Premier League preview: Can Akhmat Grozny edge out victory against Rubin Kazan'?

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Competition: Russia Premier League
Date: Sat 30.November
Match begins: 16:00 (UTC)
Venue: Akhmat-Arena (30597 seats)

An important duel in the bottom section of the league table, with both teams experiencing more worry than joy. This match is a classic “six-pointer” with the home team placed 12th and the visitors in 14th place.

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

Rubin Kazan' have a very long trip to this away game, as there's more than 1800 kilometers in distance to cover. This could prove a challenge, at least for the supporters.

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Akhmat Grozny form and stats

Akhmat Grozny have collected 11 points from their Premier League home games so far after 2-5-2. Akhmat Grozny are slowly digging their own grave here at Akhmat-Arena with the depressing streak of not having won a home game in seven attempts. The last victory here came in the Orenburg match.

The points were shared in Akhmat Grozny's previous game, also at home. Visiting Rubin Kazan' (placed 14th) travelled back with a point after a 1-1 scoreline. In the preceding match a 2-1 victory visiting Orenburg.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Akhmat Grozny have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found six games) they have won 1 time, drawn 5 and lost 0.

The goals haven't exactly been flowing for Akhmat Grozny here at Akhmat-Arena in the league, with less than one goal per game on average (8 from 9 games). Akhmat Grozny have conceded 10 in these home matches.

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Rubin Kazan' form and stats

There's been little loot from Rubin Kazan''s travels as they have only collected 7 points from 9 away games in the Premier League. Rubin Kazan' only have 1 win to counter their 4 defeats and 4 draws. One point away has become something of a habit for Rubin Kazan' who have played out draws in their last three away games.

Rubin Kazan' are the visiting side once again, their previous game being the 1-1 draw at Akhmat Grozny (placed 12th). Preceding that, the 1-2 home loss versus Zenit.

6 saves made goalkeeper Yuri Dyupin a hero against Akhmat Grozny, contributing heavy to the point gained.

We have checked recent matches where Rubin Kazan' have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those six games were W1-D1-L4.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting Rubin Kazan' as they have only managed to score 5 times from 9 away games in the league. Rubin Kazan' have conceded 12 goals in these away matches.

Head 2 Head

Akhmat Grozny and Rubin Kazan' have met before this season: Akhmat Grozny - Rubin Kazan' 1-1. Head-to-head totals (for the last ten meetings): Akhmat Grozny won 5 games, 2 matches ended with a draw and Rubin Kazan' has 3 wins. Over 2,5 goals / under 2,5 goals: 3 / 7

Top Goalscorers

Rubin Kazan'E. Sorokin
E. Sorokin
6 goals
Akhmat GroznyO. Ivanov
O. Ivanov
5 goals
Akhmat GroznyA. Mbengue
A. Mbengue
5 goals

Akhmat Grozny missing players

Rubin Kazan' missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Akhmat Grozny Rubin Kazan'
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
18 9 3 Played P 1 9 18
4 2 0 Won W 0 1 4
7 5 3 Drew D 1 4 6
7 2 0 Lost L 0 4 8
13 8 3 Scored S 0 5 10
23 10 3 Conceded C 0 12 20
89% 89% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 0% 78% 78%
72% 78% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 0% 56% 44%
33% 22% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 33% 33%
6% 11% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 11% 6%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 11% 6%
50% 67% 100% BTTS BTTS 0% 44% 33%
22% 22% 0% Clean Sheets C S 100% 33% 39%
39% 22% 0% Failed to Score F T 100% 44% 50%
 
4.9 5.2 7.3 Corners For (avg) C F 3 4.2 3.9
4.9 4.1 2.3 Corners Against (avg) C A 5 5.2 4.6
2.7 2.9 2.7 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 4 3 3.1
4 2 1 Red Cards R C 0 1 2
 
225 125 55 Total Shots T S 12 100 223
72 37 14 Shots on Target S O 4 30 68
18% 22% 21% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 17% 15%
Key stats in Premier League this season:
  • Akhmat Grozny has the fewest scored goals in the second half (5)
  • Rubin Kazan' has the fewest scored goals (10)
  • Rubin Kazan' has the fewest scored goals in the first half (3)
  • Rubin Kazan' have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.

Akhmat Grozny
All Russian Cup Premier League Club Friendlies
All Home Away Home vs low
30-10-19 RC Akhmat Grozny 5 - 1 Luch Vladivostok
02-11-19 PL Dinamo Moskva 1 - 1 Akhmat Grozny
08-11-19 PL Akhmat Grozny 0 - 0 Ural
23-11-19 PL Orenburg 1 - 2 Akhmat Grozny
30-11-19 PL Akhmat Grozny 1 - 1 Rubin Kazan'
07-12-19 PL Akhmat Grozny 17:00 Ufa
01-03-20 PL Akhmat Grozny 01:00 Rostov
04-03-20 RC Akhmat Grozny 01:00 Zenit
08-03-20 PL Lokomotiv Moskva 01:00 Akhmat Grozny
15-03-20 PL Akhmat Grozny 01:00 Dinamo Moskva
Rubin Kazan'
All Russian Cup Premier League Club Friendlies
All Home Away Away vs low
25-10-19 PL Rubin Kazan' 0 - 0 Ural
04-11-19 PL Krylya Sovetov 0 - 0 Rubin Kazan'
09-11-19 PL Rubin Kazan' 0 - 1 Dinamo Moskva
23-11-19 PL Rubin Kazan' 1 - 2 Zenit
30-11-19 PL Akhmat Grozny 1 - 1 Rubin Kazan'
08-12-19 PL Sochi 14:30 Rubin Kazan'
01-03-20 PL Tambov 01:00 Rubin Kazan'
08-03-20 PL Rubin Kazan' 01:00 Krylya Sovetov
15-03-20 PL Arsenal Tula 01:00 Rubin Kazan'
22-03-20 PL Ural 01:00 Rubin Kazan'

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Zenit 17 12 3 2 33 9 7 4 3 0 18 5 10 8 0 2 15 4 24 39
2 Lokomotiv Moskva 17 10 4 3 27 18 8 4 2 2 12 9 9 6 2 1 15 9 9 34
3 Krasnodar 17 9 6 2 32 19 8 5 3 0 16 7 9 4 3 2 16 12 13 33
4 CSKA Moskva 17 10 3 4 25 16 8 5 1 2 11 7 9 5 2 2 14 9 9 33
5 Rostov 18 9 4 5 30 27 9 6 2 1 15 7 9 3 2 4 15 20 3 31
6 Spartak Moskva 17 6 4 7 18 16 9 3 2 4 7 7 8 3 2 3 11 9 2 22
7 Ufa 18 5 7 6 15 17 10 4 3 3 12 10 8 1 4 3 3 7 -2 22
8 Dinamo Moskva 17 5 6 6 14 17 9 2 3 4 9 11 8 3 3 2 5 6 -3 21
9 Ural 18 5 6 7 21 29 10 3 2 5 16 20 8 2 4 2 5 9 -8 21
10 Orenburg 17 5 4 8 21 24 9 2 3 4 10 12 8 3 1 4 11 12 -3 19
11 Arsenal Tula 17 5 4 8 18 23 9 2 3 4 10 12 8 3 1 4 8 11 -5 19
12 Akhmat Grozny 18 4 7 7 13 23 9 2 5 2 8 10 9 2 2 5 5 13 -10 19
13 Krylya Sovetov 18 5 3 10 18 22 9 2 2 5 8 10 9 3 1 5 10 12 -4 18
14 Rubin Kazan' 18 4 6 8 10 20 9 3 2 4 5 8 9 1 4 4 5 12 -10 18
15 Tambov 17 5 2 10 20 26 9 3 0 6 10 13 8 2 2 4 10 13 -6 17
16 Sochi 17 3 5 9 15 24 7 1 1 5 5 10 10 2 4 4 10 14 -9 14

Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Zenit 17 12 3 2 33 9 7 4 3 0 18 5 10 8 0 2 15 4 24 39
2 Lokomotiv Moskva 17 10 4 3 27 18 8 4 2 2 12 9 9 6 2 1 15 9 9 34
3 Krasnodar 17 9 6 2 32 19 8 5 3 0 16 7 9 4 3 2 16 12 13 33
4 CSKA Moskva 17 10 3 4 25 16 8 5 1 2 11 7 9 5 2 2 14 9 9 33
5 Rostov 18 9 4 5 30 27 9 6 2 1 15 7 9 3 2 4 15 20 3 31
6 Spartak Moskva 17 6 4 7 18 16 9 3 2 4 7 7 8 3 2 3 11 9 2 22
7 Ufa 18 5 7 6 15 17 10 4 3 3 12 10 8 1 4 3 3 7 -2 22
8 Dinamo Moskva 17 5 6 6 14 17 9 2 3 4 9 11 8 3 3 2 5 6 -3 21
9 Ural 18 5 6 7 21 29 10 3 2 5 16 20 8 2 4 2 5 9 -8 21
10 Orenburg 17 5 4 8 21 24 9 2 3 4 10 12 8 3 1 4 11 12 -3 19
11 Arsenal Tula 17 5 4 8 18 23 9 2 3 4 10 12 8 3 1 4 8 11 -5 19
12 Akhmat Grozny 18 4 7 7 13 23 9 2 5 2 8 10 9 2 2 5 5 13 -10 19
13 Krylya Sovetov 18 5 3 10 18 22 9 2 2 5 8 10 9 3 1 5 10 12 -4 18
14 Rubin Kazan' 18 4 6 8 10 20 9 3 2 4 5 8 9 1 4 4 5 12 -10 18
15 Tambov 17 5 2 10 20 26 9 3 0 6 10 13 8 2 2 4 10 13 -6 17
16 Sochi 17 3 5 9 15 24 7 1 1 5 5 10 10 2 4 4 10 14 -9 14

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The Premier League, or the Russian Football Championship, is the top level football league in Russia. It has 16 teams who play each other home and away for a total of 30 matches each. After this the top team in the league table is the champion, the bottom two relegated directly while two teams play a relegation playoff.