FNL match prediction: Little separates Luch Vladivostok and SKA Khabarovsk in quality

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Competition: Russia FNL
Date: Sat 31.August
Match begins: 07:00 (UTC)
Venue: Stadion Dinamo (10500 seats)

This could be an interesting match as Luch Vladivostok have their presumed home advantage while SKA Khabarovsk are ahead 5 points in the FNL table.

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Luch Vladivostok and SKA Khabarovsk.

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Luch Vladivostok form and stats

With 2 FNL wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from their home games, Luch Vladivostok, who have the most conceded goals (15) at home in FNL, are certainly not brimming with confidence.

The Luch Vladivostok crowd went home unhappy last time out, seeing their beloved players lose 0-2 to SKA Khabarovsk here at Stadion Dinamo in a FNL match. Before that, Luch Vladivostok played out a draw 0-0 when visiting Baltika.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Luch Vladivostok have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found 19 matches with the results: Won 7 Drawn 7 Lost 5.

The Luch Vladivostok fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 11 in 8 matches. With more than 1,5 conceded goals on average, the Luch Vladivostok defense is not exactly impregnable. 15 goals conceded from 8 games. You can find more goal stats on the Statistics tab above.

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SKA Khabarovsk form and stats

2-2-0 is the win-draw-loss statistic for SKA Khabarovsk in their FNL matches away.

SKA Khabarovsk play their second away game in a row, but can be confident going into this one after the 2-0 victory visiting Luch Vladivostok. Prior to that match, a home win 3-0 against Armavir.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with SKA Khabarovsk playing away and similar expectations, we found six relevant matches. Results were 3 SKA Khabarovsk wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats.

SKA Khabarovsk are not goal shy away from home in the league, finding the net 7 times in 4 away games so far. They concede less than a goal on average per away game (3 so far).

Head 2 Head

The teams have played each other before this season, with the result Luch Vladivostok - SKA Khabarovsk 0-2 entered in the official records. Luch Vladivostok-SKA Khabarovsk H2H statistics last five meetings regardless of arena: Luch Vladivostok 1 win, SKA Khabarovsk 3 wins, 1 draw. 1 of these five matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

Luch Vladivostok missing players

SKA Khabarovsk missing players

Luch Vladivostok SKA Khabarovsk
Total Home Home vs top Statistic Away vs mid Away Total
11 8 3 Played 3 4 11
3 2 0 Won 1 2 5
4 2 1 Drew 2 2 3
4 4 2 Lost 0 0 3
14 11 3 Scored 5 7 15
17 15 7 Conceded 3 3 8
91% 100% 100% Over 0.5 100% 100% 91%
82% 88% 67% Over 1.5 100% 100% 73%
45% 50% 33% Over 2.5 33% 25% 36%
18% 25% 33% Over 3.5 33% 25% 9%
18% 25% 33% Over 4.5 0% 0% 0%
64% 62% 67% BTTS 67% 50% 36%
18% 12% 0% Clean Sheets 33% 50% 55%
27% 25% 33% Failed To Score 0% 0% 18%
 
4.6 5 6 Corners For (avg) 2 2 3.8
4.5 4.8 5.7 Corners Against (avg) 8.3 8 5.9
2.7 2.6 2.3 Yellow Cards (avg) 4.3 4 3.2
3 3 0 Red Cards 2 3 4
Key stats this season:
  • All of SKA Khabarovsk's away matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Luch Vladivostok have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Luch Vladivostok haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • SKA Khabarovsk have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won away.
  • SKA Khabarovsk have not yet lost a game away.
  • SKA Khabarovsk have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded away.
  • SKA Khabarovsk have scored in all their away matches so far.
  • SKA Khabarovsk have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • SKA Khabarovsk haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

Luch Vladivostok
14-08-19 FNL Luch Vladivostok 1 - 1 Chayka
18-08-19 FNL Luch Vladivostok 3 - 0 Fakel
21-08-19 RC Chita 0 - 1 Luch Vladivostok
25-08-19 FNL Baltika 0 - 0 Luch Vladivostok
31-08-19 FNL Luch Vladivostok 0 - 2 SKA Khabarovsk
07-09-19 FNL Mordovia Saransk 14:00 Luch Vladivostok
14-09-19 FNL Luch Vladivostok 07:00 Olimpiyets
21-09-19 FNL Armavir - Luch Vladivostok
29-09-19 FNL Luch Vladivostok - Chertanovo
05-10-19 FNL Luch Vladivostok - Avangard Kursk
SKA Khabarovsk
10-08-19 FNL SKA Khabarovsk 0 - 0 Chertanovo
14-08-19 FNL SKA Khabarovsk 1 - 2 Mordovia Saransk
18-08-19 FNL Olimpiyets 1 - 1 SKA Khabarovsk
25-08-19 FNL SKA Khabarovsk 3 - 0 Armavir
31-08-19 FNL Luch Vladivostok 0 - 2 SKA Khabarovsk
03-09-19 RC Sakhalin 08:00 SKA Khabarovsk
07-09-19 FNL SKA Khabarovsk 05:00 Avangard Kursk
14-09-19 FNL Tekstilshchik - SKA Khabarovsk
21-09-19 FNL SKA Khabarovsk - Yenisey
29-09-19 FNL Rotor Volgograd - SKA Khabarovsk

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A D P
1 Torpedo Moskva 11 9 1 1 20 7 6 5 1 0 14 5 5 4 0 1 6 2 13 28
2 Khimki 11 8 3 0 25 6 5 5 0 0 14 2 6 3 3 0 11 4 19 27
3 Rotor Volgograd 11 7 1 3 17 10 4 1 1 2 6 8 7 6 0 1 11 2 7 22
4 Chertanovo 11 5 5 1 11 7 5 2 2 1 5 4 6 3 3 0 6 3 4 20
5 Tom' Tomsk 11 5 4 2 11 5 7 3 2 2 6 3 4 2 2 0 5 2 6 19
6 SKA Khabarovsk 11 5 3 3 15 8 7 3 1 3 8 5 4 2 2 0 7 3 7 18
7 Shinnik 11 4 4 3 15 14 5 1 2 2 3 5 6 3 2 1 12 9 1 16
8 Spartak Moskva II 11 4 3 4 15 12 5 2 1 2 7 5 6 2 2 2 8 7 3 15
9 Neftekhimik 11 4 3 4 13 12 5 1 2 2 5 6 6 3 1 2 8 6 1 15
10 Chayka 11 3 5 3 10 8 4 1 1 2 3 3 7 2 4 1 7 5 2 14
11 Luch Vladivostok 11 3 4 4 14 17 8 2 2 4 11 15 3 1 2 0 3 2 -3 13
12 Armavir 11 3 4 4 10 14 6 2 3 1 6 6 5 1 1 3 4 8 -4 13
13 Olimpiyets 11 3 4 4 9 13 6 2 2 2 6 8 5 1 2 2 3 5 -4 13
14 Baltika 11 3 3 5 9 11 5 1 1 3 3 5 6 2 2 2 6 6 -2 12
15 Avangard Kursk 11 2 5 4 9 16 6 1 4 1 5 7 5 1 1 3 4 9 -7 11
16 Fakel 11 2 3 6 8 13 7 1 3 3 3 6 4 1 0 3 5 7 -5 9
17 Krasnodar II 11 2 3 6 9 15 5 0 2 3 4 7 6 2 1 3 5 8 -6 9
18 Mordovia Saransk 11 2 3 6 8 14 6 1 1 4 3 8 5 1 2 2 5 6 -6 9
19 Tekstilshchik 11 2 2 7 12 24 4 0 1 3 3 10 7 2 1 4 9 14 -12 8
20 Yenisey 11 1 3 7 5 19 4 0 1 3 3 9 7 1 2 4 2 10 -14 6