League One prediction and data: Montrose odds-on thought to overpower Falkirk

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Competition: Scotland League One
Competition: Sat 29.January
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: Links Park (3292 seats)

Most experts are most impressed by Montrose so far this season, with the 3rd position in the League One table and eagerly waiting for Falkirk (who are in 5th).

Insights:
  • Montrose have the fewest conceded goals (18) in League One

This could be an engrossing fixture with lots of spark and bustle as both squads are well renewed since they last ran out on the pitch. Let's start!

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Montrose form and stats

4-5-2 (win-draw-lost) are the League One numbers at home for Montrose so far this season.

No payout for Montrose in their previous match, an away game at Cove Rangers that ended in defeat 0-1.

In the match before that, Montrose hosted Alloa Athletic and drew the game 1-1.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Montrose have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found ten games) they have won seven times, drawn two and lost one.

Montrose are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 16 goals in 11 games. 12 goals have been conceded.

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Falkirk form and stats

4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses. That’s the product of Falkirk playing as the away team in the League One this season.

Falkirk play their second away game in a row, but can be confident going into this one after the 2-0 victory visiting East Fife (placed 10th).

Preceding that game, the 2-3 loss visiting Airdrieonians's place.

Falkirk are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is two wins, zero draws and three defeats. From a total of five matches.

Falkirk has displayed an ability to score goals in away matches in the league this season, 15 goals from 10 games. Falkirk struggle to build an impenetrable defensive wall in away matches with a total of 16 goals conceded from these games. It's worth mentioning that 9 of these goals has been conceded in their last three away matches.

Head 2 Head

Falkirk - Montrose 0-1 was the outcome when this pair of squads last did battle, also in this season. H2H stats regardless of arena (last ten matches): Montrose three wins, one draw and Falkirk six victories. As for goals, six matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), four games had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

MontroseG. Webster
G. Webster
13 goals
MontroseC. Johnston
C. Johnston
5 goals
FalkirkC. Morrison
C. Morrison
5 goals

Montrose missing players

Falkirk missing players

Montrose Falkirk
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
22 11 2 Played P 3 10 21
10 4 0 Won W 1 4 8
9 5 2 Drew D 1 3 4
3 2 0 Lost L 1 3 9
36 16 3 Scored S 5 15 31
18 12 3 Conceded C 5 16 33
91% 91% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 90% 95%
77% 82% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 90% 86%
41% 45% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 67% 60% 67%
27% 27% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 33% 40% 24%
9% 9% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 33% 20% 14%
50% 64% 100% BTTS BTTS 100% 50% 52%
41% 27% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 30% 19%
18% 18% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 30% 33%
 
6.4 6.5 6 Corners for (avg) C F 2.7 5.9 6.1
4.1 4 2.5 Corners against (avg) C A 6.7 5.3 4.5
1.7 1.5 1 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.7 1.8 1.7
2 1 0 Red cards R C 1 2 2
 
9.8 10.8 11.5 Shots (avg) S ( 9 12.3 11.3
4.2 4.6 5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.7 4.5 4.2
39% 31% 30% Goal Efficiency G E 45% 33% 35%
 
9.1 9.5 9 Shots against (avg) S A 10 8.5 7
3.4 3.3 3.5 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 3.3 3.8 3.5
Key stats in League One this season:
  • Montrose have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Montrose have the fewest conceded goals (18) in League One
  • Montrose have the fewest conceded goals in the second half (9) in League One

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Cove Rangers 22 15 4 3 44 19 11 8 3 0 27 9 11 7 1 3 17 10 25 49
2 Airdrieonians 22 13 3 6 38 26 12 9 0 3 24 15 10 4 3 3 14 11 12 42
3 Montrose 22 10 9 3 36 18 11 4 5 2 16 12 11 6 4 1 20 6 18 39
4 Queen's Park 20 6 11 3 34 21 9 4 4 1 19 8 11 2 7 2 15 13 13 29
5 Falkirk 21 8 4 9 31 33 11 4 1 6 16 17 10 4 3 3 15 16 -2 28
6 Clyde 22 6 8 8 27 38 11 3 4 4 15 22 11 3 4 4 12 16 -11 26
7 Peterhead 21 6 5 10 29 33 11 4 4 3 16 10 10 2 1 7 13 23 -4 23
8 Alloa Athletic 21 5 7 9 28 35 10 3 3 4 15 16 11 2 4 5 13 19 -7 22
9 Dumbarton 21 6 3 12 29 44 11 2 3 6 15 20 10 4 0 6 14 24 -15 21
10 East Fife 22 3 4 15 21 50 10 3 2 5 11 14 12 0 2 10 10 36 -29 13

Read more about League One

The Scottish League One is the third division in the Scottish football league pyramid. It holds ten teams who play each other four times for a total of 36 fixtures in a season from August to May. The top team in the league table is promoted, the bottom team relegated. There are also playoffs to promote and relegate.