Home advantage could prove decisive in Greenock Morton - Arbroath battle

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Competition: Scotland Championship
Competition: Sat 28.January
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: Cappielow Park (11589 seats)

Greenock Morton have enginereed 5 home victories so far, Arbroath have won 2 away. Who betters their standings after this one?

Insights:
  • Greenock Morton have the fewest conceded goals (22) in Championship
  • Arbroath have the fewest dropped points from leading position (4) in Championship

We should expect both teams to be fresh and ready for this match, as there is some time since both teams last played. Let's have a look at how the teams are doing!

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Greenock Morton form and stats

16 points is a decent return from 8 Championship games here at Cappielow Park for Greenock Morton. The data says 5 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses. Ever since the Arbroath game Greenock Morton has been unbeatable here at Cappielow Park producing four straight wins.

The followers hope that Greenock will strike back in this fixture, putting things right after the 0-5 away loss in the Scottish Cup fixture against Celtic.

A Championship defeat was the result before that one, 0-1 away at Hamilton Academical.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Greenock Morton have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 4 games) they have won 4 times, drawn 0 and lost 0.

The Greenock fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 15 goals in 8 league matches. From these home matches, Greenock Morton have conceded only 5 goals.

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Arbroath form and stats

Arbroath have only collected 11 points from their away games in the Championship, after 2-5-4 (11 played).

This game can not go any worse than the previous one, a Scottish Cup home defeat versus Motherwell with 0-2 on the scoreboard.

Preceding that game, the 2-2 draw paying a visit to Ayr United.

Arbroath are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is 4 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats. From a total of 12 matches.

Sports betting statistic: Both sides have scored in 8 of this club's latest 10 league matches.

Arbroath have a decent goal production going in their away games, although not fantastic. In 11 league away games 13 goals have been scored. It's worth mentioning that 7 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. As for defending, Arbroath rarely keep clean sheets as they have conceded 18 goals from these away matches.

Head 2 Head

Arbroath have pulled off a streak of 10 consecutive games without defeat (4-6-0) when facing Greenock Morton.

The contenders have played each other before in this season, with the final score Arbroath - Greenock 1-1 written in the official records.

Top Goalscorers

Greenock MortonR. Muirhead
R. Muirhead
7 goals
Greenock MortonG. Gillespie
G. Gillespie
5 goals
Greenock MortonC. Blues
C. Blues
3 goals

Greenock Morton missing players

Arbroath missing players

Greenock Morton Arbroath
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
20 8 3 Played P 2 11 22
8 5 3 Won W 0 2 3
6 1 0 Drew D 1 5 9
6 2 0 Lost L 1 4 10
28 15 7 Scored S 1 13 20
22 5 0 Conceded C 4 18 36
90% 88% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 91% 91%
70% 62% 33% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 82% 77%
55% 62% 33% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 45% 36%
20% 25% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 27% 23%
10% 12% 33% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 18% 18%
60% 38% 0% BTTS BTTS 50% 64% 59%
35% 62% 100% Clean Sheets C S 0% 9% 14%
15% 12% 0% Failed to Score F T 50% 36% 36%
 
5.4 4.5 4 Corners for (avg) C F 4 5.9 5.5
5.7 5.9 5.3 Corners against (avg) C A 5.5 5.7 5.1
2.7 2.4 3.3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1 2.2 2.3
2 1 0 Red cards R C 0 2 3
 
7.3 5.8 6.7 Shots (avg) S ( 7.5 7.3 8.1
3.1 3.4 4 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2 2.8 3
44% 56% 58% Goal Efficiency G E 25% 42% 31%
 
7.5 5.1 6 Shots against (avg) S A 8 8.5 9.3
2.9 1.6 2 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 3.5 3.8 4
Key stats in Championship this season:
  • Arbroath have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Arbroath have the fewest dropped points from leading position (4) in Championship
  • Arbroath have the most matches under the total-line (14) in Championship
  • Greenock Morton have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Greenock Morton have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Greenock Morton have the fewest conceded goals (22) in Championship
  • Greenock Morton have the fewest conceded goals (5) at home in Championship
  • Greenock Morton have the most clean sheets (5) at home in Championship
  • Greenock Morton have won significantly less corners at home than away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Queen's Park 21 12 4 5 44 27 10 6 2 2 20 12 11 6 2 3 24 15 17 40
2 Ayr United 21 10 6 5 41 29 12 5 5 2 22 13 9 5 1 3 19 16 12 36
3 Dundee 20 10 5 5 33 25 9 5 1 3 18 13 11 5 4 2 15 12 8 35
4 Partick Thistle 21 10 3 8 42 36 11 7 2 2 29 17 10 3 1 6 13 19 6 33
5 Greenock Morton 20 8 6 6 28 22 8 5 1 2 15 5 12 3 5 4 13 17 6 30
6 Inverness CT 21 8 6 7 30 28 11 3 5 3 16 10 10 5 1 4 14 18 2 30
7 Raith Rovers 22 8 5 9 28 29 11 5 3 3 20 16 11 3 2 6 8 13 -1 29
8 Cove Rangers 21 5 7 9 30 42 12 5 3 4 18 17 9 0 4 5 12 25 -12 22
9 Arbroath 22 3 9 10 20 36 11 1 4 6 7 18 11 2 5 4 13 18 -16 18
10 Hamilton Academical 21 3 5 13 17 39 10 2 2 6 10 17 11 1 3 7 7 22 -22 14

Read more about Championship

The Scottish Championship is the second level of the Scottish Professional Football League. Ten teams play each other four times for a total of 36 fixtures in a season from August to May. The winner in the league table promotes to the Premiership and a playoff can promote one more team.