Home advantage could prove decisive in Leixões - Vilafranquense battle

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Competition: Portugal Segunda Liga
Competition: Mon 14.March
Match begins: 19:30 (UTC)
Venue: Estádio do Mar (9821 seats)

Leixões have won 36 points running out as the home team. Vilafranquense have gained 29 points as the visiting team. Will this be a home win?

Insights:
  • Leixões is in the best form (4-2-0) in Segunda Liga
  • Vilafranquense have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won away.

One slightly interesting match fact is that this game is played on grass and that the visiting Vilafranquense have a different surface at their stadium (artifical turf). The impact of this is hard to measure exactly, but the visitors stats on grass is 8-12-23 (win-draw-loss) from 43 matches.

This could be an interesting match with lots of spark and bustle as both participants are well revitalized since they last ran out on the pitch. Let's get started!

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Leixões form and stats

6-3-3 (win-draw-lost) are the Segunda Liga numbers at home for Leixões so far this season.

Defensively the home team are doing well, with their goalkeeper Igor Stefanovic not having conceded a league goal in 223 minutes.

A good away victory last time out for Leixões, who won 1-0 against Feirense (placed 5th).

Ahead of that match, Leixões won a home game hosting Estrela Amadora (3-0).

The betting market estimate that the home team has about 55-60% chance of winning this match. There could be betting value if you think differently, so to help you here are the stats from Leixões's earlier matches at home being 55%-60% favourite: Played four games, won one match, drawn one and lost two.

The Leixões fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 21 goals in 12 league matches. Leixões's goalkeeper has had to pick the ball out of their own net 15 times. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

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Vilafranquense form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Vilafranquense so far with only 12 points returning home. The records show 3-3-6 (win-draw-lose). Vilafranquense has lost their two previous away games and are eager to kill a negative trend in its infancy.

Vilafranquense might have something to prove in this game as they lost at home in their previous match. Rio Ave proved too strong as Vilafranquense slumped to a 1-2 defeat in front of their own fans at Campo do Cevadeiro.

A 0-1 defeat away at Farense before that.

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Vilafranquense playing away, we found eight games. Results were two away wins, two draws and four home wins.

Vilafranquense have conceded 16 goals in these away matches.

Head 2 Head

Leixões and Vilafranquense have faced off before this season: Vilafranquense - Leixões 1-3. Leixões-Vilafranquense H2H statistics last four meetings regardless of arena: Leixões three wins, Vilafranquense zero wins, one draw. one of these four matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

VilafranquenseÂ. da Silva
Â. da Silva
8 goals
VilafranquenseM. Belkheir
M. Belkheir
7 goals
LeixõesF. Jesus Carvalho
F. Jesus Carvalho
5 goals

Leixões missing players

Vilafranquense missing players

Leixões Vilafranquense
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
25 12 5 Played P 3 12 25
10 6 2 Won W 0 3 7
6 3 1 Drew D 0 3 8
9 3 2 Lost L 3 6 10
32 21 7 Scored S 3 12 31
28 15 9 Conceded C 6 16 36
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 83% 92%
76% 100% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 33% 58% 76%
44% 67% 80% Over 2.5 O 2.5 33% 42% 48%
16% 25% 20% Over 3.5 O 3.5 33% 25% 28%
4% 8% 20% Over 4.5 O 4.5 33% 8% 8%
60% 75% 100% BTTS BTTS 33% 42% 60%
20% 25% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 25% 16%
20% 0% 0% Failed to Score F T 67% 50% 32%
 
5.2 5.6 6 Corners for (avg) C F 3.3 2.5 3.6
6.2 5.6 7.2 Corners against (avg) C A 6 7.2 6.8
3 2.8 2.8 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3 3.7 3.6
8 2 0 Red cards R C 0 3 5
 
9.6 10.9 9.2 Shots (avg) S ( 6 7 8
3.3 4.4 3.4 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.7 3.2 3.7
39% 40% 41% Goal Efficiency G E 27% 31% 34%
 
10.3 10.2 10.2 Shots against (avg) S A 7.7 13.2 11.8
4.2 3.9 4.4 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 3 4.1 3.9
Key stats in Segunda Liga this season:
  • All of Leixões's home-matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Leixões have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Leixões have scored in all their home matches so far.
  • Leixões haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Leixões is in the best form (4-2-0) in Segunda Liga
  • Vilafranquense have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won away.
  • Vilafranquense have won significantly less corners away then at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Casa Pia 26 16 4 6 36 17 13 11 0 2 22 5 13 5 4 4 14 12 19 52
2 Rio Ave 26 15 6 5 42 27 13 9 1 3 22 14 13 6 5 2 20 13 15 51
3 Benfica II 26 15 5 6 50 30 13 7 3 3 23 11 13 8 2 3 27 19 20 50
4 Chaves 26 13 8 5 42 26 13 9 3 1 25 10 13 4 5 4 17 16 16 47
5 Feirense 26 14 5 7 38 26 13 7 2 4 20 14 13 7 3 3 18 12 12 47
6 Nacional 26 10 8 8 41 33 13 7 4 2 23 12 13 3 4 6 18 21 8 38
7 Leixões 25 10 6 9 32 28 12 6 3 3 21 15 13 4 3 6 11 13 4 36
8 Mafra 26 9 9 8 32 32 13 3 8 2 14 14 13 6 1 6 18 18 0 36
9 Penafiel 26 9 8 9 25 31 13 6 5 2 14 11 13 3 3 7 11 20 -6 35
10 Porto II 26 8 9 9 35 38 13 5 7 1 20 15 13 3 2 8 15 23 -3 33
11 Estrela Amadora 26 9 6 11 38 44 13 5 2 6 19 22 13 4 4 5 19 22 -6 33
12 Farense 26 7 10 9 32 34 13 5 5 3 19 12 13 2 5 6 13 22 -2 31
13 Vilafranquense 25 7 8 10 31 36 13 4 5 4 19 20 12 3 3 6 12 16 -5 29
14 Trofense 26 6 9 11 23 31 13 4 4 5 13 15 13 2 5 6 10 16 -8 27
15 Academico Viseu 26 7 6 13 21 38 13 3 3 7 10 22 13 4 3 6 11 16 -17 27
16 Sporting Covilha 26 4 11 11 22 39 13 3 5 5 12 15 13 1 6 6 10 24 -17 23
17 Varzim 26 4 10 12 18 31 13 3 4 6 9 17 13 1 6 6 9 14 -13 22
18 Academica 26 3 6 17 31 48 13 2 3 8 18 22 13 1 3 9 13 26 -17 15

Read more about Segunda Liga

The Segunda Liga, or LigaPro, is the second level of Portuguese football. It has 18 teams each playing 34 fixtures to decide the final league table. The top two teams are promoted to the top level in Portugal (Primeira Liga) while the bottom two are relegated.