League Two match prediction: Little separates Stenhousemuir and Queen's Park in quality

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Competition: Scotland League Two
Date: Sat 02.November
Match begins: 16:00 (UTC)
Venue: Ochilview Park (5267 seats)

With their 3 point advantage in the league table, Stenhousemuir fans are hoping to see their team collect maximum points from this game against Queen's Park.

Stenhousemuir have less rest than Queen's Park in this fixture, as the hosts were involved in a League Two game only four days ago. At least it's nice to return home after that away game at Edinburgh City.

One slightly interesting match fact is that this game is played on artificial turf and that the visiting Queen's Park have a different surface at their stadium (grass). The impact of this is hard to measure exactly, but the visitors stats on artificial turf is 0-7-8 (win-draw-loss) from 15 matches.

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Stenhousemuir form and stats

Stenhousemuir have collected 6 points from their League Two home games so far after 2-0-3. Stenhousemuir has recorded two wins in a row here at Ochilview Park, increasing their hopes of victory in this match.

The fans are hoping that Stenhousemuir will strike back in this match, putting things right after the 0-4 away loss in the League Two game against Edinburgh City (placed 2nd). Heartbreak before that as Stenhousemuir lost 0-3 at Penicuik Athletic's place.

Stenhousemuir were outplayed and humiliated in their previous game, as mentioned in the paragraph above. They will need to reinstall their confidence before this one.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Stenhousemuir have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found five matches with the results: Won 1 Drawn 0 Lost 4.

Stenhousemuir are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 7 goals in 5 attempts. Stenhousemuir have conceded 11 goals in these home games, a significant number.

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Queen's Park form and stats

2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses. That’s the product of Queen's Park playing as the away team in the League Two this season. It's looking increasingly bleak for Queen's Park who now has to deal with a four game losing streak. Albion Rovers was the last time a defeat was avoided. Three might be a magic number, but there's been little wizardry in Queen's Park's last three away games as they have all been lost.

Queen's Park play their second straight away game, having lost the previous one 1-3 to Elgin City (placed 4th). Ahead of that match was the victory versus Spartans at their stadium, the result 2-0.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Queen's Park playing away and similar expectations, we found six relevant matches. Results were 2 Queen's Park wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat.

Queen's Park are scoring more than one goal per away game on average, having accumulated 6 away goals from 5 games (in the league). Queen's Park have conceded 8 goals in these games.

Head 2 Head

Stenhousemuir and Queen's Park have met before this season: Queen's Park - Stenhousemuir 1-1. Stenhousemuir-Queen's Park H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: Stenhousemuir 4 wins, Queen's Park 3 wins, 3 draws. 3 of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

StenhousemuirD. Hopkirk
D. Hopkirk
4 goals
StenhousemuirM. McGuigan
M. McGuigan
3 goals
Queen's ParkD. Galt
D. Galt
3 goals

Stenhousemuir missing players

Queen's Park missing players

Stenhousemuir Queen's Park
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
10 5 2 Played P 1 5 10
3 2 1 Won W 0 2 2
3 0 0 Drew D 0 0 3
4 3 1 Lost L 1 3 5
11 7 3 Scored S 1 6 9
18 11 3 Conceded C 3 8 15
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 90%
80% 80% 50% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 80% 80%
50% 80% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 80% 60%
40% 60% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 100% 20% 10%
20% 40% 50% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 0%
60% 60% 50% BTTS BTTS 100% 40% 50%
20% 20% 50% Clean Sheets C S 0% 40% 30%
20% 20% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 20% 30%
 
4.3 3 4.5 Corners For (avg) C F 4 5.2 6.7
5.3 5 3 Corners Against (avg) C A 4 4.2 3.9
2 1.8 1.5 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 4 2.2 1.8
1 0 0 Red Cards R C 0 0 0
Key stats this season:
  • Queen's Park have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Queen's Park have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Queen's Park haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.
  • Stenhousemuir have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Stenhousemuir have won significantly less corners at home than away.
  • Stenhousemuir haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Cove Rangers 10 8 1 1 31 12 5 5 0 0 17 2 5 3 1 1 14 10 19 25
2 Edinburgh City 10 7 1 2 22 13 5 5 0 0 13 2 5 2 1 2 9 11 9 22
3 Cowdenbeath 10 7 1 2 16 8 5 5 0 0 8 2 5 2 1 2 8 6 8 22
4 Elgin City 10 3 3 4 14 12 5 2 1 2 9 7 5 1 2 2 5 5 2 12
5 Annan Athletic 9 3 3 3 9 15 4 1 3 0 5 4 5 2 0 3 4 11 -6 12
6 Stenhousemuir 10 3 3 4 11 18 5 2 0 3 7 11 5 1 3 1 4 7 -7 12
7 Queen's Park 10 2 3 5 9 15 5 0 3 2 3 7 5 2 0 3 6 8 -6 9
8 Albion Rovers 10 2 2 6 14 22 5 1 1 3 8 12 5 1 1 3 6 10 -8 8
9 Stirling Albion 10 1 4 5 5 9 5 1 2 2 3 4 5 0 2 3 2 5 -4 7
10 Brechin City 9 2 1 6 8 15 5 1 1 3 5 10 4 1 0 3 3 5 -7 7