League Two preview: Can Stenhousemuir edge out victory against Albion Rovers?

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Competition: Scotland League Two
Competition: Sat 16.April
Match begins: 14:00 (UTC)
Venue: Ochilview Park (5267 seats)

Stenhousemuir have 45 points playing as the home side. Albion Rovers have 35 points from their away games. What are the odds of this being a home win?

Insights:
  • Stenhousemuir is in the worst form (1-2-3)
  • Albion Rovers have the most conceded goals (53) in League Two

One slightly interesting match fact is that this game is played on artifical turf and that the visiting Albion Rovers have a different surface at their stadium (grass). The impact of this is hard to measure exactly, but the visitors stats on artifical turf is 3-2-6 (win-draw-loss) from eleven matches.

Both teams should be fairly well rested for this game, as they have had some quiet days to prepare. Hopefully this will translate into lots of action on the pitch.

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Stenhousemuir form and stats

Stenhousemuir's struggle is real here at Ochilview Park with only 16 points collected from 16 League Two games. The win-draw-lost numbers are ugly: 4-4-8.

Happy days for Stenhousemuir in their previous game, a fixture away at Elgin City (placed 9th) that ended with a 2-0 victory.

Ahead of that match, Stenhousemuir lost 0-1 at home to Annan Athletic.

The home team are moderate favourites in this game. How does Stenhousemuir handle that role? We have found ten games in our database similar to this one, based on the home odds. The stats for these games are three wins, three draws and four defeats.

Stenhousemuir has scored 17 league goals at home this season, in 16 matches. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 0 of these goals has been scored in their last three home matches. Stenhousemuir's goalkeeper has had to pick the ball out of their own net 23 times. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 2 of these goals has been conceded in their last three home matches.

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Albion Rovers form and stats

There's been little loot from Albion Rovers's travels as they have only collected 16 points from 16 away games in the League Two. Albion Rovers only have 4 wins to counter their 8 defeats and 4 draws. Momentum is building for Albion Rovers in their away games, having won their two previous outings.

Albion have been frustrated by their lack of goals lately, as they haven't scored in the league since they found the net 180 minutes ago. Dolan was the goal scorer.

Home advantage was not enough for Albion Rovers in their previous game as they lost hosting Stranraer, 0-5. Albion Rovers lost the plot completely in their previous game, as mentioned above. They need to recover quickly from that 0-5 beating and focus on this one.

Preceding that match was the 0-0 draw at home vs Elgin City.

Albion are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is four wins, three draws and six defeats. From a total of 13 matches.

Albion Rovers have scored 18 goals on their travels this season, from 16 away games in the league. In the opposite end, Albion have conceded 28 goals in their away games.

Head 2 Head

These opponents have fought previously this season: Albion Rovers - Stenhousemuir 1-2. Data for the previous ten meetings involving these two participants are: six wins for Stenhousemuir, one draw and three wins for Albion Rovers. Over 2,5 goals: seven times; under 2,5 goals: three games.

Top Goalscorers

StenhousemuirT. Orr
T. Orr
13 goals
StenhousemuirA. Corbett
A. Corbett
4 goals
StenhousemuirA. Brown
A. Brown
4 goals

Stenhousemuir missing players

Albion Rovers missing players

Stenhousemuir Albion Rovers
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
33 16 6 Played P 4 16 33
12 4 1 Won W 2 4 9
9 4 1 Drew D 1 4 8
12 8 4 Lost L 1 8 16
42 17 5 Scored S 6 18 34
42 23 9 Conceded C 2 28 53
97% 94% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 75% 88% 85%
79% 75% 83% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 75% 67%
39% 44% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 56% 52%
24% 25% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 25% 38% 33%
9% 12% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 12% 18%
55% 56% 67% BTTS BTTS 25% 56% 45%
21% 19% 0% Clean Sheets C S 50% 25% 30%
27% 31% 33% Failed to Score F T 50% 31% 39%
 
4.8 6.2 7.3 Corners for (avg) C F 3.5 4.2 4.2
4.8 4.9 4.7 Corners against (avg) C A 3 4.8 4.5
1.5 1.6 2.3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.2 1.2 1.3
2 2 2 Red cards R C 0 2 3
 
9.4 9.6 10.7 Shots (avg) S ( 8 9.2 9.3
3.8 3.3 4 Shots on Target (avg) S O 4.5 4.6 4
34% 32% 21% Goal Efficiency G E 33% 25% 26%
 
9.2 9.6 9.3 Shots against (avg) S A 7 9.9 9.4
3.6 3.6 3.7 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 2.2 3.8 4
Key stats in League Two this season:
  • Albion Rovers have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Albion Rovers have the most conceded goals (53) in League Two
  • Albion Rovers have the most conceded goals in the second half (29) in League Two
  • Stenhousemuir have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Stenhousemuir have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Stenhousemuir is in the worst form (1-2-3)

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Kelty Hearts 33 22 8 3 62 26 17 13 4 0 35 11 16 9 4 3 27 15 36 74
2 Annan Athletic 33 18 5 10 61 42 17 7 4 6 32 27 16 11 1 4 29 15 19 59
3 Forfar Athletic 33 15 10 8 51 34 16 9 4 3 29 16 17 6 6 5 22 18 17 55
4 Edinburgh City 33 13 9 11 41 43 17 6 5 6 21 24 16 7 4 5 20 19 -2 48
5 Stenhousemuir 33 12 9 12 42 42 16 4 4 8 17 23 17 8 5 4 25 19 0 45
6 Stranraer 33 11 8 14 45 50 16 5 4 7 16 23 17 6 4 7 29 27 -5 41
7 Stirling Albion 33 10 8 15 35 43 16 5 2 9 17 24 17 5 6 6 18 19 -8 38
8 Albion Rovers 33 9 8 16 34 53 17 5 4 8 16 25 16 4 4 8 18 28 -19 35
9 Elgin City 33 8 10 15 30 45 17 6 6 5 19 17 16 2 4 10 11 28 -15 34
10 Cowdenbeath 33 6 7 20 24 47 16 3 4 9 13 20 17 3 3 11 11 27 -23 25

Read more about League Two

The Scottish League Two is the fourth level of football in Scotland. It holds ten teams who play each other four times for a total of 36 fixtures in a season from August to May. The top team in the league table is promoted, the bottom team relegated. There are also playoffs to promote and relegate.