Championship match prediction: Little separates Queen of the South and Arbroath in quality

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Competition: Scotland Championship
Competition: Sat 16.January
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: Palmerston Park (8690 seats)

Queen of the South are welcoming Arbroath for another important game after their 3-0 result against Queen's Park.

Insights:
  • Queen of the South has the most conceded goals (27) in Championship
  • Arbroath has the fewest scored goals (5) in Championship

Both teams have had enough rest since their last competitive action. Let's hope for an energetic game!

6 - 1 - 6 with 19-20. What does this mean? Well, these are the statistics for Arbroath when playing on artifical turf like they will do today. Wins - draws- losses and goals scored-conceded. Arbroath play their home games on grass so that's why we provide these numbers.

W W W L L

Queen of the South form and stats

2-0-3 (win-draw-lost) are the Championship numbers at home for Queen of the South, who have the most conceded goals (27) in Championship, so far this season.

Queen of the South are returning here after visiting Queen's Park in a Scottish Cup game and winning with a 3-0 scoreline. Previous to that game, a Championship home match hosting Ayr United in a game that was won 3-2.

This is expected to be a close game, with Queen of the South perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Queen as a small favourite), we find nine games. Queen of the South has won two of these, drawn three and lost four.

The Queen of the South fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 8 goals in 5 league matches. Defensively there's plenty of potential for improvement as Queen have allowed the opposition to score 13 goals here at Palmerston Park.

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Arbroath form and stats

Arbroath, who have the fewest scored goals (5) in Championship, have been very modest guests so far, leaving with zero points in all their 5 away matches played so far in the Championship. It's all red in the travel logs of Arbroath, having lost five matches in a row as the visiting team.

There might be some fixture complaints from Arbroath as they are again playing away from home after losing on the road in their previous match, the Championship match against Hearts (1-3). Prior to that match, the Arbroath manager D. Campbell faced defeat when travelling to Dunfermline Athletic and losing 0-1.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Arbroath playing away and similar expectations, we found four relevant matches. Results were two Arbroath wins, zero draws and two defeats.

There's been a serious shortage of goals from Arbroath's away games in the league this season with only 2 goals from 5 matches. The Arbroath manager D. Campbell has some worries about the defense as 11 goals have been conceded in these travels.

Head 2 Head

Arbroath - Queen 1-1 was the story when these teams last met, earlier this season. H2H stats regardless of arena (last nine matches): Queen five wins, three draws and Arbroath one victory. As for goals, four matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), five games had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

Queen of the SouthS. Dobbie
S. Dobbie
4 goals
QueenC. Shields
C. Shields
4 goals
Queen of the SouthA. Obileye
A. Obileye
3 goals

Queen of the South missing players

Arbroath missing players

Queen of the South Arbroath
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
11 5 2 Played P 1 5 10
3 2 1 Won W 0 0 1
1 0 0 Drew D 0 0 2
7 3 1 Lost L 1 5 7
15 8 2 Scored S 1 2 5
27 13 3 Conceded C 3 11 15
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 90%
100% 100% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 60% 50%
64% 80% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 60% 40%
45% 60% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 100% 40% 20%
36% 40% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 0%
64% 60% 0% BTTS BTTS 100% 40% 40%
18% 20% 50% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 10%
18% 20% 50% Failed to Score F T 0% 60% 60%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
2 1.8 2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0 1.8 1.9
1 0 0 Red cards R C 0 4 4
 
9.4 11.6 12.5 Shots (avg) S ( 2 4 5.8
4 4.6 2.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2 1.2 1.7
34% 35% 40% Goal Efficiency G E 50% 33% 29%
Key stats in Championship this season:
  • All of Queen of the South's matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Arbroath has the fewest points (0) away in Championship
  • Arbroath has the fewest scored goals (5) in Championship
  • Arbroath has the fewest scored goals in the second half (2) in Championship
  • Arbroath has the the worst goal difference (-9) away in Championship
  • Arbroath have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Arbroath have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their away matches.
  • Arbroath have lost all their away matches so far.
  • Arbroath have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Arbroath haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.
  • Arbroath is in the worst form (1-1-4)
  • Queen of the South has the most conceded goals (27) in Championship
  • Queen of the South has the most conceded goals in the first half (14) in Championship
  • Queen of the South have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Queen of the South have scored more than double the goals of Arbroath.
  • Queen of the South haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Hearts 10 8 0 2 30 13 6 6 0 0 25 8 4 2 0 2 5 5 17 24
2 Dunfermline Athletic 10 5 4 1 20 13 5 4 0 1 10 6 5 1 4 0 10 7 7 19
3 Dundee 11 5 4 2 22 20 6 4 2 0 12 6 5 1 2 2 10 14 2 19
4 Raith Rovers 9 4 3 2 21 11 4 2 1 1 10 4 5 2 2 1 11 7 10 15
5 Greenock Morton 10 4 3 3 10 13 4 3 0 1 6 4 6 1 3 2 4 9 -3 15
6 Ayr United 11 3 4 4 16 16 5 2 3 0 5 2 6 1 1 4 11 14 0 13
7 Inverness CT 9 3 3 3 15 12 5 2 3 0 9 5 4 1 0 3 6 7 3 12
8 Queen of the South 11 3 1 7 15 27 5 2 0 3 8 13 6 1 1 4 7 14 -12 10
9 Alloa Athletic 11 2 2 7 11 25 6 1 2 3 9 16 5 1 0 4 2 9 -14 8
10 Arbroath 10 1 2 7 5 15 5 1 2 2 3 4 5 0 0 5 2 11 -10 5

Read more about Championship

The Scottish Championship is the second level of the Scottish Professional Football League. Ten teams play each other four times for a total of 36 fixtures in a season from August to May. The winner in the league table promotes to the Premiership and a playoff can promote one more team.