FNL match prediction: Little separates Baltika and Chertanovo in quality

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Competition: Russia FNL
Date: Sun 28.July
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: Stadion Kaliningrad (35212 seats)

After five games we know a little more about the qualities of Baltika and Chertanovo in this fresh FNL season. Read our match preview!

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

Everyone involved with the away team has to get their travel gear ready for this match as there's a whopping 1200 kilometers to cover before arriving at the match.

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Baltika form and stats

Three home games done for Baltika, who are not happy collecting 0 points from these matches. With Baltika having lost three times in a row here, the pressure is increasing on the manager E. Kaleshin.

Baltika's previous game was also a home match, the defeat 1-2 versus Chertanovo. Before that match, a win away at Fakel.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Baltika have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found ten matches with the results: Won 4 Drawn 1 Lost 5.

The lack of attacking qualities in Baltika means that they have only scored 1 goal in 3 home games, less than half a goal per match. Baltika's goalkeeper has had to pick the ball out of their own net 4 times. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

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Chertanovo form and stats

The seven points Chertanovo have gathered from their first three away trips is impressive and could lead to great things if the form continues.

Two travels in a row for Chertanovo, whose manager I. Osinkin could celebrate last time after the FNL win against Baltika. A home win before that, celebrating 1-0 vs Rotor Volgograd.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Chertanovo playing away and similar expectations, we found eight relevant matches. Results were 4 Chertanovo wins, 4 draws and 0 defeats.

Chertanovo find the net in their away games, although not all the time. 3 goals from 3 away fixtures. Chertanovo's manager I. Osinkin has created a great defensive setup working very nicely in away games with only 1 conceded goal. You can find more goal stats on the Statistics tab above.

Head 2 Head

The last H2H meeting was Baltika - Chertanovo 1-2, played this season. Head-to-head totals (for the last three meetings): Baltika won 1 game, 0 matches ended with a draw and Chertanovo has 2 wins. Over 2,5 goals / under 2,5 goals: 2 / 1

Top Goalscorers

V. Sarveli
12 goals

Baltika missing players

Chertanovo missing players

Baltika Chertanovo
Total Home Home vs top Statistic Away vs low Away Total
5 3 0 Played 1 3 5
1 0 0 Won 0 2 4
0 0 0 Drew 1 1 1
4 3 0 Lost 0 0 0
3 1 0 Scored 0 3 6
7 4 0 Conceded 0 1 2
100% 100% 0% Over 0.5 0% 67% 80%
60% 33% 0% Over 1.5 0% 33% 40%
40% 33% 0% Over 2.5 0% 33% 40%
0% 0% 0% Over 3.5 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 0% 0% 0%
40% 33% 0% BTTS 0% 33% 40%
0% 0% 0% Clean Sheets 100% 67% 60%
60% 67% 0% Failed To Score 100% 33% 20%
 
3.2 4.7 0 Corners For (avg) 8 6.7 4.4
4 2.3 0 Corners Against (avg) 7 4.3 4.4
1.8 2 0 Yellow Cards (avg) 3 3 3
0 0 0 Red Cards 0 0 1
Key stats this season:
  • Baltika have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Baltika have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their matches.
  • Baltika have lost all their home matches so far.
  • Baltika have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Baltika haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Chertanovo have not yet lost a game.
  • Chertanovo have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • Chertanovo have won significantly more corners away than at home.
Baltika Last season Chertanovo
Total Home   Statistic   Away Total
38 19   Played   19 38
10 8   Won   7 17
12 5   Drew   5 10
16 6   Lost   7 11
38 21   Scored   30 65
52 22   Conceded   30 53
95% 100%   Over 0.5   95% 97%
74% 79%   Over 1.5   95% 89%
37% 32%   Over 2.5   74% 66%
18% 11%   Over 3.5   37% 37%
11% 5%   Over 4.5   11% 11%
55% 53%   BTTS   84% 74%
26% 32%   Clean Sheets   11% 16%
24% 16%   Failed To Score   11% 13%
 
4.4 5.2   Corners For (avg)   3.6 4.1
4.8 4.7   Corners Against (avg)   5.1 5.2
2.4 2.4   Yellow Cards (avg)   2.6 1.9
5 2   Red Cards   1 2
Key stats last season:
  • Baltika haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Chertanovo have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

Baltika
07-07-19 FNL Baltika 0 - 1 Spartak Moskva II
13-07-19 FNL Torpedo Moskva 2 - 0 Baltika
20-07-19 FNL Baltika 0 - 1 Chayka
24-07-19 FNL Fakel 1 - 2 Baltika
28-07-19 FNL Baltika 1 - 2 Chertanovo
03-08-19 FNL SKA Khabarovsk 07:00 Baltika
10-08-19 FNL Mordovia Saransk - Baltika
14-08-19 FNL Baltika - Olimpiyets
18-08-19 FNL Armavir - Baltika
25-08-19 FNL Baltika - Luch Vladivostok
Chertanovo
07-07-19 FNL Chayka 0 - 1 Chertanovo
13-07-19 FNL Chertanovo 2 - 1 Yenisey
20-07-19 FNL Fakel 0 - 0 Chertanovo
24-07-19 FNL Chertanovo 1 - 0 Rotor Volgograd
28-07-19 FNL Baltika 1 - 2 Chertanovo
03-08-19 FNL Chertanovo 15:00 Khimki
10-08-19 FNL SKA Khabarovsk - Chertanovo
14-08-19 FNL Chertanovo - Krasnodar II
18-08-19 FNL Mordovia Saransk - Chertanovo
25-08-19 FNL Chertanovo - Tom' Tomsk

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A D P
1 Khimki 5 4 1 0 17 4 2 2 0 0 7 0 3 2 1 0 10 4 13 13
2 Tom' Tomsk 5 4 1 0 9 2 3 3 0 0 6 1 2 1 1 0 3 1 7 13
3 Chertanovo 5 4 1 0 6 2 2 2 0 0 3 1 3 2 1 0 3 1 4 13
4 Rotor Volgograd 5 3 1 1 10 4 2 1 1 0 4 3 3 2 0 1 6 1 6 10
5 Shinnik 5 3 1 1 8 5 2 1 1 0 2 1 3 2 0 1 6 4 3 10
6 Torpedo Moskva 5 3 1 1 7 4 2 1 1 0 4 2 3 2 0 1 3 2 3 10
7 Neftekhimik 5 2 2 1 5 3 2 0 2 0 2 2 3 2 0 1 3 1 2 8
8 Luch Vladivostok 5 2 2 1 8 9 3 1 1 1 5 7 2 1 1 0 3 2 -1 8
9 Spartak Moskva II 4 2 1 1 5 3 2 1 1 0 4 2 2 1 0 1 1 1 2 7
10 SKA Khabarovsk 5 2 1 2 6 5 3 1 0 2 2 3 2 1 1 0 4 2 1 7
11 Krasnodar II 5 1 2 2 5 6 2 0 1 1 2 3 3 1 1 1 3 3 -1 5
12 Mordovia Saransk 5 1 2 2 3 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 2 0 1 1 2 3 -1 5
13 Chayka 5 1 2 2 1 3 2 0 0 2 0 3 3 1 2 0 1 0 -2 5
14 Armavir 4 1 1 2 3 6 2 1 0 1 2 3 2 0 1 1 1 3 -3 4
15 Olimpiyets 5 1 1 3 4 9 3 1 0 2 3 6 2 0 1 1 1 3 -5 4
16 Avangard Kursk 5 1 1 3 2 9 3 1 1 1 2 4 2 0 0 2 0 5 -7 4
17 Baltika 5 1 0 4 3 7 3 0 0 3 1 4 2 1 0 1 2 3 -4 3
18 Yenisey 5 1 0 4 2 10 2 0 0 2 0 4 3 1 0 2 2 6 -8 3
19 Fakel 5 0 2 3 1 4 4 0 2 2 1 3 1 0 0 1 0 1 -3 2
20 Tekstilshchik 5 0 1 4 5 11 2 0 0 2 1 5 3 0 1 2 4 6 -6 1