Segunda Liga match prediction: Little separates Porto II and Académica in quality

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Competition: Portugal Segunda Liga
Competition: Sun 06.December
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estádio Dr. Jorge Sampaio (8272 seats)

Struggling Porto II will be hoping to pull off an upset when they welcome high-flying Académica in the upcoming league round. It’s 14th vs 3rd and the home crowd will have moderate expectations.

Insights:
  • Porto II has the most conceded goals in the first half (9) in Segunda Liga
  • Académica has the fewest conceded goals (4) in Segunda Liga

Both teams should be fairly well rested for this game, as they have had some quiet days to prepare. Hopefully this will translate into lots of action on the pitch.

W L L L L

Porto II form and stats

When playing at home in the Segunda Liga, Porto II have managed 2 wins, 0 draws and suffered 3 defeats from 5 games. The Porto II manager R. Soares de Barros might feel some added pressure to get something from this game after two straight home defeats.

A good away victory last time out for Porto, who won 3-2 against Arouca (placed 5th). Preceding that match was the home game against Mafra that was lost 1-2.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Porto have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found ten matches with the results: Won four, drawn five and lost one.

A decent goal production from Porto in their home games so far, with 9 goals from 5 league matches. With more than 1,5 conceded goals on average, the Porto II defense is not exactly impregnable. 8 goals conceded from 5 games. You can find more goal stats on the Statistics tab above.

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Académica form and stats

The story so far for the visiting team, who have the fewest conceded goals (4) in Segunda Liga, on their Segunda Liga travels is 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats.

Académica go into this game after a win, the home game against Sporting Covilha that ended 2-1. A home win before that, celebrating 1-0 vs Varzim.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Académica playing away and similar expectations, we found eleven relevant matches. Results were five Académica wins, two draws and four defeats.

The visitors have scored 4 goals from 5 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. Académica are tight as a drum on their travels, having allowed the opposition only 1 goal away.

Head 2 Head

As for the last seven games between these two teams, there's two Porto victories, zero draws and five Académica wins. Over/under statistics; six of these games ended with three goals or more, one match with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

AcadémicaM. Bouldini
M. Bouldini
5 goals
Porto IID. Loader
D. Loader
4 goals
Porto IIK. Boateng
K. Boateng
3 goals

Porto II missing players

Académica missing players

Porto II Académica
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
10 5 2 Played P 3 5 10
3 2 0 Won W 1 2 6
1 0 0 Drew D 2 3 3
6 3 2 Lost L 0 0 1
15 9 2 Scored S 1 4 12
19 8 4 Conceded C 0 1 4
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 33% 40% 70%
90% 100% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 0% 20% 40%
90% 100% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 20% 40%
40% 20% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 20% 10%
20% 20% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 0%
80% 100% 100% BTTS BTTS 0% 20% 30%
0% 0% 0% Clean Sheets C S 100% 80% 60%
20% 0% 0% Failed to Score F T 67% 60% 40%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
2.8 3.4 4.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.3 2 2.4
2 1 1 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
13.4 16 13.5 Shots (avg) S ( 9.7 9.6 9
5 7 6.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.3 2.4 2.4
30% 26% 15% Goal Efficiency G E 14% 33% 50%
Key stats in Segunda Liga this season:
  • Académica has the fewest conceded goals (4) in Segunda Liga
  • Académica have not yet lost a game away.
  • Académica have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • All of Porto II's home-matches have had more than 2,5 goals.
  • Porto II has the fewest matches under the total-line (1) in Segunda Liga
  • Porto II has the most conceded goals in the first half (9) in Segunda Liga
  • Porto II has the most matches over the total-line (9) in Segunda Liga
  • Porto II have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their matches.
  • Porto II have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Porto II have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Académica have scored away.
  • Porto II have scored in all their home matches so far.
  • Porto II haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Estoril 10 7 2 1 18 7 5 3 2 0 12 6 5 4 0 1 6 1 11 23
2 Mafra 10 7 0 3 18 10 5 4 0 1 8 3 5 3 0 2 10 7 8 21
3 Académica 10 6 3 1 12 4 5 4 0 1 8 3 5 2 3 0 4 1 8 21
4 Feirense 10 5 3 2 14 10 5 2 1 2 5 7 5 3 2 0 9 3 4 18
5 Arouca 10 4 4 2 11 8 5 2 2 1 6 5 5 2 2 1 5 3 3 16
6 Chaves 10 4 3 3 13 10 5 1 2 2 2 4 5 3 1 1 11 6 3 15
7 Penafiel 10 4 3 3 15 13 5 3 1 1 8 5 5 1 2 2 7 8 2 15
8 Sporting Covilha 10 4 2 4 14 12 4 2 1 1 9 6 6 2 1 3 5 6 2 14
9 Casa Pia 10 3 4 3 14 19 5 1 2 2 6 12 5 2 2 1 8 7 -5 13
10 Benfica II 10 4 0 6 19 16 5 2 0 3 7 8 5 2 0 3 12 8 3 12
11 Vizela 10 3 3 4 13 18 5 3 1 1 8 7 5 0 2 3 5 11 -5 12
12 Vilafranquense 10 2 5 3 10 14 4 0 3 1 2 6 6 2 2 2 8 8 -4 11
13 Cova Piedade 10 3 2 5 10 16 6 1 2 3 4 9 4 2 0 2 6 7 -6 11
14 Porto II 10 3 1 6 15 19 5 2 0 3 9 8 5 1 1 3 6 11 -4 10
15 Leixoes 9 2 3 4 10 13 4 2 1 1 8 7 5 0 2 3 2 6 -3 9
16 UD Oliveirense 9 2 2 5 8 12 5 1 1 3 5 7 4 1 1 2 3 5 -4 8
17 Academico Viseu 10 1 5 4 4 9 6 0 3 3 1 6 4 1 2 1 3 3 -5 8
18 Varzim 10 1 3 6 5 13 5 1 2 2 2 4 5 0 1 4 3 9 -8 6

Read more about Segunda Liga

The Segunda Liga, or LigaPro, is the second level of Portuguese football. It has 18 teams each playing 34 fixtures to decide the final league table. The top two teams are promoted to the top level in Portugal (Primeira Liga) while the bottom two are relegated.