Premier League match prediction: Little separates Rostov and Zenit in quality

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Competition: Russia Premier League
Competition: Wed 22.July
Match begins: 16:00 (UTC)
Venue: Stadion SKA SKVO (45000 seats)

Rostov and Zenit are both riding high in the Premier League with their 5th and 1st positions respectively. Expect a great game!

We should expect both teams to be fresh and ready for this match, as there is some time since both teams last played. Let's have a look at how the teams are doing!

Everyone involved with the away team has to get their travel gear ready for this match as there's a whopping 800 kilometers to cover before arriving at the match.

Zenit have already won the Premier League. Congratulations! It will be interesting to see if this affects performances here at the final stages.

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Rostov form and stats

Overall Premier League stats at home this season for Rostov are 8-3-3 (wins-draw-losses).

Rostov haven't scored a league goal since they found the net 243 minutes ago. D. Hadzikadunic scored that one. Nothing to worry about in defence for Rostov, as their goalkeeper Sergey Pesyakov has completely shut out the opponents for 195 minutes in the Premier League.

An away draw last time out for Rostov, facing Rubin Kazan' in a game that ended 0-0. Preceding that game was the away draw at Orenburg that finished 0-0.

The Rostov goalkeeper Sergei Pesyakov was crucial in the match against Rubin Kazan' last time out, making six saves.

This is expected to be a close game, with Rostov perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Rostov as a small favourite), we find six games. Rostov has won three of these, drawn two and lost one.

The Rostov fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 23 goals in 14 league matches. Rostov have conceded 16 in these home matches.

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Zenit form and stats

Zenit, who have the most scored goals (63) in Premier League, have an excellent away record in the Premier League so far with 11-1-2 from 14 games. Things are running smoothly for Zenit who hasn't tasted defeat in their last 18 matches, regardless of venue and tournament. Their last defeat was against Lokomotiv Moskva. The away team travel with confidence. Not since the Lokomotiv Moskva game have they lost an away game, meaning Zenit has taken points from eight away matches in a row.

Zenit are travelling after their nice 4-1 home win in the Premier League against Orenburg (placed 16th). Ahead of that match was the away draw versus Akhmat Grozny that ended 1-1.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Zenit playing away and similar expectations, we found six relevant matches. Results were one Zenit win, three draws and two defeats.

Zenit has displayed an ability to score goals in away matches in the league this season, 26 goals from 14 games. It's not easy to score on Zenit as they have only conceded 8 goals from these away games.

Head 2 Head

This is the result when the teams met earlier this season; Zenit - Rostov 6-1. Rostov-Zenit H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: Rostov three wins, Zenit four wins, three draws. five of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

ZenitA. Dzyuba
A. Dzyuba
17 goals
ZenitS. Azmoun
S. Azmoun
16 goals
RostovE. Shomurodov
E. Shomurodov
11 goals

Rostov missing players

Zenit missing players

Rostov Zenit
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
29 14 3 Played P 3 14 29
12 8 1 Won W 2 11 21
9 3 1 Drew D 0 1 6
8 3 1 Lost L 1 2 2
44 23 5 Scored S 8 26 63
48 16 6 Conceded C 3 8 17
86% 93% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 90%
83% 86% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 67% 71% 72%
69% 71% 67% Over 2.5 O 2.5 67% 36% 48%
34% 21% 67% Over 3.5 O 3.5 67% 21% 28%
17% 7% 33% Over 4.5 O 4.5 33% 7% 17%
72% 71% 100% BTTS BTTS 33% 36% 48%
24% 29% 0% Clean Sheets C S 33% 50% 45%
17% 7% 0% Failed to Score F T 33% 14% 17%
 
4.9 6.6 6.3 Corners for (avg) C F 1.7 4.9 5.3
3.9 2.9 2.3 Corners against (avg) C A 7.7 5.4 4
2.8 2.8 4 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3 2.1 2.2
2 1 0 Red cards R C 0 1 3
 
457 259 59 Total Shots T S 33 219 474
154 87 22 Shots on Target S O 14 75 168
29% 26% 23% Goal Efficiency G E 57% 35% 38%
Key stats in Premier League this season:
  • Rostov has the fewest matches under the total-line (7)
  • Rostov has the most conceded goals in the second half (29)
  • Rostov has the most dropped points from leading position (21)
  • Rostov has the most matches over the total-line (20)
  • Rostov have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Rostov have won at least twice as many corners as they have conceded at home.
  • Rostov have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Zenit has the fewest conceded goals (17)
  • Zenit has the fewest conceded goals (8) away
  • Zenit has the fewest conceded goals in the first half (6)
  • Zenit has the fewest dropped points from leading position (0)
  • Zenit has the most points (34) away
  • Zenit has the most scored goals (63)
  • Zenit has the most scored goals in the first half (29)
  • Zenit has the most scored goals in the second half (34)
  • Zenit has the the best goal difference (+18) away
  • Zenit has the the best goal difference (+46)
  • Zenit have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • Zenit haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.
  • Zenit is in the best form (5-1-0)

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Zenit 29 21 6 2 63 17 15 10 5 0 37 9 14 11 1 2 26 8 46 69
2 Lokomotiv Moskva 29 15 9 5 40 29 15 7 5 3 19 14 14 8 4 2 21 15 11 54
3 Krasnodar 28 13 10 5 45 28 13 7 5 1 24 12 15 6 5 4 21 16 17 49
4 CSKA Moskva 29 13 8 8 41 29 14 6 4 4 15 14 15 7 4 4 26 15 12 47
5 Rostov 29 12 9 8 44 48 14 8 3 3 23 16 15 4 6 5 21 32 -4 45
6 Dinamo Moskva 28 10 8 10 25 29 14 4 4 6 12 14 14 6 4 4 13 15 -4 38
7 Ufa 29 8 13 8 22 24 14 5 5 4 15 13 15 3 8 4 7 11 -2 37
8 Arsenal Tula 29 11 4 14 37 41 15 4 3 8 21 24 14 7 1 6 16 17 -4 37
9 Spartak Moskva 29 10 6 13 33 32 15 4 4 7 14 16 14 6 2 6 19 16 1 36
10 Rubin Kazan' 29 8 11 10 17 26 14 5 3 6 7 11 15 3 8 4 10 15 -9 35
11 Ural 29 9 8 12 36 52 14 5 2 7 22 27 15 4 6 5 14 25 -16 35
12 Sochi 28 8 9 11 40 33 15 6 3 6 28 16 13 2 6 5 12 17 7 33
13 Akhmat Grozny 29 7 10 12 27 42 15 2 8 5 13 21 14 5 2 7 14 21 -15 31
14 Tambov 28 8 4 16 34 39 14 5 1 8 18 17 14 3 3 8 16 22 -5 28
15 Krylya Sovetov 29 7 7 15 30 40 14 2 5 7 13 18 15 5 2 8 17 22 -10 28
16 Orenburg 29 6 6 17 27 52 15 3 4 8 13 25 14 3 2 9 14 27 -25 24

Read more about Premier League

The Premier League, or the Russian Football Championship, is the top level football league in Russia. It has 16 teams who play each other home and away for a total of 30 matches each. After this the top team in the league table is the champion, the bottom two relegated directly while two teams play a relegation playoff.