 5 1 3 15 12 16 33
3 Elgin City 17 7 4 6 32 30 9 4 1 4 14 14 8 3 3 2 18 16 2 25
4 Annan Athletic 18 6 5 7 29 31 8 3 2 3 14 12 10 3 3 4 15 19 -2 23
5 Stranraer 18 6 5 7 27 32 10 6 3 1 20 14 8 0 2 6 7 18 -5 23
6 East Fife 18 6 4 8 26 29 9 2 1 6 8 15 9 4 3 2 18 14 -3 22
7 Stenhousemuir 17 5 5 7 29 33 9 2 4 3 15 17 8 3 1 4 14 16 -4 20
8 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 18 5 5 8 23 27 9 4 1 4 14 16 9 1 4 4 9 11 -4 20
9 Forfar Athletic 17 5 4 8 18 25 9 2 3 4 10 16 8 3 1 4 8 9 -7 19
10 Albion Rovers 17 4 5 8 18 25 8 2 3 3 9 11 9 2 2 5 9 14 -7 17

Read more about League Two

The Scottish League Two is the fourth level of football in Scotland. It holds ten teams who play each other four times for a total of 36 fixtures in a season from August to May. The top team in the league table is promoted, the bottom team relegated. There are also playoffs to promote and relegate.