FNL match prediction: Little separates Fakel and Mordovia Saransk in quality

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Competition: Russia FNL
Date: Sat 03.August
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov (31793 seats)

With their 0 point advantage in the league table, Fakel fans are hoping to see their team collect maximum points from this game against Mordovia Saransk.

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Fakel and Mordovia Saransk.

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Fakel form and stats

Fakel have collected 5 points from their home games so far after 1-2-2.

Fakel's last game was hosting Mordovia Saransk and winning 2-1. Heartbreak before that as Fakel lost 0-1 at SKA Khabarovsk's place.

This is expected to be a close game, with Fakel perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Fakel as a small favourite), we find 14 games. Fakel has won 4 of these, drawn 7 and lost 3.

The goals haven't exactly been flowing for Fakel here at Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov, with less than one goal per game on average (3 from 5 games). Fakel are not conceding a lot of goals here at Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov, averaging less than one per game. The total is 4 from 5 matches.

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Mordovia Saransk form and stats

The season is young and Mordovia Saransk have only just started going through their travel schedule, with 3 away games done and still no victory. 1 draw and 2 defeats so far.

It might be tough going out on the road again for Mordovia Saransk, facing their second straight away game. Especially as the previous game, ended with a defeat 1-2 versus Fakel. A 0-0 draw was the result before that, hosting Chayka.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Mordovia Saransk playing away and similar expectations, we found five relevant matches. Results were 2 Mordovia Saransk wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats.

Mordovia Saransk are scoring more than one goal per away game on average, having accumulated 3 away goals from 3 games. In the opposite end, Mordovia Saransk have conceded 5 goals in their away games.

Head 2 Head

The two sides played each other earlier this season: Fakel - Mordovia Saransk 2-1. Head-to-head totals (for the last three meetings): Fakel won 1 game, 1 match ended with a draw and Mordovia Saransk has 1 win. Over 2,5 goals / under 2,5 goals: 2 / 1

Top Goalscorers

I. Lebedenko
14 goals
Ruslan Mukhametshin
7 goals

Fakel missing players

Mordovia Saransk missing players

Fakel Mordovia Saransk
Total Home Home vs low Statistic Away vs mid Away Total
6 5 1 Played 2 3 6
1 1 0 Won 0 0 1
2 2 0 Drew 1 1 2
3 2 1 Lost 1 2 3
3 3 1 Scored 2 3 4
5 4 2 Conceded 3 5 6
67% 60% 100% Over 0.5 100% 100% 83%
33% 40% 100% Over 1.5 50% 67% 33%
33% 40% 100% Over 2.5 50% 67% 33%
0% 0% 0% Over 3.5 50% 33% 17%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 0% 0% 0%
33% 40% 100% BTTS 50% 67% 33%
33% 40% 0% Clean Sheets 0% 0% 33%
67% 60% 0% Failed To Score 50% 33% 50%
 
5.3 6 7 Corners For (avg) 5.5 4.7 4.2
4.3 4 1 Corners Against (avg) 8.5 7.7 6.7
2.2 2.2 2 Yellow Cards (avg) 1.5 2 2.7
0 0 0 Red Cards 0 0 0
Key stats this season:
  • Fakel have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Mordovia Saransk have yet to win a game away.

Fakel
13-07-19 FNL Fakel 0 - 0 Chayka
20-07-19 FNL Fakel 0 - 0 Chertanovo
24-07-19 FNL Fakel 1 - 2 Baltika
28-07-19 FNL SKA Khabarovsk 1 - 0 Fakel
03-08-19 FNL Fakel 2 - 1 Mordovia Saransk
10-08-19 FNL Olimpiyets 14:00 Fakel
14-08-19 FNL Fakel - Armavir
18-08-19 FNL Luch Vladivostok - Fakel
25-08-19 FNL Fakel - Avangard Kursk
31-08-19 FNL Tekstilshchik - Fakel
Mordovia Saransk
13-07-19 FNL Shinnik 1 - 0 Mordovia Saransk
20-07-19 FNL Mordovia Saransk 1 - 0 Spartak Moskva II
24-07-19 FNL Torpedo Moskva 2 - 2 Mordovia Saransk
28-07-19 FNL Mordovia Saransk 0 - 0 Chayka
03-08-19 FNL Fakel 2 - 1 Mordovia Saransk
10-08-19 FNL Mordovia Saransk 14:00 Baltika
14-08-19 FNL SKA Khabarovsk - Mordovia Saransk
18-08-19 FNL Mordovia Saransk - Chertanovo
25-08-19 FNL Mordovia Saransk - Olimpiyets
31-08-19 FNL Armavir - Mordovia Saransk

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A D P
1 Khimki 6 4 2 0 17 4 2 2 0 0 7 0 4 2 2 0 10 4 13 14
2 Tom' Tomsk 6 4 2 0 9 2 4 3 1 0 6 1 2 1 1 0 3 1 7 14
3 Chertanovo 6 4 2 0 6 2 3 2 1 0 3 1 3 2 1 0 3 1 4 14
4 Rotor Volgograd 6 4 1 1 11 4 2 1 1 0 4 3 4 3 0 1 7 1 7 13
5 Spartak Moskva II 6 3 2 1 10 6 2 1 1 0 4 2 4 2 1 1 6 4 4 11
6 SKA Khabarovsk 6 3 1 2 8 5 4 2 0 2 4 3 2 1 1 0 4 2 3 10
7 Torpedo Moskva 5 3 1 1 7 4 2 1 1 0 4 2 3 2 0 1 3 2 3 10
8 Shinnik 6 3 1 2 9 8 3 1 1 1 3 4 3 2 0 1 6 4 1 10
9 Neftekhimik 6 2 2 2 6 5 3 0 2 1 3 4 3 2 0 1 3 1 1 8
10 Luch Vladivostok 6 2 2 2 10 13 4 1 1 2 7 11 2 1 1 0 3 2 -3 8
11 Avangard Kursk 6 2 1 3 5 10 3 1 1 1 2 4 3 1 0 2 3 6 -5 7
12 Chayka 6 1 3 2 1 3 3 0 1 2 0 3 3 1 2 0 1 0 -2 6
13 Fakel 6 1 2 3 3 5 5 1 2 2 3 4 1 0 0 1 0 1 -2 5
14 Krasnodar II 6 1 2 3 5 7 3 0 1 2 2 4 3 1 1 1 3 3 -2 5
15 Mordovia Saransk 6 1 2 3 4 6 3 1 1 1 1 1 3 0 1 2 3 5 -2 5
16 Armavir 5 1 2 2 4 7 3 1 1 1 3 4 2 0 1 1 1 3 -3 5
17 Olimpiyets 6 1 2 3 4 9 3 1 0 2 3 6 3 0 2 1 1 3 -5 5
18 Tekstilshchik 6 1 1 4 7 12 2 0 0 2 1 5 4 1 1 2 6 7 -5 4
19 Yenisey 6 1 1 4 2 10 2 0 0 2 0 4 4 1 1 2 2 6 -8 4
20 Baltika 6 1 0 5 3 9 3 0 0 3 1 4 3 1 0 2 2 5 -6 3