Home advantage could prove decisive in Al Jabalain - Al Nahdha battle

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Competition: Saudi Arabia Division 1
Competition: Tue 29.March
Match begins: 13:30 (UTC)
Venue: Prince Abdul Aziz bin Musa'ed Stadium (12250 seats)

A home win is anticipated from this game if the league table is to be believed. The Al Jabalain regulars are confident that the difference between 2nd and Al Nahdha's 18th place in the table will be visible on the ground.

Insights:
  • Al Jabalain have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Al Nahdha have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.

It's quite the trip for Al Nahdha when visiting Al Jabalain as the cities are 1000 kilometers apart.

Both teams should be fairly well rested for this game, as they have had some quiet days to prepare. Hopefully this will translate into lots of action on the pitch.

W W W D W

Al Jabalain form and stats

The story so far in the Division 1 for Al Jabalain at their home stadium (Prince Abdul Aziz bin Musa'ed Stadium) is 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats. Hopes of three in a row are alive for Al Jabalain after consecutive victories at their own ground.

The Al Jabalain regulars enjoyed the previous fixture, watching their team host Al Draih and win 3-2.

Ahead of that match, Jabalain won a home game hosting Jeddah (2-1).

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Al Jabalain have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found six games) they have won three times, drawn one and lost two.

Jabalain are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 18 goals in 15 games.

L D W L L

Al Nahdha form and stats

There's been little loot from Al Nahdha's travels as they have only collected 9 points from 13 away games in the Division 1. Al Nahdha only have 2 wins to counter their 8 defeats and 3 draws.

The attacking players of Al Nahdha have been feeble for some time now, the team not scoring a league goal in the last 180 minutes.

This match can not go any worse than the last one, the home defeat versus Najran with 0-2 on the scoreboard.

A 0-0 draw at Al Sahel's stadium before that.

Nahdha are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is two wins, two draws and five defeats. From a total of nine matches.

The visitors have scored 9 goals from 13 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. Al Nahdha's defence is not exactly unbeatable as they have conceded 22 goals from these trips. Al Nahdha has visited these top teams four times, and 3 of 4 has ended with 2 goals or more!

Head 2 Head

The former H2H encounter ended Al Nahdha - Jabalain 1-1, earlier this season. As for the last seven games between these two teams, there's one Al Jabalain victory, six draws and zero Al Nahdha wins. Over/under statistics; one of these games ended with three goals or more, six matches with two goals or less.

Al Jabalain missing players

Al Nahdha missing players

Al Jabalain Al Nahdha
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
29 15 5 Played P 4 13 29
15 8 4 Won W 1 2 7
6 3 0 Drew D 0 3 10
8 4 1 Lost L 3 8 12
37 18 7 Scored S 5 9 27
29 15 4 Conceded C 11 22 36
90% 87% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 85% 86%
66% 60% 40% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 85% 83%
45% 53% 40% Over 2.5 O 2.5 75% 31% 28%
21% 13% 20% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 15% 10%
7% 7% 20% Over 4.5 O 4.5 25% 8% 3%
48% 47% 40% BTTS BTTS 75% 38% 41%
41% 40% 40% Clean Sheets C S 0% 23% 31%
21% 27% 20% Failed to Score F T 25% 54% 41%
 
4.8 4.8 4 Corners for (avg) C F 4.2 2.8 3
3.5 3.2 2.6 Corners against (avg) C A 4 4.4 4.3
2.2 1.5 1 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.5 2.5 2.6
3 2 1 Red cards R C 0 2 6
 
8.2 7.5 5.8 Shots (avg) S ( 10.2 7.5 8.1
3.8 3.7 2.8 Shots on Target (avg) S O 5 3 3.1
33% 29% 50% Goal Efficiency G E 25% 23% 30%
 
7.2 6.5 6.8 Shots against (avg) S A 11.8 9.3 9
3.2 2.9 3.8 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 5.2 4.1 3.8
Key stats in Division 1 this season:
  • Al Jabalain have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Al Nahdha have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Al Nahdha have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Al Khaleej 29 15 8 6 46 31 15 9 4 2 25 12 14 6 4 4 21 19 15 53
2 Al Jabalain 29 15 6 8 37 29 15 8 3 4 18 15 14 7 3 4 19 14 8 51
3 Al Wahda 29 13 11 5 36 21 14 5 5 4 20 15 15 8 6 1 16 6 15 50
4 Al Adalh 29 14 8 7 32 26 14 7 4 3 16 12 15 7 4 4 16 14 6 50
5 Ohod 30 13 10 7 44 37 14 6 3 5 18 17 16 7 7 2 26 20 7 49
6 Hajer 29 13 7 9 34 26 14 7 5 2 20 8 15 6 2 7 14 18 8 46
7 Najran 30 11 9 10 28 25 15 6 3 6 15 14 15 5 6 4 13 11 3 42
8 Al Quadisiya 29 10 11 8 31 25 15 7 4 4 19 13 14 3 7 4 12 12 6 41
9 Al Kholood 30 11 8 11 31 30 15 7 7 1 20 8 15 4 1 10 11 22 1 41
10 Al Akhdoud 29 10 9 10 36 35 15 7 3 5 21 14 14 3 6 5 15 21 1 39
11 Al Orubah 29 10 9 10 29 28 15 5 7 3 13 11 14 5 2 7 16 17 1 39
12 Al Shoalah 29 7 14 8 30 27 14 4 7 3 17 13 15 3 7 5 13 14 3 35
13 Al Sahel 30 8 11 11 37 35 15 5 5 5 19 17 15 3 6 6 18 18 2 35
14 Jeddah 29 9 8 12 28 30 14 5 4 5 14 11 15 4 4 7 14 19 -2 35
15 Al Jeel 30 7 13 10 25 38 15 3 5 7 12 24 15 4 8 3 13 14 -13 34
16 Al Draih 30 9 7 14 32 47 14 5 3 6 18 21 16 4 4 8 14 26 -15 34
17 Al-Ain 29 6 14 9 26 35 15 5 9 1 19 14 14 1 5 8 7 21 -9 32
18 Al Nahdha 29 7 10 12 27 36 16 5 7 4 18 14 13 2 3 8 9 22 -9 31
19 Al-Kawkab 29 4 12 13 24 35 14 3 3 8 11 16 15 1 9 5 13 19 -11 24
20 Bisha 29 4 9 16 21 38 15 2 6 7 13 19 14 2 3 9 8 19 -17 21