Football preview: Dundalk favourites when UCD arrive

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Competition: Republic of Ireland Premier Division
Competition: Fri 01.July
Match begins: 18:45 (UTC)
Venue: Oriel Park (6000 seats)

Dundalk greet UCD with belief in acquiring all three points. Will they? Read our in-depth preview!

Insights:
  • Dundalk is in the best form (5-1-0) in Premier Division
  • UCD have the fewest scored goals (12) in Premier Division

Both teams should be fairly well rested for this game, as they have had some quiet days to prepare. Hopefully this will translate into lots of action on the pitch.

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Dundalk form and stats

Home games in the Premier Division have been a walk in the park for Dundalk so far, with 26 points won from 10 matches; 8 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses. Ever since the Shamrock Rovers game Dundalk has been unbeatable here at Oriel Park producing seven straight wins.

Defensively the home team are doing well, with their goalkeeper Nathan Shepperd not having conceded a league goal in 375 minutes.

Dundalk drew their last game, 0-0 away at Shelbourne (placed 7th).

Ahead of that match, Dundalk won a home game hosting Shamrock Rovers (1-0).

Dundalk are not conceding a lot of goals here at Oriel Park in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 6 from 10 matches.

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UCD form and stats

UCD have only collected 4 points from their away games in the Premier Division, after 1-1-8 (10 played). UCD seem to be suffering from homesickness with two consecutive losses away. Third time lucky?

This game can not go any worse than the previous one, the home defeat versus Derry City with 0-1 on the scoreboard.

Prior to that match, the UCD manager Myler faced defeat when travelling to St Patrick's and losing 1-2.

With the hosts identified as having a victory probability of approximately 80% by the bookies, any beneficial result for the guesting team would be unexpected. Checking historical games with similar odds and UCD playing away, we found 6 results. Statistics from these were 0 away wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats. The outsiders lost 4 of these fixtures by at least two goals.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting UCD as they have only managed to score 7 times from 10 away games in the league. People interested in "over 2,5 goals" betting will like to know that UCD concede an average of more than 2,5 goals per away match all on their own. UCD has visited these top teams two times, and 2 of 2 has ended with 2 goals or more!

Head 2 Head

UCD - Dundalk 2-2 was the end result in these contenders' last head-to-head game, played this season. These squads fought hard and good when they last met each other. Both Boyle (Dundalk) and Leahy (Dundalk) were sent off. Head-to-head statistics (for the prior ten meetings): Dundalk won eight games, two matches ended with a draw and UCD have zero wins. Over 2,5 goals / under 2,5 goals: six / four

Top Goalscorers

DundalkP. Hoban
P. Hoban
8 goals
DundalkD. Kelly
D. Kelly
5 goals
DundalkS. Bradley
S. Bradley
4 goals

Dundalk missing players

UCD missing players

Dundalk UCD
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
20 10 3 Played P 2 10 20
10 8 3 Won W 0 1 1
8 2 0 Drew D 0 1 6
2 0 0 Lost L 2 8 13
28 20 9 Scored S 1 7 12
14 6 2 Conceded C 10 27 41
80% 90% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 90%
55% 70% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 90% 80%
45% 60% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 60% 45%
25% 30% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 30% 20%
5% 10% 33% Over 4.5 O 4.5 50% 20% 10%
45% 50% 67% BTTS BTTS 50% 40% 40%
45% 50% 33% Clean Sheets C S 0% 10% 15%
30% 10% 0% Failed to Score F T 50% 50% 55%
 
4.8 5.5 6.7 Corners for (avg) C F 3 3.7 3.5
4.3 3.5 3 Corners against (avg) C A 10 6.3 6.8
2.1 1.7 1.7 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1 1.5 1.6
3 1 1 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
10.6 11.7 10.7 Shots (avg) S ( 4 5.2 5.3
4 5 5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 1.5 2.6 2.4
35% 40% 60% Goal Efficiency G E 33% 27% 26%
 
9.9 10 8.3 Shots against (avg) S A 19 14.2 12.3
3.5 3.1 2 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 9.5 6.1 5.2
Key stats in Premier Division this season:
  • Dundalk have not yet lost a game at home.
  • Dundalk have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Dundalk have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Dundalk have scored more than double the goals of UCD.
  • Dundalk is in the best form (5-1-0) in Premier Division
  • UCD have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • UCD have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • UCD have the fewest points (4) away in Premier Division
  • UCD have the fewest scored goals (12) in Premier Division
  • UCD have the fewest scored goals (7) away in Premier Division
  • UCD have the fewest scored goals in the first half (0) in Premier Division
  • UCD have the most conceded goals (27) away in Premier Division
  • UCD have the most conceded goals (41) in Premier Division
  • UCD have the most conceded goals in the first half (20) in Premier Division
  • UCD have the most matches under the total-line (10) in Premier Division
  • UCD have the the worst goal difference (-20) away in Premier Division
  • UCD have the the worst goal difference (-29) in Premier Division
  • UCD haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Shamrock Rovers 22 15 3 4 36 14 11 10 1 0 21 5 11 5 2 4 15 9 22 48
2 Dundalk 20 10 8 2 28 14 10 8 2 0 20 6 10 2 6 2 8 8 14 38
3 Derry City 21 10 7 4 35 19 11 4 5 2 19 11 10 6 2 2 16 8 16 37
4 St Patrick's 22 9 5 8 29 21 11 5 2 4 14 12 11 4 3 4 15 9 8 32
5 Sligo Rovers 21 7 8 6 28 23 10 4 4 2 15 10 11 3 4 4 13 13 5 29
6 Bohemians 20 6 8 6 25 25 10 4 4 2 15 12 10 2 4 4 10 13 0 26
7 Shelbourne 20 7 4 9 17 24 10 3 2 5 8 15 10 4 2 4 9 9 -7 25
8 Drogheda United 20 5 7 8 22 32 10 4 3 3 11 14 10 1 4 5 11 18 -10 22
9 Finn Harps 20 2 6 12 17 36 10 1 3 6 7 15 10 1 3 6 10 21 -19 12
10 UCD 20 1 6 13 12 41 10 0 5 5 5 14 10 1 1 8 7 27 -29 9

Read more about Premier Division

The League of Ireland Premier Division, also known as the SSE Aitricity League Premier Division, is the highest level of football in the Republic of Ireland. It also has teams from Northern Ireland participating. The season runs from February to October with ten teams playing 36 matches each.