Segunda Liga forecast and guide: Nacional modest expected to top Varzim

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Competition: Portugal Segunda Liga
Competition: Sat 28.August
Match begins: 14:30 (UTC)
Venue: Estádio da Madeira (5132 seats)

Nacional are ready to clash heads with Varzim in this Segunda Liga game. All you need to learn about the match is found here!

We should expect both teams to be fresh and ready for this match, as there is some time since both teams last played. Let's have a look at how the teams are doing!

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Nacional form and stats

The hosts won their first Segunda Liga game here at Estádio da Madeira, lifting spirits. Home statistics for Nacional last season were 4 wins, 3 draws and 10 losses from 17 games.

An away draw last time out for Nacional, facing Porto II in a game that ended 1-1.

Ahead of that match, Nacional won a home game hosting Vilafranquense (4-0).

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Nacional have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found nine games) they have won eight times, drawn one and lost zero.

Nacional has scored 4 goals so far and conceded 0 goals from 1 home game. These are numbers from the league only.

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Varzim form and stats

One match played away so far in the Segunda Liga for Varzim and it was a tie. Last season the statistics for their away games were 5 wins, 3 draws and 9 losses from 17 games.

Varzim's previous game was their home loss versus Rio Ave (0-3).

Preceding that game, the 1-1 draw paying a visit to Academica.

Varzim are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is three wins, five draws and ten defeats. From a total of 18 matches.

As for goals scored and conceded in the league games away so far, Varzim has managed 1 goal and let in 1 from 1 match.

Head 2 Head

Last four meetings with these sides: Nacional won two, Varzim triumphed in zero and we saw two draws. two games with over 2,5 goals, two matches with under 2,5 goals.

Top Goalscorers

NacionalB. Gomes de Oliveira Conceiçao
B. Gomes de Oliveira Conceiçao
2 goals
NacionalR. Farto Correia
R. Farto Correia
1 goals
NacionalJ. Gomes Camacho
J. Gomes Camacho
1 goals

Nacional missing players

Varzim missing players

Nacional Varzim
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
3 1 1 Played P 0 1 3
1 1 1 Won W 0 0 0
1 0 0 Drew D 0 1 2
1 0 0 Lost L 0 0 1
5 4 4 Scored S 0 1 3
6 0 0 Conceded C 0 1 6
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 0% 100% 100%
100% 100% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 0% 100% 100%
67% 100% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 0% 67%
67% 100% 100% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 0% 33%
33% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 0%
33% 0% 0% BTTS BTTS 0% 100% 67%
33% 100% 100% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 0%
33% 0% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 0% 33%
 
6.3 10 10 Corners for (avg) C F 0 6 9.7
5 2 2 Corners against (avg) C A 0 8 5
1.3 2 2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0 4 3.3
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 1 1
 
11.7 15 15 Shots (avg) S ( 0 9 11
4 7 7 Shots on Target (avg) S O 0 4 4.3
42% 57% 57% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 25% 23%
Nacional Last season Varzim
Total Home   Statistics Stat   Away Total
34 17   Played P   17 34
6 4   Won W   5 9
7 3   Drew D   3 6
21 10   Lost L   9 19
30 19   Scored S   14 26
59 30   Conceded C   21 44
91% 94%   Over 0.5 O 0.5   88% 91%
74% 76%   Over 1.5 O 1.5   53% 59%
53% 59%   Over 2.5 O 2.5   47% 41%
24% 29%   Over 3.5 O 3.5   18% 15%
12% 18%   Over 4.5 O 4.5   0% 0%
56% 65%   BTTS BTTS   47% 44%
21% 18%   Clean Sheets C S   24% 24%
32% 24%   Failed to Score F T   41% 41%
 
4.2 4.9   Corners for (avg) C F   5.6 5.8
6.2 6.8   Corners against (avg) C A   5.3 5
2.9 2.8   Yellow cards (avg) Y C   2.8 2.7
5 1   Red cards R C   1 3
 
10.8 12.1   Shots (avg) S (   8.6 9.5
3.6 4.1   Shots on Target (avg) S O   3.1 3.6
24% 27%   Goal Efficiency G E   26% 21%

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Benfica II 3 3 0 0 8 1 2 2 0 0 7 1 1 1 0 0 1 0 7 9
2 Rio Ave 3 2 1 0 9 2 1 1 0 0 5 1 2 1 1 0 4 1 7 7
3 Leixões 3 2 1 0 6 3 2 2 0 0 5 2 1 0 1 0 1 1 3 7
4 Sporting Covilha 3 2 1 0 5 3 1 1 0 0 2 1 2 1 1 0 3 2 2 7
5 Mafra 3 2 0 1 5 2 1 0 0 1 0 1 2 2 0 0 5 1 3 6
6 Feirense 3 2 0 1 5 3 2 1 0 1 4 3 1 1 0 0 1 0 2 6
7 Penafiel 3 2 0 1 2 1 2 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 6
8 Estrela Amadora 3 1 1 1 3 3 2 1 0 1 3 3 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 4
9 Nacional 3 1 1 1 5 6 1 1 0 0 4 0 2 0 1 1 1 6 -1 4
10 Casa Pia 3 1 0 2 3 3 1 1 0 0 2 0 2 0 0 2 1 3 0 3
11 Academico Viseu 3 1 0 2 4 6 2 1 0 1 3 4 1 0 0 1 1 2 -2 3
12 Trofense 3 0 2 1 3 4 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 1 1 3 4 -1 2
13 Chaves 3 0 2 1 4 6 1 0 1 0 1 1 2 0 1 1 3 5 -2 2
14 Porto II 3 0 2 1 3 5 2 0 2 0 3 3 1 0 0 1 0 2 -2 2
15 Varzim 3 0 2 1 3 6 2 0 1 1 2 5 1 0 1 0 1 1 -3 2
16 Farense 3 0 1 2 3 7 1 0 1 0 1 1 2 0 0 2 2 6 -4 1
17 Academica 3 0 1 2 3 8 1 0 1 0 1 1 2 0 0 2 2 7 -5 1
18 Vilafranquense 3 0 1 2 1 6 2 0 1 1 1 2 1 0 0 1 0 4 -5 1
Last season Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Sporting CP 34 26 7 1 65 20 17 13 4 0 34 10 17 13 3 1 31 10 45 85
2 Porto 34 24 8 2 74 29 17 13 3 1 40 15 17 11 5 1 34 14 45 80
3 Benfica 34 23 7 4 69 27 17 12 3 2 31 15 17 11 4 2 38 12 42 76
4 Sporting Braga 34 19 7 8 53 33 17 11 3 3 27 15 17 8 4 5 26 18 20 64
5 Pacos de Ferreira 34 15 8 11 40 41 17 10 3 4 23 19 17 5 5 7 17 22 -1 53
6 Santa Clara 34 13 7 14 44 36 17 7 5 5 26 16 17 6 2 9 18 20 8 46
7 Vitoria Guimaraes 34 12 7 15 37 44 17 7 1 9 21 27 17 5 6 6 16 17 -7 43
8 Moreirense 34 10 13 11 37 43 17 4 10 3 24 23 17 6 3 8 13 20 -6 43
9 Famalicao 34 10 10 14 40 48 17 4 7 6 19 24 17 6 3 8 21 24 -8 40
10 Belenenses 34 9 13 12 25 35 17 6 5 6 15 18 17 3 8 6 10 17 -10 40
11 Gil Vicente 34 11 6 17 33 42 17 4 4 9 13 20 17 7 2 8 20 22 -9 39
12 Tondela 34 10 6 18 36 57 17 8 2 7 18 21 17 2 4 11 18 36 -21 36
13 Boavista 34 8 12 14 39 49 17 5 4 8 17 22 17 3 8 6 22 27 -10 36
14 Portimonense 34 9 8 17 34 41 17 6 5 6 20 17 17 3 3 11 14 24 -7 35
15 Maritimo 34 10 5 19 27 47 17 5 3 9 10 21 17 5 2 10 17 26 -20 35
16 Rio Ave 34 7 13 14 25 40 17 4 6 7 12 18 17 3 7 7 13 22 -15 34
17 Farense 34 7 10 17 31 48 17 4 6 7 19 20 17 3 4 10 12 28 -17 31
18 Nacional 34 6 7 21 30 59 17 4 3 10 19 30 17 2 4 11 11 29 -29 25
Last season Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Estoril 34 20 10 4 55 26 17 10 6 1 33 15 17 10 4 3 22 11 29 70
2 Vizela 34 18 12 4 59 35 17 11 5 1 29 15 17 7 7 3 30 20 24 66
3 Arouca 34 19 8 7 45 25 17 10 4 3 22 11 17 9 4 4 23 14 20 65
4 Academica 34 17 11 6 46 30 17 9 4 4 23 17 17 8 7 2 23 13 16 62
5 Feirense 34 17 7 10 48 33 17 9 3 5 23 16 17 8 4 5 25 17 15 58
6 Chaves 34 16 9 9 46 36 17 7 6 4 19 16 17 9 3 5 27 20 10 57
7 Penafiel 34 12 10 12 42 42 17 6 6 5 21 18 17 6 4 7 21 24 0 46
8 Benfica II 34 12 8 14 52 43 17 9 4 4 30 18 17 3 4 10 22 25 9 44
9 Casa Pia 34 10 13 11 41 46 17 6 5 6 21 23 17 4 8 5 20 23 -5 43
10 Leixões 34 10 10 14 35 43 17 7 4 6 21 22 17 3 6 8 14 21 -8 40
11 Sporting Covilha 34 8 13 13 36 42 17 5 7 5 21 21 17 3 6 8 15 21 -6 37
12 Cova Piedade 34 8 13 13 39 48 17 4 7 6 19 22 17 4 6 7 20 26 -9 37
13 Mafra 34 9 10 15 35 48 17 6 6 5 21 24 17 3 4 10 14 24 -13 37
14 Academico Viseu 34 9 9 16 32 45 17 5 4 8 15 23 17 4 5 8 17 22 -13 36
15 Varzim 34 9 6 19 26 44 17 4 3 10 12 23 17 5 3 9 14 21 -18 33
16 Porto II 34 7 11 16 45 52 17 5 3 9 29 29 17 2 8 7 16 23 -7 32
17 Vilafranquense 34 5 16 13 34 54 17 2 10 5 14 21 17 3 6 8 20 33 -20 31
18 UD Oliveirense 34 7 10 17 25 49 17 4 6 7 14 20 17 3 4 10 11 29 -24 31

Read more about Segunda Liga

The Segunda Liga, or LigaPro, is the second level of Portuguese football. It has 18 teams each playing 34 fixtures to decide the final league table. The top two teams are promoted to the top level in Portugal (Primeira Liga) while the bottom two are relegated.