Lokomotiv Moskva favourites for feisty fight facing Ufa

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Competition: Russia Premier League
Competition: Sun 12.December
Match begins: 16:00 (UTC)
Venue: RZD Arena (28800 seats)

Lokomotiv Moskva have 25 points performing as the home team. Ufa have got 16 points using the away locker rooms. Could we look at anything else than a home win?

Insights:
  • Lokomotiv Moskva have the most points from losing position (12) in Premier League
  • Ufa have the fewest scored goals in the first half (4) in Premier League

The hosts Lokomotiv Moskva saw competitive action as recent as three days ago, playing in the Europa League. At least it's nice to return home after that away game at Olympique Marseille.

Ufa have a very long trip to this away game, as there's more than 1300 kilometers in distance to cover. This could prove a challenge, at least for the supporters.

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Lokomotiv Moskva form and stats

The Premier League stats at home this season for Lokomotiv Moskva are 4-1-3 (wins-draws-losses). Lokomotiv Moskva has three losses from their three previous games and the tension is increasing in the dressing room for both the manager Gisdol and the players.

Lokomotiv lost their last game at Olympique Marseille after a 0-1 scoreline. Goalkeeper Daniil Khudyakov got the top rating on the team in that game; 7.44 out of ten. Khudyakov stopped the opponent with four saves.

Preceding that match was a Premier League defeat to Ural (0-1).

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Lokomotiv have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found nine games) they have won five times, drawn one and lost three.

The Lokomotiv fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 12 goals in 8 league matches. Lokomotiv have conceded 9 in these home matches.

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Ufa form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Ufa so far with only 6 points returning home. The records show 1-3-4 (win-draw-lose).

Two away games in a row for Ufa, who will hope to get a better result in this one after losing 0-2 versus Dinamo Moskva in the Premier League. Konstantin Pliev was the top performer of the team in that game with a match score of 7.21. The defender Pliev won 1 of 1 duels.

A 1-1 draw was the result before that, hosting Spartak Moskva.

We have checked recent matches where Ufa have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those seven games were two victories, two draws and three defeats.

The attacking power of Ufa when travelling is not overwhelming with 6 goals scored from 8 league matches away. In the opposite end, Ufa have conceded 12 goals in their away games.

Head 2 Head

The former H2H encounter ended Ufa - Lokomotiv 1-1, earlier this season. H2H stats regardless of arena (last ten matches): Lokomotiv three wins, six draws and Ufa one victory. As for goals, one match ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), nine games had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

UfaG. Agalarov
G. Agalarov
13 goals
LokomotivF. Smolov
F. Smolov
7 goals
Lokomotiv MoskvaR. Zhemaletdinov
R. Zhemaletdinov
5 goals

Lokomotiv Moskva missing players

Ufa missing players

Lokomotiv Moskva Ufa
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
17 8 3 Played P 1 8 17
6 4 1 Won W 0 1 3
7 1 0 Drew D 0 3 7
4 3 2 Lost L 1 4 7
22 12 4 Scored S 0 6 17
19 9 4 Conceded C 2 12 24
88% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 88% 94%
82% 88% 67% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 75% 76%
53% 62% 67% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 38% 35%
18% 12% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 25% 24%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 12%
76% 75% 67% BTTS BTTS 0% 50% 65%
18% 12% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 12% 12%
18% 12% 33% Failed to Score F T 100% 50% 29%
 
5.6 5.8 8.3 Corners for (avg) C F 9 3.2 3.9
5.9 6.4 5 Corners against (avg) C A 2 7.8 5.9
3.5 3.4 2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 4 2.1 2.9
6 2 1 Red cards R C 0 4 5
 
11.5 10.9 12 Shots (avg) S ( 11 9.4 11.5
3.9 4.4 4.3 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2 2.4 3.4
33% 34% 31% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 32% 29%
 
13.6 12.5 8.3 Shots against (avg) S A 18 19.1 15.2
4.1 3.9 3 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 8 5.9 4.8
Key stats in Premier League this season:
  • Lokomotiv Moskva have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Lokomotiv Moskva have the most points from losing position (12) in Premier League
  • Lokomotiv Moskva haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Ufa have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won away.
  • Ufa have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Ufa have the fewest scored goals in the first half (4) in Premier League
  • Ufa have won significantly less corners away then at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Zenit 17 11 4 2 43 19 9 7 1 1 28 11 8 4 3 1 15 8 24 37
2 Dinamo Moskva 17 11 2 4 32 19 9 6 1 2 18 7 8 5 1 2 14 12 13 35
3 Krasnodar 17 8 4 5 29 18 7 4 1 2 11 6 10 4 3 3 18 12 11 28
4 Sochi 17 9 1 7 27 21 8 5 0 3 17 9 9 4 1 4 10 12 6 28
5 CSKA Moskva 17 8 3 6 19 16 8 4 2 2 8 5 9 4 1 4 11 11 3 27
6 Lokomotiv Moskva 17 6 7 4 22 19 8 4 1 3 12 9 9 2 6 1 10 10 3 25
7 Krylya Sovetov 17 7 3 7 20 18 8 4 1 3 12 7 9 3 2 4 8 11 2 24
8 Akhmat Grozny 17 8 0 9 20 23 8 5 0 3 11 8 9 3 0 6 9 15 -3 24
9 Spartak Moskva 17 6 5 6 20 23 9 4 3 2 14 10 8 2 2 4 6 13 -3 23
10 Rubin Kazan 17 6 4 7 23 25 9 4 2 3 14 11 8 2 2 4 9 14 -2 22
11 Arsenal Tula 17 5 4 8 21 33 9 3 4 2 11 11 8 2 0 6 10 22 -12 19
12 Rostov 17 4 6 7 29 31 8 2 2 4 16 15 9 2 4 3 13 16 -2 18
13 Olimpiyets 17 5 3 9 18 30 9 2 1 6 9 16 8 3 2 3 9 14 -12 18
14 Ufa 17 3 7 7 17 24 9 2 4 3 11 12 8 1 3 4 6 12 -7 16
15 Ural 17 3 7 7 8 17 9 1 5 3 5 8 8 2 2 4 3 9 -9 16
16 Khimki 17 2 8 7 15 27 9 1 6 2 10 11 8 1 2 5 5 16 -12 14

Lokomotiv Moskva:

Read more about Premier League

The Premier League, or the Russian Football Championship, is the top level football league in Russia. It has 16 teams who play each other home and away for a total of 30 matches each. After this the top team in the league table is the champion, the bottom two relegated directly while two teams play a relegation playoff.