League One preview: Can Montrose edge out victory against Kelty Hearts?

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Competition: Scotland League One
Competition: Sat 28.January
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: Links Park (3292 seats)

The home fans expect three points in this match, as the home advantage could mean an extra goal against a struggling visitor. Montrose are in 6th spot while the guesting Kelty Hearts stress at 7th.

Insights:
  • Montrose have the most clean sheets (6) at home in League One
  • Kelty Hearts have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

We should expect both teams to be fresh and ready for this match, as there is some time since both teams last played. Let's have a look at how the teams are doing!

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Montrose form and stats

6-3-2 (win-draw-lost) are the League One numbers at home for Montrose, who have the most clean sheets (6) at home in League One, so far this season.

Montrose's last game was hosting Queen of the South (placed 8th) and winning 1-0. What a relief, as that was the first three points in the league after failing to win six consecutive fixtures.

Prior to that, an away loss at Falkirk.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Montrose have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 8 games) they have won 4 times, drawn 2 and lost 2.

Montrose have proved capable of finding the net in their games here at Links Park with 19 goals in 11 league matches. From these home matches, Montrose have conceded only 10 goals.

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Kelty Hearts form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Kelty Hearts so far with only 10 points returning home. The records show 3-1-7 (win-draw-lose).

Kelty Hearts's last game was the home draw against Airdrieonians (1-1).

Before that game, 0-0 away against Queen of the South in the Challenge Cup. Kelty Hearts are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is 2 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats. From a total of 7 matches.

Sports betting statistic: Both sides have scored in 9 of this club's latest 12 league matches.

The visitors have scored 10 goals from 11 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. Hearts's defence is not exactly unbeatable as they have conceded 20 goals from these trips. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 2 of these goals has been conceded in their last three away matches.

Head 2 Head

Montrose have not lost in the last 4 games (2-2-0) versus Kelty Hearts.

This is what happened when the sides met earlier this season; Kelty Hearts - Montrose 1-3.

Top Goalscorers

Kelty HeartsA. Agyeman
A. Agyeman
7 goals
MontroseR. McAllister
R. McAllister
5 goals
MontroseC. Johnston
C. Johnston
4 goals

Montrose missing players

Kelty Hearts missing players

Montrose Kelty Hearts
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
22 11 4 Played P 3 11 22
9 6 3 Won W 0 3 8
6 3 1 Drew D 1 1 4
7 2 0 Lost L 2 7 10
31 19 6 Scored S 1 10 23
27 10 1 Conceded C 4 20 30
82% 82% 75% Over 0.5 O 0.5 67% 91% 91%
73% 73% 50% Over 1.5 O 1.5 33% 82% 77%
59% 55% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 33% 73% 55%
32% 18% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 33% 18% 14%
9% 18% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 9% 5%
45% 45% 25% BTTS BTTS 33% 55% 50%
41% 55% 75% Clean Sheets C S 33% 9% 27%
32% 18% 25% Failed to Score F T 67% 45% 32%
 
4.8 4.2 4.8 Corners for (avg) C F 6.7 5.8 5.1
5.3 6.8 5.8 Corners against (avg) C A 5.3 5.4 5
1.8 1.2 1.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.3 2.2 2
3 1 0 Red cards R C 0 1 1
 
8.4 9.2 9.2 Shots (avg) S ( 2.7 5.2 7.3
3.7 3.9 3.2 Shots on Target (avg) S O 1 2.2 2.8
38% 44% 46% Goal Efficiency G E 33% 42% 38%
 
8.9 9.7 7.2 Shots against (avg) S A 4.7 7.5 7.5
3.6 3.8 2.5 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 3 4.1 3.9
Key stats in League One this season:
  • Kelty Hearts have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Montrose have the most clean sheets (6) at home in League One

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Dunfermline Athletic 20 13 6 1 32 11 10 5 5 0 16 8 10 8 1 1 16 3 21 45
2 Falkirk 20 11 5 4 42 23 12 8 2 2 27 11 8 3 3 2 15 12 19 38
3 Edinburgh City 22 12 2 8 43 32 11 6 1 4 19 16 11 6 1 4 24 16 11 38
4 Alloa Athletic 21 10 5 6 39 29 10 7 1 2 23 12 11 3 4 4 16 17 10 35
5 Airdrieonians 21 9 6 6 40 31 9 5 2 2 23 15 12 4 4 4 17 16 9 33
6 Montrose 22 9 6 7 31 27 11 6 3 2 19 10 11 3 3 5 12 17 4 33
7 Kelty Hearts 22 8 4 10 23 30 11 5 3 3 13 10 11 3 1 7 10 20 -7 28
8 Queen of the South 22 7 5 10 34 37 11 4 2 5 17 16 11 3 3 5 17 21 -3 26
9 Peterhead 22 2 5 15 11 52 11 2 2 7 5 21 11 0 3 8 6 31 -41 11
10 Clyde 22 2 4 16 24 47 11 1 3 7 15 23 11 1 1 9 9 24 -23 10

Read more about League One

The Scottish League One is the third division in the Scottish football league pyramid. It holds ten teams who play each other four times for a total of 36 fixtures in a season from August to May. The top team in the league table is promoted, the bottom team relegated. There are also playoffs to promote and relegate.