FNL prediction and preview: Rotor Volgograd modest favorites to beat Shinnik

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Competition: Russia FNL
Date: Sun 18.August
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: Volgograd Arena (45568 seats)

Both teams are enjoying a good season so far and games like this could be decisive. Here's the preview for Rotor Volgograd - Shinnik!

It's no vacation for neither Rotor Volgograd nor Shinnik as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

Everyone involved with the away team has to get their travel gear ready for this match as there's a whopping 1200 kilometers to cover before arriving at the match.

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Rotor Volgograd form and stats

Rotor Volgograd have collected 4 points from their home games so far after 1-1-1.

The Rotor Volgograd crowd went home unhappy last time out, seeing their beloved players lose 2-3 to Shinnik here at Volgograd Arena in a FNL match. In the preceding match a 2-1 victory visiting Neftekhimik.

The hosts are favourites to win this game, with an estimated chance of about 55-60% of that outcome. Earlier Rotor Volgograd matches with similar probabilities have ended with 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat (from three games).

With an average of more than two goals per home game (6 in 3 games), Rotor Volgograd's attacking play is working. Rotor Volgograd have conceded 6 goals in these home games, a significant number.

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Shinnik form and stats

As the visiting team Shinnik have produced an overall stat of 3-1-1 so far.

Shinnik play their second away game in a row, but can be confident going into this one after the 3-2 victory visiting Rotor Volgograd. Preceding that match was the 0-0 draw at home vs Yenisey.

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Shinnik playing away, we found two games. Results were 1 away win, 0 draws and 1 home win.

Shinnik have scored more than twice per away game on average, an impressive attacking display. They have 10 goals from 5 away matches. As opposed to that, Shinnik have seen the ball go into their own net 7 times on the road.

Head 2 Head

These teams' last encounter with each other was the Rotor Volgograd - Shinnik 2-3 earlier this season. Last ten meetings between the teams: Rotor Volgograd won 1, Shinnik won 5 and 4 draws. 5 games with over 2,5 goals, 5 matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

K. Mullin
7 goals
I. Geloyan
7 goals

Rotor Volgograd missing players

Shinnik missing players

Rotor Volgograd Shinnik
Total Home Home vs top Statistic Away vs top Away Total
9 3 1 Played 0 5 9
6 1 0 Won 0 3 4
1 1 1 Drew 0 1 3
2 1 0 Lost 0 1 2
16 6 1 Scored 0 10 13
8 6 1 Conceded 0 7 11
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 0% 100% 89%
67% 100% 100% Over 1.5 0% 100% 78%
56% 67% 0% Over 2.5 0% 80% 56%
22% 67% 0% Over 3.5 0% 40% 33%
22% 67% 0% Over 4.5 0% 20% 11%
44% 100% 100% BTTS 0% 100% 78%
44% 0% 0% Clean Sheets 0% 0% 22%
11% 0% 0% Failed To Score 0% 0% 11%
 
6.9 8.3 8 Corners For (avg) 0 4.6 4
3.3 2 2 Corners Against (avg) 0 6.4 4.9
2.4 1.7 3 Yellow Cards (avg) 0 3 2.6
1 0 0 Red Cards 0 0 3
Key stats this season:
  • All of Rotor Volgograd's home matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • All of Shinnik's away matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Rotor Volgograd have won at least twice as many corners as they have conceded.
  • Rotor Volgograd have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Rotor Volgograd haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Shinnik have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their away matches.
  • Shinnik have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Shinnik have scored in all their away matches so far.
  • Shinnik haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

Rotor Volgograd
All FNL Russian Cup Club Friendlies FNL Cup
All Home Away
28-07-19 FNL Rotor Volgograd 1 - 1 Khimki
03-08-19 FNL Krasnodar II 0 - 1 Rotor Volgograd
10-08-19 FNL Tom' Tomsk 0 - 1 Rotor Volgograd
14-08-19 FNL Neftekhimik 1 - 2 Rotor Volgograd
18-08-19 FNL Rotor Volgograd 2 - 3 Shinnik
21-08-19 RC Spartak Vladikavkaz 00:00 Rotor Volgograd
26-08-19 FNL Spartak Moskva II - Rotor Volgograd
31-08-19 FNL Rotor Volgograd - Torpedo Moskva
07-09-19 FNL Chayka - Rotor Volgograd
14-09-19 FNL Rotor Volgograd - Fakel
Shinnik
All FNL Russian Cup Club Friendlies FNL Cup
All Home Away
28-07-19 FNL Luch Vladivostok 2 - 1 Shinnik
03-08-19 FNL Shinnik 1 - 3 Avangard Kursk
10-08-19 FNL Tekstilshchik 1 - 1 Shinnik
14-08-19 FNL Shinnik 0 - 0 Yenisey
18-08-19 FNL Rotor Volgograd 2 - 3 Shinnik
21-08-19 RC Shinnik 15:30 Tekstilshchik
25-08-19 FNL Shinnik 14:00 Khimki
31-08-19 FNL Krasnodar II - Shinnik
07-09-19 FNL Shinnik 12:00 Tom' Tomsk
14-09-19 FNL Neftekhimik - Shinnik

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A D P
1 Torpedo Moskva 9 7 1 1 16 7 5 4 1 0 12 5 4 3 0 1 4 2 9 22
2 Khimki 9 6 3 0 23 6 4 4 0 0 13 2 5 2 3 0 10 4 17 21
3 Rotor Volgograd 9 6 1 2 16 8 3 1 1 1 6 6 6 5 0 1 10 2 8 19
4 Tom' Tomsk 9 5 3 1 10 3 6 3 2 1 6 2 3 2 1 0 4 1 7 18
5 Chertanovo 9 5 3 1 10 6 4 2 1 1 4 3 5 3 2 0 6 3 4 18
6 Shinnik 9 4 3 2 13 11 4 1 2 1 3 4 5 3 1 1 10 7 2 15
7 Spartak Moskva II 8 3 3 2 13 10 3 1 1 1 5 4 5 2 2 1 8 6 3 12
8 SKA Khabarovsk 9 3 3 3 10 8 6 2 1 3 5 5 3 1 2 0 5 3 2 12
9 Luch Vladivostok 9 3 3 3 14 15 7 2 2 3 11 13 2 1 1 0 3 2 -1 12
10 Armavir 9 3 3 3 10 11 5 2 2 1 6 6 4 1 1 2 4 5 -1 12
11 Baltika 9 3 1 5 9 11 4 1 0 3 3 5 5 2 1 2 6 6 -2 10
12 Neftekhimik 9 2 3 4 11 12 4 0 2 2 4 6 5 2 1 2 7 6 -1 9
13 Olimpiyets 9 2 3 4 8 13 5 2 1 2 6 8 4 0 2 2 2 5 -5 9
14 Avangard Kursk 9 2 3 4 9 16 5 1 3 1 5 7 4 1 0 3 4 9 -7 9
15 Chayka 9 1 5 3 4 7 3 0 1 2 0 3 6 1 4 1 4 4 -3 8
16 Mordovia Saransk 9 2 2 5 8 13 5 1 1 3 3 7 4 1 1 2 5 6 -5 8
17 Krasnodar II 9 2 2 5 7 12 4 0 1 3 2 5 5 2 1 2 5 7 -5 8
18 Tekstilshchik 9 2 2 5 11 17 3 0 1 2 2 6 6 2 1 3 9 11 -6 8
19 Yenisey 8 1 3 4 4 12 3 0 1 2 2 6 5 1 2 2 2 6 -8 6
20 Fakel 9 1 2 6 4 12 6 1 2 3 3 6 3 0 0 3 1 6 -8 5

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