Soccer match preview: Home crowd has high hopes when Police Rwanda welcomes Bugesera

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Competition: Rwanda National Soccer League
Date: Tue 05.November
Match begins: 13:30 (UTC)
Venue: Stade Régional de Nyamirambo (22000 seats)

It's advantage Police Rwanda so far with their 2nd position in the National Soccer League table, welcoming Bugesera who are placed 9th.

It's no vacation for neither Police Rwanda nor Bugesera as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

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Police Rwanda form and stats

Police Rwanda, who have the most scored goals (12) in National Soccer League, have collected 10 points from their National Soccer League home games so far after 3-1-0.

Happy days for Police Rwanda in their previous game, a National Soccer League match away at AS Kigali (placed 12th) that ended with a 3-0 victory. In the match before that, Police Rwanda hosted APR and drew the game 1-1.

Police Rwanda decided the match against AS Kigali in the first half, and held firmly on to their lead (3-0) without using too much effort. The team showed great control while saving some energy.

The betting market estimate that the home team has about 55-60% chance of winning this match. There could be betting value if you think differently, so to help you here are the stats from Police Rwanda's earlier matches at home being 55%-60% favourite: Played one game, won 1 match, drawn 0 and lost 0.

With an average of more than two goals per home game in the league (9 in 4 games), Police Rwanda's attacking play is working. Police Rwanda have conceded 5 in these home matches.

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Bugesera form and stats

The National Soccer League season is young and Bugesera have only just started going through their travel schedule, with 3 away games done and still no victory. 2 draws and 1 defeat so far.

The supporters enjoyed Bugesera's previous game versus Muhanga (placed 13th), a National Soccer League 5-4 win played at home. Before that, Bugesera travelled to Marines and returned home with a draw after the game finished 1-1.

A crazy, crazy match with lots of goals last time out for Bugesera, as mentioned above. 9 goals in that one, will this match be as much fun?

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Bugesera playing away, we found two games. Results were 0 away wins, 1 draw and 1 home win.

Bugesera find the net in their away games, although not all the time. 4 goals from 3 away fixtures in the league. Bugesera have conceded 5 goals in these games.

Head 2 Head

Head-2-head stats last eight meetings: 3 - 0 - 5 (Police Rwanda wins - draws - Bugesera wins). As for goals, 4 matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), 4 had two or less.

Police Rwanda missing players

Bugesera missing players

Police Rwanda Bugesera
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
7 4 1 Played P 1 3 7
4 3 1 Won W 0 0 2
3 1 0 Drew D 0 2 2
0 0 0 Lost L 1 1 3
12 9 3 Scored S 1 4 11
5 5 2 Conceded C 2 5 12
71% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
71% 100% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 100% 86%
43% 50% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 67% 43%
29% 50% 100% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 33% 29%
29% 50% 100% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 14%
43% 75% 100% BTTS BTTS 100% 100% 57%
57% 25% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 14%
29% 0% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 0% 29%
 
4.6 4 2 Corners For (avg) C F 4 3.7 3.9
4.3 3.2 6 Corners Against (avg) C A 3 6.3 4.9
1.7 1.5 2 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 1 1.3 1
0 0 0 Red Cards R C 0 0 1
Key stats this season:
  • All of Bugesera's away-matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • All of Police Rwanda's home-matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Bugesera have scored in all their away matches so far.
  • Bugesera have yet to win a game away.
  • Bugesera haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Police Rwanda have not yet lost a game.
  • Police Rwanda have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Police Rwanda have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • Police Rwanda have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Bugesera have scored away.
  • Police Rwanda have scored in all their home matches so far.
  • Police Rwanda haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 APR 7 5 2 0 11 3 3 3 0 0 6 0 4 2 2 0 5 3 8 17
2 Police Rwanda 7 4 3 0 12 5 4 3 1 0 9 5 3 1 2 0 3 0 7 15
3 Mukura 7 4 2 1 11 4 3 2 1 0 7 2 4 2 1 1 4 2 7 14
4 Kiyovu Sports 7 4 2 1 8 5 3 3 0 0 4 1 4 1 2 1 4 4 3 14
5 Rayon Sports 7 3 3 1 8 5 3 2 1 0 4 1 4 1 2 1 4 4 3 12
6 Sunrise 7 3 2 2 11 8 4 3 1 0 8 3 3 0 1 2 3 5 3 11
7 Etincelles 7 3 2 2 7 5 3 1 1 1 2 2 4 2 1 1 5 3 2 11
8 Marines 7 2 2 3 6 6 4 1 2 1 5 4 3 1 0 2 1 2 0 8
9 Bugesera 7 2 2 3 11 12 4 2 0 2 7 7 3 0 2 1 4 5 -1 8
10 Gasogi United 7 1 4 2 5 6 4 1 3 0 2 1 3 0 1 2 3 5 -1 7
11 Espoir 7 2 1 4 9 13 4 2 0 2 6 6 3 0 1 2 3 7 -4 7
12 AS Kigali 7 1 4 2 4 8 4 1 2 1 4 6 3 0 2 1 0 2 -4 7
13 Muhanga 7 1 3 3 7 10 3 0 3 0 1 1 4 1 0 3 6 9 -3 6
14 Musanze 7 0 5 2 5 10 4 0 4 0 3 3 3 0 1 2 2 7 -5 5
15 Heroes 7 1 1 5 4 12 3 1 0 2 2 5 4 0 1 3 2 7 -8 4
16 Gicumbi 7 1 0 6 6 13 3 1 0 2 3 5 4 0 0 4 3 8 -7 3