League One match prediction: Little separates Stranraer and Forfar Athletic in quality

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Competition: Scotland League One
Date: Sat 21.December
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: Stair Park (5600 seats)

An important duel in the bottom section of the league table, with both teams experiencing more worry than joy. This match is a classic “six-pointer” with the home team placed 10th and the visitors in 9th place.

Stranraer and Forfar Athletic should both be in good shape for this meeting, as there's been enough days for both of them to train and rest since their last matches.

This pitch has grass, which is not Forfar Athletic's usual surface at their own ground. When playing on grass Forfar Athletic have performed like this: Played 30 matches resulting in 7 wins, 7 draws and 16 defeats with the goal stats 32-53 (scored/conceded).

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Stranraer form and stats

With 2 League One wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from their home games, Stranraer, who have the most conceded goals (37) in League One, are certainly not brimming with confidence. It's trouble wherever Stranraer are playing these days as they have suffered five straight defeats now, regardless of arena. They really need to get back to winning ways. The Stranraer manager S. Farrell might feel some added pressure to get something from this game after two straight home defeats.

Times are rough for the home team, having gone 375 minutes without scoring a league goal. M. Stewart was the last player to find the net.

Stranraer's previous game was also a home match, the defeat 0-2 versus East Fife (placed 3rd). A defeat was the result before that one, 0-3 away at Peterhead.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Stranraer have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found seven matches with the results: Won 2 Drawn 1 Lost 4.

Stranraer are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 9 goals in 8 games. With more than 1,5 conceded goals on average, the Stranraer defense is not exactly impregnable. 13 goals conceded from 8 games. You can find more goal stats on the Statistics tab above.

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Forfar Athletic form and stats

Forfar Athletic have only collected 5 points from their away games in the League One, after 1-2-5 (8 played). Forfar Athletic has drawn their two previous away games.

The manager S. Malcolm was unhappy after their last game, a League One match played at their home ground Station Park. Forfar Athletic suffered a 3-4 loss to Dumbarton (placed 6th). A 0-0 draw at Clyde's stadium before that.

A crazy, crazy match with lots of goals last time out for Forfar Athletic, as mentioned above. 7 goals in that one, will this match be as much fun?

As mentioned above, this is an open game with no clear favourite. We have found nine similar matches played by Forfar Athletic in our archives, and the results are: 3 wins for Forfar Athletic, 1 draw and 5 defeats.

Forfar Athletic are seemingly not capable of scoring regularly on their travels in the league. They have only managed 3 goals from 8 away games. Forfar Athletic have conceded 11 goals in these away matches.

Head 2 Head

The two sides played each other earlier this season: Forfar Athletic - Stranraer 1-0. Head-2-head stats last ten meetings: 5 - 2 - 3 (Stranraer wins - draws - Forfar Athletic wins). As for goals, 5 matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), 5 had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

StranraerJ. Hilton
J. Hilton
4 goals
Forfar AthleticD. Hilson
D. Hilson
3 goals
StranraerM. Stewart
M. Stewart
2 goals

Stranraer missing players

Forfar Athletic missing players

Stranraer Forfar Athletic
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
17 8 2 Played P 2 8 17
2 2 1 Won W 0 1 4
4 2 0 Drew D 1 2 3
11 4 1 Lost L 1 5 10
16 9 4 Scored S 0 3 14
37 13 2 Conceded C 1 11 26
94% 88% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 50% 75% 82%
88% 88% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 0% 50% 65%
71% 62% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 38% 47%
35% 25% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 12% 18%
12% 12% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 12%
53% 38% 50% BTTS BTTS 0% 12% 35%
12% 25% 50% Clean Sheets C S 50% 38% 35%
41% 50% 0% Failed to Score F T 100% 75% 47%
 
4.9 5.5 9 Corners For (avg) C F 3.5 3.5 3.4
5.9 5.5 5.5 Corners Against (avg) C A 5 5.8 5.2
1.6 1.2 1.5 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 2 2 1.6
2 0 0 Red Cards R C 0 0 0
 
148 64 20 Total Shots T S 21 66 158
48 24 7 Shots on Target S O 7 21 59
33% 38% 57% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 14% 24%
Key stats in League One this season:
  • Forfar Athletic has the fewest scored goals (14)
  • Forfar Athletic has the fewest scored goals (3) away
  • Forfar Athletic has the fewest scored goals in the second half (6)
  • Forfar Athletic has the most dropped points from leading position (12)
  • Forfar Athletic have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Stranraer has the fewest matches under the total-line (5)
  • Stranraer has the fewest points (8) at home
  • Stranraer has the fewest scored goals (9) at home
  • Stranraer has the fewest scored goals in the first half (7)
  • Stranraer has the most conceded goals (37)
  • Stranraer has the most conceded goals in the second half (24)
  • Stranraer has the the worst goal difference (-21)
  • Stranraer have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Stranraer have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Forfar Athletic have scored away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Raith Rovers 17 9 5 3 31 19 8 5 3 0 19 6 9 4 2 3 12 13 12 32
2 Airdrieonians 17 10 2 5 28 19 9 4 2 3 15 11 8 6 0 2 13 8 9 32
3 East Fife 17 7 8 2 26 18 9 3 5 1 13 8 8 4 3 1 13 10 8 29
4 Falkirk 17 7 7 3 28 9 9 5 2 2 20 5 8 2 5 1 8 4 19 28
5 Montrose 17 8 2 7 26 21 8 4 0 4 15 11 9 4 2 3 11 10 5 26
6 Dumbarton 17 7 3 7 25 31 9 3 1 5 11 13 8 4 2 2 14 18 -6 24
7 Peterhead 17 5 4 8 20 26 8 3 3 2 10 6 9 2 1 6 10 20 -6 19
8 Clyde 17 4 6 7 19 27 8 2 3 3 12 10 9 2 3 4 7 17 -8 18
9 Forfar Athletic 17 4 3 10 14 26 9 3 1 5 11 15 8 1 2 5 3 11 -12 15
10 Stranraer 17 2 4 11 16 37 8 2 2 4 9 13 9 0 2 7 7 24 -21 10

Read more about League One

The Scottish League One is the third division in the Scottish football league pyramid. It holds ten teams who play each other four times for a total of 36 fixtures in a season from August to May. The top team in the league table is promoted, the bottom team relegated. There are also playoffs to promote and relegate.