Experts' prediction: Shamrock Rovers set to get maximum points from UCD visit

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Competition: Republic of Ireland Premier Division
Competition: Fri 12.May
Match begins: 18:45 (UTC)
Venue: UCD Bowl (3000 seats)

A short peek at the Premier Division standings imply an edge to Shamrock Rovers when they arrive at UCD. Yet; let's play the game before we hand out the points!

Insights:
  • UCD have the fewest scored goals (7) in Premier Division
  • Shamrock Rovers have the most scored goals (28) in Premier Division

There's local pride at stake here, as these teams are practically neighbours. Expect lots of passion from both players and supporters.

Both teams should be fairly well rested for this game, as they have had some quiet days to prepare. Hopefully this will translate into lots of action on the pitch.

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UCD form and stats

With 1 Premier Division win, 2 draws and 4 defeats from their home games, UCD are certainly not brimming with confidence.

UCD haven't scored a league goal since they found the net 182 minutes ago. Doyle scored that one.

No payout for UCD in their previous match, an away game at Shelbourne that ended in defeat 0-1.

Ahead of that match, UCD lost 0-2 at home to Dundalk.

Despite playing at their own arena the home team are massive underdogs in this game. The home fans will enjoy their drinks and snacks knowing that the chances of a positive outcome are very slim. When UCD have been in this position before, they have won 0, drawn 1 and lost 7 from 8 games. 5 defeats by at least two goals.

It should be added that a look at the 12 latest league fixtures reveals that 9 of them qualified as a both teams not to score result (only one or none of the sides scored).

UCD aren't scoring a lot here at UCD Bowl in the league, with only {4 goals} from 7 games. With more than 1,5 conceded goals on average, the UCD defense is not exactly impregnable. 11 goals conceded from 7 games. You can find more goal stats on the Statistics tab above.

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Shamrock Rovers form and stats

Shamrock Rovers's travelling support has been rewarded for their time and money so far this season, having witnessed Shamrock Rovers collect 15 points from their 7 away matches in the Premier Division. 4 victories and 3 draws have created these points (and only 0 defeats). In general it has been a productive period now for Shamrock Rovers as they haven't lost any of their last eleven games.

Shamrock Rovers have succeeded in guarding their own goal lately, led by their goalkeeper Leon Pöhls. It's been 201 minutes since they last conceded in Premier Division.

Shamrock are travelling after their nice 2-0 home win in the match against Bohemians (placed 1st).

Ahead of that match was the victory versus Derry City at their stadium, the result 2-0.

Again, the away team are huge favourites in this match and any other result would be an upset. We checked our Tipsway database for earlier, recent games with Shamrock Rovers given similar win odds in an away game. This check revealed 4 matches with 3 wins as expected, 0 draws and 1 surprise home win. The favourites won 3 of these games by at least two goals.

After this away game Shamrock Rovers return home for a Premier Division game against St Patrick's. That game is only three sleeps after this.

Shamrock has displayed an ability to score goals in away matches in the league this season, 12 goals from 7 games. The Shamrock Rovers defense is a tough nut to crack, having conceded less than half a goal per away game on average ({2 goals} in 7 games).

Head 2 Head

Shamrock Rovers have won every one of the 14 latest matches against this team. Something to take note of?

The previous head-to-head match ended Shamrock Rovers - UCD 3-0, earlier this season.

Top Goalscorers

Shamrock RoversG. Burke
G. Burke
6 goals
Shamrock RoversR. Gaffney
R. Gaffney
4 goals
Shamrock RoversJ. Kenny
J. Kenny
4 goals

UCD missing players

Shamrock Rovers missing players

UCD Shamrock Rovers
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
14 7 2 Played P 2 7 14
1 1 0 Won W 0 4 7
3 2 1 Drew D 2 3 6
10 4 1 Lost L 0 0 1
7 4 1 Scored S 2 12 28
28 11 5 Conceded C 2 2 13
93% 86% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 86% 93%
71% 57% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 86% 93%
50% 29% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 14% 50%
29% 29% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 14% 29%
7% 14% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 7%
36% 29% 50% BTTS BTTS 100% 29% 50%
14% 29% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 71% 50%
57% 57% 50% Failed to Score F T 0% 14% 7%
 
2.6 2.3 1 Corners for (avg) C F 7.5 5.9 6.5
5.8 4.3 3.5 Corners against (avg) C A 9 5.1 4.5
1.7 2 3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3.5 3.1 2.6
0 0 0 Red cards R C 3 3 3
 
8.3 8.1 7 Shots (avg) S ( 16.5 14 16.4
2.5 2.6 1.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2 3.3 3.6
20% 22% 33% Goal Efficiency G E 50% 52% 55%
 
13 10 6.5 Shots against (avg) S A 20.5 12.7 11.4
4.4 3.3 4 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 4 2 3.1
Key stats in Premier Division this season:
  • Shamrock Rovers have created more than twice as many corners as UCD.
  • Shamrock Rovers have not yet lost a game away.
  • Shamrock Rovers have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • Shamrock Rovers have scored more than double the goals of UCD.
  • Shamrock Rovers have the fewest conceded goals (2) away in Premier Division
  • Shamrock Rovers have the most clean sheets (5) away in Premier Division
  • Shamrock Rovers have the most clean sheets (7) in Premier Division
  • Shamrock Rovers have the most scored goals (28) in Premier Division
  • Shamrock Rovers have the most scored goals in the first half (13) in Premier Division
  • Shamrock Rovers have the the best goal difference (+10) away in Premier Division
  • Shamrock Rovers have the the best goal difference (+15) in Premier Division
  • Shamrock Rovers is in the best form (5-1-0) in Premier Division
  • UCD have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won.
  • UCD have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • UCD have the fewest scored goals (7) in Premier Division
  • UCD have the fewest scored goals in the second half (3) in Premier Division
  • UCD have the most conceded goals in the first half (14) in Premier Division
  • UCD have the the worst goal difference (-21) in Premier Division
  • UCD have the the worst goal difference (-7) at home in Premier Division

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Bohemians 14 9 1 4 23 13 6 4 0 2 14 8 8 5 1 2 9 5 10 28
2 Shamrock Rovers 14 7 6 1 28 13 7 3 3 1 16 11 7 4 3 0 12 2 15 27
3 Derry City 14 7 4 3 19 10 7 2 2 3 5 5 7 5 2 0 14 5 9 25
4 Dundalk 14 6 4 4 20 16 7 3 2 2 14 12 7 3 2 2 6 4 4 22
5 Shelbourne 14 5 6 3 13 10 8 4 3 1 7 4 6 1 3 2 6 6 3 21
6 St Patrick's 14 6 2 6 21 22 7 3 1 3 9 6 7 3 1 3 12 16 -1 20
7 Sligo Rovers 14 5 4 5 18 17 7 2 3 2 9 8 7 3 1 3 9 9 1 19
8 Drogheda United 14 3 5 6 11 17 7 1 2 4 4 9 7 2 3 2 7 8 -6 14
9 Cork City 14 2 3 9 17 31 7 2 1 4 10 11 7 0 2 5 7 20 -14 9
10 UCD 14 1 3 10 7 28 7 1 2 4 4 11 7 0 1 6 3 17 -21 6

Read more about Premier Division

The League of Ireland Premier Division, also known as the SSE Aitricity League Premier Division, is the highest level of football in the Republic of Ireland. It also has teams from Northern Ireland participating. The season runs from February to October with ten teams playing 36 matches each.