Home advantage could prove decisive in Shelbourne - Finn Harps battle

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Competition: Republic of Ireland Premier Division
Competition: Fri 08.July
Match begins: 18:45 (UTC)
Venue: Tolka Park (9700 seats)

Premier Division: Tipsway are previewing an engrossing and very important duel involving Shelbourne and Finn Harps at Tolka Park. They both need to win this!

Insights:
  • Shelbourne have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Finn Harps have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.

Both sides have had sufficient rest since their previous game. Let's trust this will be an active match!

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Shelbourne form and stats

3 victories, 2 draws and 5 defeats. That’s what Shelbourne have to build on here at Tolka Park in the Premier Division. When Shelbourne hosts teams that live in the bottom of the table (like Drogheda United, UCD and Shelbourne), they have won 2 of 2 matches!

Shelbourne are hoping to put things right at home after a defeat in their previous match, the score 1-3 away versus Sligo Rovers.

In the match before that, Shelbourne hosted Dundalk and drew the game 0-0.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Shelbourne have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 6 games) they have won 3 times, drawn 2 and lost 1.

Shelbourne aren't scoring a lot here at Tolka Park in the league, with only 8 goals from 10 games. Shelbourne have conceded 15 from these games. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 0 of these goals has been conceded in their last three home matches. Shelbourne has at home met teams with this table position (low), two times. It has ended with less than 2.5 goals 2 of 2 times.

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Finn Harps form and stats

Finn Harps have only collected 6 points from their away games in the Premier Division, after 1-3-6 (10 played).

The manager Horgan was unhappy after their last game, played at their home ground Finn Park. Harps suffered a 0-1 loss to Shamrock Rovers (placed 1st).

Ahead of that game was the 2-2 draw at home against St Patrick's.

We have checked recent matches where Finn Harps have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 12 games were 2 victories, 2 draws and 8 defeats.

For Harps, more than two goals on average per game end up in their own net.

Head 2 Head

The latest H2H meeting ended Finn Harps - Shelbourne 1-0, played this season. H2H stats regardless of arena (last ten matches): Shelbourne two wins, four draws and Finn Harps four victories. As for goals, two matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), eight games had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

ShelbourneS. Boyd
S. Boyd
6 goals
ShelbourneS. Farrell
S. Farrell
3 goals
ShelbourneJ. Moylan
J. Moylan
3 goals

Shelbourne missing players

Finn Harps missing players

Shelbourne Finn Harps
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
21 10 2 Played P 2 10 21
7 3 2 Won W 0 1 2
4 2 0 Drew D 1 3 6
10 5 0 Lost L 1 6 13
18 8 3 Scored S 1 10 17
27 15 0 Conceded C 3 21 37
90% 90% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 50% 90% 95%
67% 70% 50% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 90% 71%
43% 50% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 80% 57%
10% 10% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 50% 33%
5% 10% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 0%
43% 40% 0% BTTS BTTS 50% 50% 43%
29% 30% 100% Clean Sheets C S 50% 20% 14%
38% 40% 0% Failed to Score F T 50% 40% 48%
 
2.9 2.9 2 Corners for (avg) C F 6 4.9 4.4
4.6 4.6 8 Corners against (avg) C A 3 4.5 5.2
2.3 2.1 2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 4 3 2.9
2 0 0 Red cards R C 1 3 4
 
7 7.6 9.5 Shots (avg) S ( 12 7.2 7.6
3 3.6 4 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.5 3.3 3
29% 22% 38% Goal Efficiency G E 14% 30% 27%
 
8.6 8.1 6.5 Shots against (avg) S A 7.5 10.1 8.8
3.8 3.1 2 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 2.5 4.1 3.6
Key stats in Premier Division this season:
  • Finn Harps have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Finn Harps have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Shelbourne have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Shamrock Rovers 23 16 3 4 37 14 11 10 1 0 21 5 12 6 2 4 16 9 23 51
2 Dundalk 21 11 8 2 31 14 11 9 2 0 23 6 10 2 6 2 8 8 17 41
3 Derry City 22 11 7 4 38 21 11 4 5 2 19 11 11 7 2 2 19 10 17 40
4 St Patrick's 23 10 5 8 32 21 12 6 2 4 17 12 11 4 3 4 15 9 11 35
5 Sligo Rovers 22 8 8 6 31 24 11 5 4 2 18 11 11 3 4 4 13 13 7 32
6 Bohemians 21 6 8 7 27 28 11 4 4 3 17 15 10 2 4 4 10 13 -1 26
7 Shelbourne 21 7 4 10 18 27 10 3 2 5 8 15 11 4 2 5 10 12 -9 25
8 Drogheda United 21 5 7 9 22 35 10 4 3 3 11 14 11 1 4 6 11 21 -13 22
9 Finn Harps 21 2 6 13 17 37 11 1 3 7 7 16 10 1 3 6 10 21 -20 12
10 UCD 21 1 6 14 12 44 10 0 5 5 5 14 11 1 1 9 7 30 -32 9

Read more about Premier Division

The League of Ireland Premier Division, also known as the SSE Aitricity League Premier Division, is the highest level of football in the Republic of Ireland. It also has teams from Northern Ireland participating. The season runs from February to October with ten teams playing 36 matches each.