Marines supporters put their faith in victory against Gorilla

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Competition: Rwanda National Soccer League
Competition: Wed 16.February
Match begins: 13:00 (UTC)
Venue: Stade Umuganda (5000 seats)

National Soccer League: What this fixture might miss in elegance it should compensate in pace and attitude. Get set for Marines - Gorilla!

Insights:
  • Marines have won significantly less corners at home than away.
  • Gorilla have won significantly less corners away then at home.

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Marines and Gorilla.

L L W W W

Marines form and stats

The story so far in the National Soccer League for Marines at their home stadium (Stade Umuganda) is 3 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats.

Marines lost their last game at Gasogi United (placed 9th) after a 2-3 scoreline.

Preceding that match was a defeat to Espoir (0-1).

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Marines have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found twelve games) they have won four times, drawn four and lost four.

There's a new game coming up fairly quickly for Marines as they are travelling to their away game against Mukura in the National Soccer League. That match is four days after this one.

Marines have scored 7 league goals here from 8 matches, not a lot. Marines have conceded 11 in these home matches.

L W L L D

Gorilla form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Gorilla so far with only 8 points returning home. The records show 2-2-4 (win-draw-lose).

This match can not go any worse than the last one, the home defeat versus Kiyovu Sports with 1-2 on the scoreboard.

Before that one, a nice away victory 2-0 at Espoir.

We have checked recent matches where Gorilla have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those five games were zero victories, two draws and three defeats.

Gorilla have another fixture that requires travelling in just three days, a National Soccer League fixture vs AS Kigali. A hard calendar for the visiting team!

The visitors have scored 5 goals from 8 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. They concede less than a goal on average per away game (6 so far).

Head 2 Head

The former head to head encounter ended Gorilla - Marines 1-1, earlier this season. Marines-Gorilla H2H statistics last two meetings regardless of arena: Marines one win, Gorilla zero wins, one draw. zero of these two matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Marines missing players

Gorilla missing players

Marines Gorilla
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
16 8 3 Played P 3 8 16
6 3 2 Won W 1 2 2
3 1 0 Drew D 1 2 5
7 4 1 Lost L 1 4 9
18 7 3 Scored S 3 5 12
23 11 2 Conceded C 3 6 18
94% 88% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 88% 94%
50% 38% 33% Over 1.5 O 1.5 67% 38% 50%
44% 38% 33% Over 2.5 O 2.5 33% 12% 25%
25% 12% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 0% 12%
19% 12% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 6%
44% 38% 33% BTTS BTTS 67% 25% 44%
38% 38% 33% Clean Sheets C S 33% 38% 19%
25% 38% 33% Failed to Score F T 0% 50% 44%
 
3.9 3.2 3 Corners for (avg) C F 5.3 3.5 4.4
5.6 5.3 4 Corners against (avg) C A 4.3 4 4.1
2.4 2.2 1.7 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.3 1.9 1.9
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
6.4 6 8 Shots (avg) S ( 8.3 8.4 7.9
3 3.5 5.3 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2 2.1 2.2
38% 24% 19% Goal Efficiency G E 50% 29% 34%
 
11.5 10.7 9 Shots against (avg) S A 5.7 6.9 8.1
3.9 3.3 1.7 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 3 2.6 3.5
Key stats in National Soccer League this season:
  • Gorilla have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Marines have won significantly less corners at home than away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 APR 16 11 4 1 23 8 8 7 0 1 13 5 8 4 4 0 10 3 15 37
2 Kiyovu Sports 16 9 5 2 17 11 8 5 3 0 9 3 8 4 2 2 8 8 6 32
3 AS Kigali 16 7 6 3 26 16 9 3 4 2 17 10 7 4 2 1 9 6 10 27
4 Police Rwanda 16 7 5 4 25 14 9 4 3 2 15 7 7 3 2 2 10 7 11 26
5 Mukura 16 7 5 4 18 12 8 4 2 2 12 7 8 3 3 2 6 5 6 26
6 Rayon Sports 16 7 5 4 17 15 8 5 2 1 8 5 8 2 3 3 9 10 2 26
7 Musanze 16 6 6 4 20 15 7 4 2 1 13 6 9 2 4 3 7 9 5 24
8 Marines 16 6 3 7 18 23 8 3 1 4 7 11 8 3 2 3 11 12 -5 21
9 Gasogi United 16 5 4 7 18 20 8 3 2 3 11 11 8 2 2 4 7 9 -2 19
10 Bugesera 16 4 6 6 22 22 8 2 4 2 8 6 8 2 2 4 14 16 0 18
11 Espoir 16 4 6 6 12 17 8 2 3 3 6 8 8 2 3 3 6 9 -5 18
12 Rutsiro 16 3 7 6 12 17 8 1 4 3 6 10 8 2 3 3 6 7 -5 16
13 Etoile de l'Est 16 4 4 8 15 27 8 3 2 3 11 10 8 1 2 5 4 17 -12 16
14 Etincelles 16 3 5 8 12 21 7 1 3 3 3 6 9 2 2 5 9 15 -9 14
15 Gicumbi 16 2 6 8 7 18 8 1 3 4 4 7 8 1 3 4 3 11 -11 12
16 Gorilla 16 2 5 9 12 18 8 0 3 5 7 12 8 2 2 4 5 6 -6 11