Dundalk host Waterford United as odds-on favourites: Read our match preview

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Competition: Republic of Ireland Premier Division
Competition: Fri 29.October
Match begins: 18:45 (UTC)
Venue: Oriel Park (6000 seats)

Both these teams have had problems getting enough points so far, but a win and three points in this key match would certainly provide a boost. Let's hear it for Dundalk - Waterford United!

Insights:
  • Dundalk have the most dropped points from leading position (19) in Premier Division
  • Waterford United have the most conceded goals in the first half (26) in Premier Division

It's no vacation for neither Dundalk nor Waterford United as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

This stadium has artifical turf, which is not Waterford United's normal surface at their own football pitch. When appearing on artifical turf Waterford United have performed like this: Played ten matches yielding 1 win, 1 draw and 8 defeats with the goal data 11-25 (scored/conceded).

Waterford are still fighting for the big positions at the top of the table.

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Dundalk form and stats

7-2-6 (win-draw-lost) are the Premier Division numbers at home for Dundalk so far this season. Dundalk are on a three game winning streak in their home games.

The fans are hoping that Dundalk will strike back in this match, putting things right after the 0-1 away loss in the Premier Division game against St Patrick's (placed 2nd).

A FAI Cup defeat was the result before that one, 1-3 away at St Patrick's.

The hosts are favourites to win this game, with an estimated chance of about 55-60% of that outcome. Earlier Dundalk matches with similar probabilities have ended with one win, one draw and zero defeats (from two games).

Dundalk has scored 20 league goals at home this season, in 15 matches. 20 goals have been conceded. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 2 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 home matches.

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Waterford United form and stats

The visitors are W6-D1-L9 on the road this term. That's in the Premier Division.

Two travels in a row for Waterford United, whose manager M. Bircham could celebrate last time after the Premier Division win against Bohemians.

Preceding that game, the 0-1 loss visiting Bohemians's place.

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Waterford United playing away, we found five games. Results were four away wins, zero draws and one home win.

A quick return to home after this game, as Waterford are hosting Derry City in the Premier Division only three days away.

The visitors have scored 15 goals from 16 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. In the opposite end, Waterford have conceded 25 goals in their away games.

Head 2 Head

The squads have played each other already this season, with the result Waterford United - Dundalk 1-1 logged in the official records. Dundalk-Waterford United H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: Dundalk six wins, Waterford United two wins, two draws. six of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

DundalkP. Hoban
P. Hoban
11 goals
Waterford UnitedJ. Martin
J. Martin
9 goals
Waterford UnitedJ. Quitirna
J. Quitirna
5 goals

Dundalk missing players

Waterford United missing players

Dundalk Waterford United
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
32 15 3 Played P 3 16 31
10 7 1 Won W 2 6 12
9 2 1 Drew D 0 1 3
13 6 1 Lost L 1 9 16
39 20 3 Scored S 4 15 32
44 20 3 Conceded C 3 25 49
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
75% 73% 67% Over 1.5 O 1.5 67% 81% 71%
50% 60% 33% Over 2.5 O 2.5 67% 62% 55%
22% 20% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 6% 16%
9% 13% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 13%
69% 73% 67% BTTS BTTS 67% 50% 48%
16% 13% 33% Clean Sheets C S 33% 6% 16%
16% 13% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 44% 35%
 
5.6 6.3 9 Corners for (avg) C F 2.7 2.5 2.9
5.2 5.4 2.7 Corners against (avg) C A 6.7 6.1 5.2
2.2 1.9 0.7 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.3 3.1 2.6
2 0 0 Red cards R C 1 4 6
 
9.8 11.2 11.3 Shots (avg) S ( 5.3 5.3 6.3
3.9 4.2 3.3 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3 2.4 2.8
31% 32% 30% Goal Efficiency G E 44% 42% 39%
Key stats in Premier Division this season:
  • Dundalk have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Dundalk have the most dropped points from leading position (19) in Premier Division
  • Dundalk haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Waterford United have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won away.
  • Waterford United have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Waterford United have the most conceded goals in the first half (26) in Premier Division
  • Waterford United haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Shamrock Rovers 32 21 6 5 50 23 16 10 5 1 27 12 16 11 1 4 23 11 27 69
2 St Patrick's 31 17 5 9 48 34 15 12 0 3 26 11 16 5 5 6 22 23 14 56
3 Sligo Rovers 31 13 8 10 36 29 15 6 4 5 20 12 16 7 4 5 16 17 7 47
4 Derry City 31 12 9 10 41 37 16 5 7 4 23 19 15 7 2 6 18 18 4 45
5 Bohemians 31 12 7 12 51 40 16 7 4 5 33 20 15 5 3 7 18 20 11 43
6 Drogheda United 31 12 7 12 43 36 17 7 4 6 22 16 14 5 3 6 21 20 7 43
7 Dundalk 32 10 9 13 39 44 15 7 2 6 20 20 17 3 7 7 19 24 -5 39
8 Waterford United 31 12 3 16 32 49 15 6 2 7 17 24 16 6 1 9 15 25 -17 39
9 Finn Harps 31 10 8 13 36 46 15 4 4 7 17 21 16 6 4 6 19 25 -10 38
10 Longford Town 31 2 8 21 20 58 16 2 3 11 9 27 15 0 5 10 11 31 -38 14

Read more about Premier Division

The League of Ireland Premier Division, also known as the SSE Aitricity League Premier Division, is the highest level of football in the Republic of Ireland. It also has teams from Northern Ireland participating. The season runs from February to October with ten teams playing 36 matches each.