FNL match prediction and preview for Baltika vs Tom' Tomsk clash

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Competition: Russia FNL
Competition: Sun 11.April
Match begins: 16:00 (UTC)
Venue: Stadion Baltika (14660 seats)

Only a win will satisfy the Baltika supporters in this Stadion Baltika clash with Tom' Tomsk, having a healthy lead on the opposition in the FNL table.

Insights:
  • Tom' Tomsk have the fewest scored goals in the first half (9) in FNL

It's no vacation for neither Baltika nor Tom' Tomsk as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

Everyone involved with the away team has to get their travel gear ready for this match as there's a whopping 4900 kilometers to cover before arriving at the match.

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Baltika form and stats

The story so far in the FNL for Baltika at their home stadium (Stadion Baltika) is 8 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats. Baltika are very eager to stop a potential losing streak at Stadion Baltika, having lost their two previous games here.

A strong away win for Baltika against Chertanovo the last match, as I. Yurganov and Allef were on target. Preceding that match was the home game against Olimpiyets that was lost 1-2.

The hosts are favourites to win this game, with an estimated chance of about 55-60% of that outcome. Earlier Baltika matches with similar probabilities have ended with three wins, zero draws and zero defeats (from three games).

Baltika are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 17 goals in 16 games. Baltika are not conceding a lot of goals here at Stadion Baltika in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 12 from 16 matches.

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Tom' Tomsk form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Tom' Tomsk so far with only 17 points returning home. The records show 4-5-9 (win-draw-lose).

Tom' Tomsk's last game ended in a draw, the home match versus Krasnodar II that finished 1-1. Ahead of that match was the away draw versus Akron that ended 0-0.

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Tom' Tomsk playing away, we found three games. Results were zero away wins, one draw and two home wins.

The visitors have scored 12 goals from 18 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. 21 goals have been conceded by Tom' Tomsk in these games.

Head 2 Head

The last H2H meeting was Tom' Tomsk - Baltika 0-1, played this season. Baltika-Tom' Tomsk H2H statistics last eight meetings regardless of arena: Baltika five wins, Tom' Tomsk one win, two draws. two of these eight matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

BaltikaY. Kazaev
Y. Kazaev
6 goals
BaltikaA. de Andrade Rodrigues
A. de Andrade Rodrigues
6 goals
BaltikaM. Markin
M. Markin
5 goals

Baltika missing players

Tom' Tomsk missing players

Baltika Tom' Tomsk
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
35 16 6 Played P 5 18 35
18 8 5 Won W 1 4 7
7 2 0 Drew D 0 5 8
10 6 1 Lost L 4 9 20
40 17 10 Scored S 3 12 25
30 12 4 Conceded C 8 21 46
86% 88% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 83% 89%
54% 50% 67% Over 1.5 O 1.5 60% 56% 63%
37% 31% 33% Over 2.5 O 2.5 20% 22% 34%
17% 6% 17% Over 3.5 O 3.5 20% 11% 11%
6% 6% 17% Over 4.5 O 4.5 20% 11% 6%
37% 31% 33% BTTS BTTS 20% 33% 40%
51% 56% 67% Clean Sheets C S 0% 22% 20%
26% 25% 0% Failed to Score F T 80% 61% 51%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
3.2 3.2 2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3.4 3.2 2.9
7 4 1 Red cards R C 0 2 7
 
10.4 12.3 14.3 Shots (avg) S ( 5.8 7.3 7.3
3.9 4.9 6.2 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2 2.4 2.4
29% 22% 27% Goal Efficiency G E 30% 28% 30%
Key stats in FNL this season:
  • Tom' Tomsk have the fewest scored goals in the first half (9) in FNL

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Krylya Sovetov 34 25 4 5 76 21 18 16 1 1 50 6 16 9 3 4 26 15 55 79
2 Olimpiyets 35 23 6 6 54 22 18 13 2 3 31 10 17 10 4 3 23 12 32 75
3 Orenburg 35 21 10 4 57 25 17 10 5 2 30 13 18 11 5 2 27 12 32 73
4 Spartak Vladikavkaz 35 18 9 8 65 34 18 11 4 3 41 19 17 7 5 5 24 15 31 63
5 Torpedo Moskva 35 19 6 10 58 31 18 10 3 5 30 14 17 9 3 5 28 17 27 63
6 Baltika 35 18 7 10 40 30 16 8 2 6 17 12 19 10 5 4 23 18 10 61
7 Neftekhimik 35 16 8 11 51 35 16 8 5 3 30 10 19 8 3 8 21 25 16 56
8 Veles 35 15 10 10 46 39 19 8 7 4 30 22 16 7 3 6 16 17 7 55
9 Volgar Astrakhan 35 14 9 12 44 37 18 10 6 2 27 15 17 4 3 10 17 22 7 51
10 Fakel 35 13 11 11 45 34 18 7 8 3 24 12 17 6 3 8 21 22 11 50
11 SKA Khabarovsk 35 14 8 13 41 39 17 9 5 3 20 11 18 5 3 10 21 28 2 50
12 Yenisey 35 15 5 15 41 46 17 9 0 8 25 21 18 6 5 7 16 25 -5 50
13 Chayka 35 12 10 13 39 45 17 6 2 9 18 25 18 6 8 4 21 20 -6 46
14 Tekstilshchik 35 11 10 14 28 41 19 6 7 6 13 19 16 5 3 8 15 22 -13 43
15 Spartak Moskva II 34 11 7 16 36 52 16 3 5 8 14 25 18 8 2 8 22 27 -16 40
16 Krasnodar II 35 9 11 15 40 55 17 7 5 5 29 23 18 2 6 10 11 32 -15 38
17 Akron 35 9 10 16 27 43 17 5 6 6 16 18 18 4 4 10 11 25 -16 37
18 Irtysh 35 9 8 18 29 46 18 5 3 10 11 25 17 4 5 8 18 21 -17 35
19 Tom' Tomsk 35 7 8 20 25 46 17 3 3 11 13 25 18 4 5 9 12 21 -21 29
20 Chertanovo 35 7 4 24 25 60 17 3 3 11 11 22 18 4 1 13 14 38 -35 25
21 Dinamo Bryansk 35 8 4 23 18 57 18 5 1 12 11 28 17 3 3 11 7 29 -39 25
22 Shinnik 35 4 7 24 33 80 18 3 3 12 18 34 17 1 4 12 15 46 -47 19

Read more about FNL

The Russian Football National League (FNL) is the second highest level of football in Russia. It was founded in 1992 and with the current format it holds 20 teams, including the reserve teams of some of the biggest Russian clubs. After the final league table is decided the top two are promoted directly while third and fourth have promotion playoff fixtures. The bottom five clubs are relegated.