Premier Division match prediction: Little separates Finn Harps and Shelbourne in quality

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Competition: Republic of Ireland Premier Division
Competition: Fri 29.April
Match begins: 19:00 (UTC)
Venue: Finn Park (7500 seats)

Finn Harps are unlocking their away locker room to Shelbourne for yet another key fixture after their 0-2 result vs 3rd-placed St Patrick's.

Insights:
  • Finn Harps have yet to win a game at home.
  • Shelbourne have the fewest conceded goals (4) away in Premier Division

Both teams have had sufficient rest since their previous work day in an official game. Let's wish for an energetic match!

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Finn Harps form and stats

The home fans haven’t been spoiled with victories in the Premier Division this season. Finn Harps have only managed 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their games here at Finn Park. Two defeats in a row at home hurts for Harps, their manager Horgan and the supporters. There are certain expectations for improvement.

Times are rough for the home team, having gone 180 minutes without scoring a league goal. Timlin was the last player to find the net.

Finn Harps are hoping to put things right at home after a defeat in their previous match, the score 0-2 away versus St Patrick's.

Preceding that match was the home game against Sligo Rovers that was lost 0-1.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Harps have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found five matches with the results: Won two, drawn two and lost one.

Finn Harps aren't scoring a lot here at Finn Park in the league, with only 4 goals from 6 games. With more than 1,5 conceded goals on average, the Finn Harps defense is not exactly impregnable. 11 goals conceded from 6 games. You can find more goal stats on the Statistics tab above.

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Shelbourne form and stats

The visitors, who have the fewest conceded goals (4) away in Premier Division, are W3-D2-L1 on the road this term. That's in the Premier Division.

It might be tough going out on the road again for Shelbourne, facing their second straight away game. Especially as the previous game, ended with a defeat 1-2 versus Dundalk (placed 5th).

A 1-4 loss hosting Bohemians before that.

Scoring goals is the main ingredient in creating success in football, and not only at home. So far Shelbourne have scored 7 goals in 6 league games away. They concede less than a goal on average per away game (4 so far).

Head 2 Head

This isn't the first time these sides get together this season, as the fixture list show this recent match: Shelbourne - Finn Harps 0-3. H2H stats regardless of arena (last ten matches): Harps three wins, five draws and Shelbourne two victories. As for goals, two matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), eight games had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

ShelbourneS. Farrell
S. Farrell
3 goals
ShelbourneS. Boyd
S. Boyd
3 goals
Finn HarpsF. Mihaljević
F. Mihaljević
2 goals

Finn Harps missing players

Shelbourne missing players

Finn Harps Shelbourne
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
12 6 1 Played P 2 6 12
1 0 0 Won W 1 3 3
4 2 1 Drew D 1 2 3
7 4 0 Lost L 0 1 6
10 4 2 Scored S 2 7 10
21 11 2 Conceded C 0 4 18
92% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 50% 83% 92%
83% 83% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 67% 75%
58% 50% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 33% 50%
25% 17% 100% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 0% 8%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 8%
42% 50% 100% BTTS BTTS 0% 50% 50%
17% 0% 0% Clean Sheets C S 100% 50% 25%
50% 50% 0% Failed to Score F T 50% 17% 33%
 
4.8 4 3 Corners for (avg) C F 2 2.2 2.5
5.1 6.5 4 Corners against (avg) C A 5 6 4.9
2.8 2.5 2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 4 3.5 2.7
3 1 0 Red cards R C 0 2 2
 
8.2 9.7 14 Shots (avg) S ( 7 6.8 6.7
3.2 3 4 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3 2.7 2.8
26% 22% 50% Goal Efficiency G E 33% 44% 30%
 
7.9 7.3 5 Shots against (avg) S A 5.5 9.8 9
3.2 3.3 2 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 3.5 5.3 4.6
Key stats in Premier Division this season:
  • Finn Harps have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Finn Harps have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their home matches.
  • Finn Harps have won significantly less corners at home than away.
  • Finn Harps have yet to win a game at home.
  • Finn Harps haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Shelbourne have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won away.
  • Shelbourne have the fewest conceded goals (4) away in Premier Division

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Derry City 12 8 3 1 24 10 6 4 1 1 14 5 6 4 2 0 10 5 14 27
2 Shamrock Rovers 12 8 2 2 20 8 6 5 1 0 11 3 6 3 1 2 9 5 12 26
3 St Patrick's 12 6 2 4 15 8 6 3 2 1 7 3 6 3 0 3 8 5 7 20
4 Sligo Rovers 12 5 4 3 17 12 6 2 2 2 8 7 6 3 2 1 9 5 5 19
5 Dundalk 12 4 6 2 14 9 6 4 2 0 11 4 6 0 4 2 3 5 5 18
6 Bohemians 12 3 6 3 16 15 6 1 3 2 8 10 6 2 3 1 8 5 1 15
7 Drogheda United 12 3 4 5 15 20 6 2 2 2 7 9 6 1 2 3 8 11 -5 13
8 Shelbourne 12 3 3 6 10 18 6 0 1 5 3 14 6 3 2 1 7 4 -8 12
9 Finn Harps 12 1 4 7 10 21 6 0 2 4 4 11 6 1 2 3 6 10 -11 7
10 UCD 12 0 4 8 7 27 6 0 3 3 2 7 6 0 1 5 5 20 -20 4

Read more about Premier Division

The League of Ireland Premier Division, also known as the SSE Aitricity League Premier Division, is the highest level of football in the Republic of Ireland. It also has teams from Northern Ireland participating. The season runs from February to October with ten teams playing 36 matches each.