Football betting preview: Greenock Morton expected to win when Hamilton Academical come to town

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Competition: Scotland Championship
Competition: Tue 11.April
Match begins: 18:45 (UTC)
Venue: Cappielow Park (11589 seats)

On paper it looks like advantage Greenock Morton in this match against Hamilton Academical, but the away side will fight to the end. Here's our match guide!

Insights:
  • Greenock Morton have the most clean sheets (8) at home in Championship
  • Hamilton Academical have the fewest scored goals in the first half (10) in Championship

10-8-13 (wins/draws/losses). These are the numbers for Hamilton Academical when playing away games on grass, which is not the surface they have on their own home stadium (which has artifical turf). Their goal statistics from those 31 matches are 33-52 (scored/conceded).

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Greenock Morton and Hamilton Academical.

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Greenock Morton form and stats

9-2-5 (win-draw-lost) are the Championship numbers at home for Greenock Morton so far this season.

Greenock's previous game was also played at home, ending 2-0 versus Hamilton Academical (placed 9th). The home side are looking to build on that result. A huge relief, as that was the first league victory after going winless in six consecutive games.

Before that, Greenock Morton played out a draw 1-1 when visiting Ayr United.

The betting market estimate that the home team has about 55-60% chance of winning this match. There could be betting value if you think differently, so to help you here are the stats from Greenock's earlier matches at home being 55%-60% favourite: Played 5 games, won 4 matches, drawn 1 and lost 0.

Betting people might want to know that 15 of the latest 19 league matches from this football club have had at least one goal from each team.

A decent goal production from Greenock Morton in their home games so far, with 26 goals from 16 league matches. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 3 of these goals has been scored in their last three home matches. Greenock Morton have only conceded 15 from their league home games. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

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Hamilton Academical form and stats

There's been little loot from Hamilton Academical's travels as they have only collected 15 points from 16 away games in the Championship. Hamilton Academical only have 4 wins to counter their 9 defeats and 3 draws.

Academical are travelling again after losing away to Greenock Morton in their previous match (0-2).

A draw for Hamilton Academical before that, at their own venue hosting Cove Rangers (1-1).

Looking at the earlier recent performances of Hamilton Academical when being an outsider away as they are today, we find 5 matches with the visitors losing 3 times, drawing 0 and winning 2 games.

The attacking power of Hamilton Academical when travelling is not overwhelming with 13 goals scored from 16 league matches away.

Head 2 Head

Here's the final score when the sides played each other previously this campaign; Greenock - Hamilton Academical 2-0. Previous ten meetings featuring these participants: Greenock Morton won three, Hamilton Academical were winners in five and we saw two draws. three games with more than 2,5 goals, seven matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

GreenockR. Muirhead
R. Muirhead
8 goals
Greenock MortonG. Gillespie
G. Gillespie
7 goals
Greenock MortonG. Oakley
G. Oakley
6 goals

Greenock Morton missing players

Hamilton Academical missing players

Greenock Morton Hamilton Academical
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
32 16 5 Played P 4 16 32
12 9 3 Won W 2 4 7
11 2 0 Drew D 1 3 8
9 5 2 Lost L 1 9 17
45 26 6 Scored S 6 13 28
38 15 5 Conceded C 3 32 58
91% 88% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 97%
75% 69% 60% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 69% 72%
56% 62% 60% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 50% 41%
25% 25% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 25% 38% 28%
9% 12% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 12% 16%
66% 50% 60% BTTS BTTS 25% 31% 41%
31% 50% 40% Clean Sheets C S 50% 19% 19%
12% 12% 0% Failed to Score F T 25% 50% 44%
 
5.6 5.9 3.6 Corners for (avg) C F 5.8 4.2 5
5.5 5 4.4 Corners against (avg) C A 5 6.4 6
2.8 2.8 3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.8 1.8 1.8
3 1 1 Red cards R C 0 2 3
 
8.1 7.5 6.2 Shots (avg) S ( 7.2 7.2 7.6
3.8 4.2 3.4 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.8 2.6 3.2
37% 39% 35% Goal Efficiency G E 55% 32% 28%
 
8.2 6.5 5.4 Shots against (avg) S A 9.5 10.2 10.8
3.4 2.4 2.6 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 3.8 4.6 4.4
Key stats in Championship this season:
  • Greenock Morton have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Greenock Morton have the most clean sheets (8) at home in Championship
  • Hamilton Academical have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Hamilton Academical have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Hamilton Academical have the fewest scored goals in the first half (10) in Championship
  • Hamilton Academical haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Dundee 32 16 9 7 57 33 16 10 2 4 39 19 16 6 7 3 18 14 24 57
2 Queen's Park 32 16 6 10 58 45 16 9 4 3 28 17 16 7 2 7 30 28 13 54
3 Partick Thistle 32 15 6 11 58 40 16 9 3 4 36 19 16 6 3 7 22 21 18 51
4 Ayr United 32 14 8 10 57 41 16 6 6 4 27 17 16 8 2 6 30 24 16 50
5 Inverness CT 32 13 9 10 46 42 16 6 6 4 23 15 16 7 3 6 23 27 4 48
6 Greenock Morton 32 12 11 9 45 38 16 9 2 5 26 15 16 3 9 4 19 23 7 47
7 Raith Rovers 32 11 8 13 43 44 16 7 5 4 31 21 16 4 3 9 12 23 -1 41
8 Arbroath 32 6 14 12 28 43 16 2 7 7 11 21 16 4 7 5 17 22 -15 32
9 Hamilton Academical 32 7 8 17 28 58 16 3 5 8 15 26 16 4 3 9 13 32 -30 29
10 Cove Rangers 32 6 9 17 35 71 16 5 4 7 19 30 16 1 5 10 16 41 -36 27

Hamilton Academical:

Read more about Championship

The Scottish Championship is the second level of the Scottish Professional Football League. Ten teams play each other four times for a total of 36 fixtures in a season from August to May. The winner in the league table promotes to the Premiership and a playoff can promote one more team.