Premier Division prediction and guide: Drogheda United modest expected to outplay UCD

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Competition: Republic of Ireland Premier Division
Competition: Fri 04.March
Match begins: 19:45 (UTC)

Drogheda United receive UCD for another engaging Premier Division fixture.

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

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Drogheda United form and stats

The home fans saw their team lose the first Premier Division game of the season here. Last season these fans witnessed 7 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses from Drogheda United's 18 home games.

Drogheda United lost their last game at Shamrock Rovers (placed 1st) after a 1-3 scoreline.

Before that game, the home loss against Shelbourne with the scoreline 0-2.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Drogheda United have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found five games) they have won four times, drawn zero and lost one.

Drogheda United has the goal stats of 0-2 (for/against) from 1 league fixture.

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UCD form and stats

The visitors' first away game in the Premier Division ended in defeat. Last season UCD had these away match statistics: Played 13; won 5, drew 3 and lost 5.

UCD aren't clicking offensively as they have gone 275 league minutes without a goal. Keaney was the last player to find the net. UCD have succeeded in guarding their own goal lately, led by their goalkeeper. It's been 186 minutes since they last conceded in Premier Division.

There were no winners in UCD's previous match, the home game that ended 0-0 vs Shelbourne (placed 6th).

Ahead of that game was the 0-0 draw at home against Finn Harps.

As for goals scored and conceded in the league games away so far, UCD has managed 0 goals and let in 3 from 1 match.

Head 2 Head

Drogheda United-UCD H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: Drogheda United four wins, UCD four wins, two draws. six of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Drogheda United missing players

UCD missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Drogheda United UCD
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
2 1 0 Played P 0 1 3
0 0 0 Won W 0 0 0
0 0 0 Drew D 0 0 2
2 1 0 Lost L 0 1 1
1 0 0 Scored S 0 0 0
5 2 0 Conceded C 0 3 3
100% 100% 0% Over 0.5 O 0.5 0% 100% 33%
100% 100% 0% Over 1.5 O 1.5 0% 100% 33%
50% 0% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 100% 33%
50% 0% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 0%
50% 0% 0% BTTS BTTS 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 67%
50% 100% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 100% 100%
 
6 7 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 3 2.3
5 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 11 8.7
3.5 4 0 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0 0 1.7
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
6.5 7 0 Shots (avg) S ( 0 3 3.7
3.5 5 0 Shots on Target (avg) S O 0 1 1.3
14% 0% 0% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 0% 0%
 
11 8 0 Shots against (avg) S A 0 15 10
6.5 6 0 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 0 8 4
Drogheda United Last season UCD
Total Home   Statistics Stat   Away Total
36 18   Played P   15 30
12 7   Won W   7 15
8 4   Drew D   3 7
16 7   Lost L   5 8
45 22   Scored S   30 61
43 17   Conceded C   22 40
94% 94%   Over 0.5 O 0.5   100% 90%
69% 56%   Over 1.5 O 1.5   100% 87%
44% 33%   Over 2.5 O 2.5   73% 70%
19% 22%   Over 3.5 O 3.5   47% 43%
11% 11%   Over 4.5 O 4.5   20% 27%
50% 50%   BTTS BTTS   60% 60%
22% 22%   Clean Sheets C S   33% 33%
33% 33%   Failed to Score F T   7% 17%
 
3.6 3.9   Corners for (avg) C F   5 4.7
5.4 4.7   Corners against (avg) C A   4.7 4.6
1.5 1.7   Yellow cards (avg) Y C   1.7 1.7
4 1   Red cards R C   1 1
 
7 8.6   Shots (avg) S (   9 9.5
2.9 3.5   Shots on Target (avg) S O   4.4 4.6
42% 35%   Goal Efficiency G E   45% 45%
 
9.7 9.5   Shots against (avg) S A   9.5 9.6
3.5 3.5   Shots on Target against (avg) S O   3.9 3.9

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Shamrock Rovers 3 2 0 1 7 3 2 2 0 0 6 1 1 0 0 1 1 2 4 6
2 Dundalk 3 1 2 0 7 4 2 1 1 0 5 2 1 0 1 0 2 2 3 5
3 Derry City 3 1 2 0 4 3 2 1 1 0 2 1 1 0 1 0 2 2 1 5
4 Bohemians 2 1 1 0 3 2 2 1 1 0 3 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 4
5 Sligo Rovers 2 1 1 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 1 0 2 1 1 4
6 Shelbourne 3 1 1 1 2 3 1 0 0 1 0 3 2 1 1 0 2 0 -1 4
7 St Patrick's 3 1 0 2 4 3 1 0 0 1 1 2 2 1 0 1 3 1 1 3
8 UCD 3 0 2 1 0 3 2 0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 3 -3 2
9 Finn Harps 2 0 1 1 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 1 0 3 -3 1
10 Drogheda United 2 0 0 2 1 5 1 0 0 1 0 2 1 0 0 1 1 3 -4 0
Last season Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Shamrock Rovers 36 24 6 6 59 28 18 12 5 1 32 13 18 12 1 5 27 15 31 78
2 St Patrick's 36 18 8 10 56 42 18 12 2 4 30 18 18 6 6 6 26 24 14 62
3 Sligo Rovers 36 16 9 11 43 32 18 8 5 5 24 13 18 8 4 6 19 19 11 57
4 Derry City 36 14 12 10 49 42 18 6 8 4 26 20 18 8 4 6 23 22 7 54
5 Bohemians 36 14 10 12 60 46 18 9 4 5 38 22 18 5 6 7 22 24 14 52
6 Dundalk 36 13 9 14 44 46 18 9 2 7 24 22 18 4 7 7 20 24 -2 48
7 Drogheda United 36 12 8 16 45 43 18 7 4 7 22 17 18 5 4 9 23 26 2 44
8 Finn Harps 36 11 11 14 44 52 18 5 6 7 23 22 18 6 5 7 21 30 -8 44
9 Waterford United 36 12 6 18 36 56 18 6 4 8 20 29 18 6 2 10 16 27 -20 42
10 Longford Town 36 2 9 25 22 71 18 2 4 12 11 32 18 0 5 13 11 39 -49 15
Last season Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Shelbourne 27 16 9 2 49 23 14 8 6 0 27 12 13 8 3 2 22 11 26 57
2 Galway United 27 15 6 6 39 25 14 8 4 2 22 12 13 7 2 4 17 13 14 51
3 UCD 27 13 7 7 55 38 14 8 4 2 30 16 13 5 3 5 25 22 17 46
4 Treaty United 27 11 9 7 36 27 13 6 5 2 16 11 14 5 4 5 20 16 9 42
5 Bray Wanderers 27 9 10 8 36 31 13 5 4 4 16 11 14 4 6 4 20 20 5 37
6 Cork City 27 8 9 10 37 28 14 6 3 5 28 17 13 2 6 5 9 11 9 33
7 Athlone Town 27 9 6 12 32 43 13 5 1 7 17 21 14 4 5 5 15 22 -11 33
8 Cobh Ramblers 27 8 4 15 25 46 13 4 2 7 10 20 14 4 2 8 15 26 -21 28
9 Cabinteely 27 8 1 18 26 47 14 3 1 10 9 24 13 5 0 8 17 23 -21 25
10 Wexford Youths 27 6 3 18 29 56 13 4 2 7 19 26 14 2 1 11 10 30 -27 21

Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Shamrock Rovers 3 2 0 1 7 3 2 2 0 0 6 1 1 0 0 1 1 2 4 6
2 Dundalk 3 1 2 0 7 4 2 1 1 0 5 2 1 0 1 0 2 2 3 5
3 Derry City 3 1 2 0 4 3 2 1 1 0 2 1 1 0 1 0 2 2 1 5
4 Bohemians 2 1 1 0 3 2 2 1 1 0 3 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 4
5 Sligo Rovers 2 1 1 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 1 0 2 1 1 4
6 Shelbourne 3 1 1 1 2 3 1 0 0 1 0 3 2 1 1 0 2 0 -1 4
7 St Patrick's 3 1 0 2 4 3 1 0 0 1 1 2 2 1 0 1 3 1 1 3
8 UCD 3 0 2 1 0 3 2 0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 3 -3 2
9 Finn Harps 2 0 1 1 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 1 0 3 -3 1
10 Drogheda United 2 0 0 2 1 5 1 0 0 1 0 2 1 0 0 1 1 3 -4 0

More from Republic of Ireland - Premier Division

Read more about Premier Division

The League of Ireland Premier Division, also known as the SSE Aitricity League Premier Division, is the highest level of football in the Republic of Ireland. It also has teams from Northern Ireland participating. The season runs from February to October with ten teams playing 36 matches each.