Premier Division prediction: St Patrick's should edge out UCD on their own turf

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Competition: Republic of Ireland Premier Division
Competition: Fri 30.Jun
Match begins: 18:45 (UTC)
Venue: Richmond Park (2500 seats)

Three points for the home side is expected from this game if the league standings is to be believed. The St Patrick's fans are optimistic that the contrast between 3rd and UCD's 10th place in the table will be visible on the arena.

Insights:
  • St Patrick's have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • UCD have the fewest scored goals (13) in Premier Division

This is a match between teams from the same area, a local derby. The community is buzzing.

The hosts Patrick's saw competitive action as recent as four days ago, playing in the Premier Division. At least it's nice to return home after that away game at Dundalk.

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St Patrick's form and stats

St Patrick's have performed here at Richmond Park this season with 7 wins from 11 Premier Division matches. Some points have been lost, as they have drawn 1 game and lost 3. After failing to beat Sligo Rovers here at Richmond Park, St Patrick's has put together a very nice winning streak on their own turf with four wins in a row.

St Patrick's shared the glory with Dundalk in their last match, an away game that ended all square 1-1.

Previous to that game, a home match hosting Shelbourne in a game that was won 1-0.

The Patrick's fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 19 goals in 11 league matches. St Patrick's have only conceded 8 from their league home games. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

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UCD form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for UCD so far with only 1 point returning home. The records show 0-1-10 (win-draw-lose). Travelling has not been lucrative for the away team as they have returned home without a win in eleven away games in a row.

UCD are travelling after their nice 2-1 home win in the game against Sligo Rovers (placed 8th). That win was so important for this team, after a terrible sequence of ten league games in a row not winning.

A 0-4 defeat away at Shamrock Rovers before that.

UCD are huge outsiders in this game. Running a check in our games database we found 5 matches where they were as big outsiders as an away team. Results were 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats. Of the defeats, 5 games were lost by at least two goals margin.

Will there be lots of goals? This side have played 7 consecutive league games all having three or more than three goals (over 2.5 goals).

The attacking power of UCD when travelling is not overwhelming with 6 goals scored from 11 league matches away. People interested in "over 2,5 goals" betting will like to know that UCD concede an average of more than 2,5 goals per away match all on their own. UCD has visited these top teams three times, and 3 of 3 has ended with 2 goals or more!

Head 2 Head

The 6 most recent games featuring these opponents have all ended as Patrick's wins. Will history repeat itself?

These two sides met each other before this campaign: UCD - St Patrick's 1-3.

Top Goalscorers

St Patrick'sC. Forrester
C. Forrester
10 goals
St Patrick'sM. Doyle
M. Doyle
5 goals
Patrick'sJ. Mulraney
J. Mulraney
5 goals

St Patrick's missing players

UCD missing players

St Patrick's UCD
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
23 11 3 Played P 3 11 21
12 7 2 Won W 0 0 2
3 1 0 Drew D 0 1 3
8 3 1 Lost L 3 10 16
39 19 7 Scored S 1 6 13
31 8 1 Conceded C 11 32 50
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 95%
83% 73% 67% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 91% 81%
61% 45% 67% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 82% 67%
39% 18% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 67% 55% 43%
22% 9% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 33% 18% 14%
52% 27% 0% BTTS BTTS 33% 55% 48%
26% 45% 67% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 10%
22% 27% 33% Failed to Score F T 67% 45% 48%
 
5.3 5 5.7 Corners for (avg) C F 3 2.9 2.8
5.2 5.5 6.3 Corners against (avg) C A 8.7 7 6.2
2.3 2 1.7 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0.3 1.2 1.7
4 3 1 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
12.2 12.3 12.3 Shots (avg) S ( 5.7 7.7 7.6
4.2 4.5 4.7 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.3 2.4 2.5
40% 39% 50% Goal Efficiency G E 14% 23% 25%
 
11.9 10.5 10 Shots against (avg) S A 23.3 18.5 15.4
3.8 2.7 2.3 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 9.3 7 5.6
Key stats in Premier Division this season:
  • St Patrick's have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • St Patrick's have scored more than double the goals of UCD.
  • St Patrick's haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • UCD have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won.
  • UCD have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • UCD have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their away matches.
  • UCD have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • UCD have the fewest clean sheets (0) away in Premier Division
  • UCD have the fewest matches under the total-line (7) in Premier Division
  • UCD have the fewest points (1) away in Premier Division
  • UCD have the fewest scored goals (13) in Premier Division
  • UCD have the fewest scored goals (6) away in Premier Division
  • UCD have the fewest scored goals in the first half (6) in Premier Division
  • UCD have the fewest scored goals in the second half (7) in Premier Division
  • UCD have the most conceded goals (32) away in Premier Division
  • UCD have the most conceded goals (50) in Premier Division
  • UCD have the most conceded goals in the first half (26) in Premier Division
  • UCD have the the worst goal difference (-26) away in Premier Division
  • UCD have the the worst goal difference (-37) in Premier Division
  • UCD have yet to win a game away.
  • UCD haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.
  • UCD is in the worst form (1-0-5)

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Shamrock Rovers 23 13 7 3 47 20 12 7 3 2 27 15 11 6 4 1 20 5 27 46
2 Derry City 23 11 6 6 30 17 12 5 4 3 14 6 11 6 2 3 16 11 13 39
3 St Patrick's 23 12 3 8 39 31 11 7 1 3 19 8 12 5 2 5 20 23 8 39
4 Dundalk 23 10 6 7 34 30 11 5 4 2 23 17 12 5 2 5 11 13 4 36
5 Bohemians 21 10 5 6 30 20 10 5 2 3 18 11 11 5 3 3 12 9 10 35
6 Shelbourne 21 7 9 5 20 15 11 5 4 2 11 8 10 2 5 3 9 7 5 30
7 Drogheda United 21 6 5 10 21 29 11 3 2 6 10 14 10 3 3 4 11 15 -8 23
8 Sligo Rovers 21 6 5 10 21 29 10 3 3 4 10 14 11 3 2 6 11 15 -8 23
9 Cork City 21 6 3 12 24 38 11 5 1 5 15 14 10 1 2 7 9 24 -14 21
10 UCD 21 2 3 16 13 50 10 2 2 6 7 18 11 0 1 10 6 32 -37 9

Read more about Premier Division

The League of Ireland Premier Division, also known as the SSE Aitricity League Premier Division, is the highest level of football in the Republic of Ireland. It also has teams from Northern Ireland participating. The season runs from February to October with ten teams playing 36 matches each.